ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#721 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 08, 2018 7:51 pm

Strangely enough.. this is the largest convective burst by far. you can actually see on the full atlantic view lol.
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#722 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 08, 2018 8:01 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Strangely enough.. this is the largest convective burst by far. you can actually see on the full atlantic view lol.


And is not DMAX yet.
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#723 Postby sunnyday » Sun Jul 08, 2018 8:57 pm

If the remnants of Beryl do get to the Bahamas, is there likely to be any effects in Fl?
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#724 Postby Gustywind » Sun Jul 08, 2018 9:07 pm

Strong showers with tstorms with gusty winds are abatting on my area. Luckily i've power but many of my friends on the southern tip of Guadeloupe near Basse-Terre have lost power due to thunder impact. Nothing too bad but it's a very weather on Guadeloupe.
Since 1 hour conditions are poor, it's raining continuously now, no reports of damages but i can tell you that from my window i saw numerous lights. Ex Beryl is a fighther.
To all Leewardians and islanders be safe and dry :oops:
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#725 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 08, 2018 9:13 pm

Gustywind wrote:Strong showers with tstorms with gusty winds are abatting on my area. Luckily i've power but many of my friends on the southern tip of Guadeloupe near Basse-Terre have lost power due to thunder impact. Nothing too bad but it's a very weather on Guadeloupe.
Since 1 hour conditions are poor, it's raining continuously now, no reports of damages but i can tell you that from my window i saw numerous lights. Ex Beryl is a fighther.
To all Leewardians and islanders be safe and dry :oops:


Thank you for the report.Here in PR we are waiting for that bad weather but hopefully,doesn't cause many power outages.Stay safe there.
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#726 Postby Kimmie.STT » Sun Jul 08, 2018 9:25 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Strong showers with tstorms with gusty winds are abatting on my area. Luckily i've power but many of my friends on the southern tip of Guadeloupe near Basse-Terre have lost power due to thunder impact. Nothing too bad but it's a very weather on Guadeloupe.
Since 1 hour conditions are poor, it's raining continuously now, no reports of damages but i can tell you that from my window i saw numerous lights. Ex Beryl is a fighther.
To all Leewardians and islanders be safe and dry :oops:


Thank you for the report.Here in PR we are waiting for that bad weather but hopefully,doesn't cause many power outages.Stay safe there.


Just a few miles to your east cycloneye in STT... none of us can really take much more. Stay safe, any and all that are in the path. It's not a hurricane anymore, doesn't mean fragile rebuilding won't be damaged. Blue tarps everywhere.
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#727 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sun Jul 08, 2018 9:28 pm

Gustywind wrote:Strong showers with tstorms with gusty winds are abatting on my area. Luckily i've power but many of my friends on the southern tip of Guadeloupe near Basse-Terre have lost power due to thunder impact. Nothing too bad but it's a very weather on Guadeloupe.
Since 1 hour conditions are poor, it's raining continuously now, no reports of damages but i can tell you that from my window i saw numerous lights. Ex Beryl is a fighther.
To all Leewardians and islanders be safe and dry :oops:


Many thanks for the update, Gustywind. I was wondering how you guys were making out, seeing that the deepest convection seemed to be concentrated over the south of the island a while ago. Abritez-vous bien !
:sun:
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#728 Postby Gustywind » Sun Jul 08, 2018 9:38 pm

Waouw, 2 amazing thunderstorms have exploded with an unreal sound of explosion! :eek: :eek: :eek:
I'm leaving, i've not seen that from my whole life since at least 10 years the last time. I can tell you this ex Beryl remnants are nasty one :eek: :rarrow: :rarrow: Again luckily i've power but looks like another round is looming.
Be safe and dry all :roll:
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#729 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 08, 2018 9:42 pm

Gustywind wrote:Waouw, 2 amazing thunderstorms have exploded with an unreal sound of explosion! :eek: :eek: :eek:
I'm leaving, i've not seen that from my whole life since at least 10 years the last time. I can tell you this ex Beryl remnants are nasty one :eek: :rarrow: :rarrow: Again luckily i've power but looks like another round is looming.
Be safe and dry all :roll:


Please leave computer and stay safe until the bad weather is over.
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#730 Postby BYG Jacob » Sun Jul 08, 2018 9:45 pm

sunnyday wrote:If the remnants of Beryl do get to the Bahamas, is there likely to be any effects in Fl?

survey says, ask later
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#731 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 08, 2018 9:45 pm

