ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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SoupBone
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#701 Postby SoupBone » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:31 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Isaac is really cranking up- lots of convection, not sure if there is an LLC but there is some rotation with areas of strong storms southwest and northeast of center. (Credit goes to Grothar of Weather Underground for the images.)
https://photos.app.goo.gl/7n9iWkKAxKnGgkrx5
https://photos.app.goo.gl/oFwg4RivTedUZUAw6


I wonder what a NE relocation would do to the tracks. It would track closer to Jamaica for sure.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#702 Postby HurricaneRyan » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:26 pm

Just as I thought. Isaac is Joyce 2000 2.0
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#703 Postby NDG » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:34 pm

Not sure if there's much left of the LLC other than a sharp trough though it is moving over better UL conditions but it is caught in the low level jet, it will be tough for the LLC to make a come back soon unless it slows down even more soon.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#704 Postby wxman57 » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:45 pm

Recon isn't finding an LLC yet. Looks like an open wave, to me. Die Isaac, die!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#705 Postby Nimbus » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:50 pm

Can't see any low level details but there are lightning strikes circling round near the latest hot tower close to 15N. Worth checking the models later since they should have all the layers accounted for better than us blob watchers.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#706 Postby southerngale » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:51 pm

wxman57 wrote:Recon isn't finding an LLC yet. Looks like an open wave, to me. Die Isaac, die!

Yeah! I'll drink to that. It's Diet Coke, but whatever.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#707 Postby StruThiO » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:54 pm

Mr Bones? Is that you?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#708 Postby MississippiWx » Fri Sep 14, 2018 1:17 pm

Fairly decent southwest winds so far on recon, very weak WSW winds, no true westerlies yet. Still a lot of searching left. I’d keep Isaac a tropical cyclone for now with the uptick in convection. The convection could help it get back going again.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#709 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:20 pm

he's dead jim..

Its over.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#710 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:37 pm

Not dead yet.Best Track is up to 35 kts.

Tropical Storm ISAAC
As of 18:00 UTC Sep 14, 2018:

Location: 15.3°N 67.6°W
Maximum Winds: 35 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1008 mb
Radius of Circulation: 120 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 40 NM
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#711 Postby perk » Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:38 pm

SEASON_CANCELED wrote:he's dead jim..

Its over.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/posting.php?mode=quote&f=59&p=2712436#

If I had a dollar for every time I have read a post like this and days later a regeneration occurs. :lol:
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#712 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:40 pm

perk wrote:
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:he's dead jim..

Its over.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/posting.php?mode=quote&f=59&p=2712436#

If I had a dollar for every time I have read a post like this and days later a regeneration occurs. :lol:


Those are the worst. The ones that come back to life. Katrina comes to mind, im sure i could name a few others.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#713 Postby meriland29 » Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:45 pm

My phone keeps wanting to automate 'Isaac' to 'Ike' and it's like...please just stop..no, just no.

Back on subject, how is he doing ?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#714 Postby SoupBone » Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:49 pm

meriland29 wrote:My phone keeps wanting to automate 'Isaac' to 'Ike' and it's like...please just stop..no, just no.

Back on subject, how is he doing ?


He's the little engine that could(n't). He's trying to desperately cling to life by firing convection, but he's still moving at 16mph. He's not dead (yet), Jim.
Last edited by SoupBone on Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#715 Postby galaxy401 » Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:49 pm

Still got to keep an eye on Isaac if it survives the graveyard or if it regenerates in the western Caribbean. Those systems always have to be watched. Who knows what models show in the next couple days.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#716 Postby panamatropicwatch » Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:58 pm

Isaac looks like "The Blob".
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#717 Postby tailgater » Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:01 pm

Yeah not much uniformity to him anymore but I think I saw a 103.4 mb drop (reading) and TS force winds in the northern quad.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#718 Postby CyclonicFury » Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:03 pm

A dropsonde reported SW winds of 34 mph at the surface. That may be NHC's reasoning for keeping Isaac a TC on the 18z best track.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#719 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:25 pm

Looks like an elongated wave axis with a low embedded, could regenerate down the road in the western Carib. if it slows and shear really relaxes. These small systems play heck with the models.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#720 Postby Craters » Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:27 pm

SoupBone wrote:
meriland29 wrote:My phone keeps wanting to automate 'Isaac' to 'Ike' and it's like...please just stop..no, just no.

Back on subject, how is he doing ?


He's the little engine that could(n't). He's trying to desperately cling to life by firing convection, but he's still moving at 16mph. He's not dead (yet), Jim.


Or, converesly, Isaac speaking for himself: "I'm not dead yet! I don't want to go on the cart!"

(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UPatfgoNBRo)
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