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Beryl Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022018
1100 PM AST Sun Jul 08 2018

...REMNANTS OF BERYL NOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 62.4W
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM WNW OF DOMINICA
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES



Remnants Of Beryl Discussion Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022018
1100 PM AST Sun Jul 08 2018

The remains of the center of Beryl have crossed Dominica during
the past few hours, accompanied by a disorganized area of
convection. Radar and surface observations continue to show that
the system is an open wave. There have been no observations of
sustained tropical-storm-force winds from Dominica or Guadeloupe, so
the initial intensity is decreased to a probably generous 35 kt. In
the short term, increasing vertical wind shear should cause
continued weakening of the system, with the remains of the center
dissipating in the next 12 h.

Between 72-120 h, there may be an opportunity for the remnants of
Beryl to regenerate into a tropical cyclone when the system moves
through the Bahamas and into the southwestern Atlantic. However,
due to a lack of agreement by the dynamical models and the
uncertainty about how the tropical wave will be disrupted by passage
over Hispaniola, the chances of regeneration are currently in the
low category.

The initial motion estimate is 290/23 kt. The remnants of Beryl
should maintain this rapid west-northwestward motion for the next
12 hours as they move through the northeastern Caribbean Sea to the
south of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.

This is the last advisory on this system by the National Hurricane
Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web
at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Key Messages:

1. As the tropical wave moves across the northeastern Caribbean Sea,
strong gusty winds and locally heavy rains are possible across the
Leeward Islands tonight and Monday, and these conditions expected to
spread across the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola by
Monday night.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/0300Z 15.8N 62.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL WAVE
12H 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#732 Postby Gustywind » Sun Jul 08, 2018 9:46 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Waouw, 2 amazing thunderstorms have exploded with an unreal sound of explosion! :eek: :eek: :eek:
I'm leaving, i've not seen that from my whole life since at least 10 years the last time. I can tell you this ex Beryl remnants are nasty one :eek: :rarrow: :rarrow: Again luckily i've power but looks like another round is looming.
Be safe and dry all :roll:


Please leave computer and stay safe until the bad weather is over.

YES OH BOY Luis, take it seriously, Ex Beryl is a warrior! Thanks i'm ok truly amazed by those alpha tstorms!
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#733 Postby abajan » Sun Jul 08, 2018 10:17 pm

Gustywind wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Waouw, 2 amazing thunderstorms have exploded with an unreal sound of explosion! :eek: :eek: :eek:
I'm leaving, i've not seen that from my whole life since at least 10 years the last time. I can tell you this ex Beryl remnants are nasty one :eek: :rarrow: :rarrow: Again luckily i've power but looks like another round is looming.
Be safe and dry all :roll:


Please leave computer and stay safe until the bad weather is over.

YES OH BOY Luis, take it seriously, Ex Beryl is a warrior! Thanks i'm ok truly amazed by those alpha tstorms!

We can definitely see lots of heavy convection over Guadeloupe on satellite imagery. Stay safe, my friend!
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#734 Postby abajan » Sun Jul 08, 2018 10:26 pm

Saved Infrared Loop Showing Convection Over Guadeloupe

Image
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#735 Postby AnnularCane » Sun Jul 08, 2018 10:28 pm

Beryl's looking a lot more intense now than she did when she was actually classified.

Gotta watch out for those fighters! :lol:
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#736 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Jul 08, 2018 10:31 pm

AnnularCane wrote:Beryl's looking a lot more intense now than she did when she was actually classified.

Gotta watch out for those fighters! :lol:


Indeed Beryl's remnants are looking more robust late this evening. There a nice convective flare-up with it on satellite imagery.
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#737 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 08, 2018 10:42 pm

convective size is same as chris except much deeper
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#738 Postby galaxy401 » Sun Jul 08, 2018 10:52 pm

Yeah I can definitely see why Gustywind is getting intense storms. A fighter for sure but this storm is moving too fast.
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#739 Postby HurricaneRyan » Sun Jul 08, 2018 11:18 pm

Beryl literally reminded me of Joyce from 2000
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Re: ATL: Remnants of BERYL

#740 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 08, 2018 11:49 pm

Well,I am posting this to say if you dont see me here on Monday or in several days after that date is because the power is out in Puerto Rico.As I have mentioned in the I am back after Maria thread,the power grid is in precarious situation and it will take a few gusty winds of 35-45 mph to knock it out so I hope I can come without problem.
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