ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#501 Postby artist » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:06 am

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#502 Postby artist » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:26 am

Luigi François
Luigi François
@francois_luigi
09/11
#WeatherUpdate
Tropical Storm Isaac keep on moving towards the Lesser Antilles. Hurricane watch has been issued for
#Guadeloupe
,
#Martinique
and
#Dominica
. Tropical Storm watch been issued for
#Antigua
&
#Montserrat
. Folks from the Leeward Islands need to monitor
#TSIsaac
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#503 Postby caribepr » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:27 am

Watching
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#504 Postby artist » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:29 am

https://mobile.twitter.com/usviports
irgin Islands Port Authority
@usviports
·
45m
Seaport conditions are set by the U.S. Coast Guard as a storm approaches and leaves a region. Here is a helpful chart to follow as we receive reports and continue to monitor the weather in the US Virgin Islands.
#TSIsaac

Image

2
Virgin Islands Port Authority
Virgin Islands Port Authority
@usviports
·
1h
The Coast Guard Captain of the Port San Juan set port condition Whiskey effective 8p.m. Monday for Puerto Rico and the
#USVI
due to the possibility of tropical storm force winds greater than 39 mph from Hurricane Isaac that may arrive within 72 hours.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#505 Postby artist » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:32 am

Important video announcement government of Barbados
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_ ... eVStA&_rdr
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#506 Postby zeehag » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:35 am

my vene friend who lives on isla margherita is crying for lack of water. her cisterna is almost empty. she is praying for rain from isaac to help them out. i am hoping these folks get some relief from their drought via isaac. unfortunately the storm looks like an icepick...too small to grant the wish.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#507 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:37 am

artist wrote:Image

:eek: no more suprises, wow, Isaac racing westard towards the Lesser Antilles. I will keep your informed as usual if i've more.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#508 Postby msbee » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:48 am

The government of France has issued a Hurricane Watch for Guadeloupe and Martinique.

The government of Barbados has issued a Hurricane Watch for
Dominica.

The meteorological service of Antigua and Barbuda has issued a
Tropical Storm Watch for Antigua and Montserrat.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Martinique
* Dominica

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua and Montserrat
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#509 Postby Blinhart » Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:58 am

My thoughts are with those in the islands, hoping this doesn't decide to RI in the small opening he has, then after that gonna be watching to see if it will be a Caribbean Cruiser and if it stays on a Due W course or decides to take a slight WNW course and try to go up in between the YP and Cuba.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#510 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 11, 2018 11:05 am

ouragans wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Hi Ouragans :) glad to see you back in the action. Looks better organized to my untrained eyes since the last 2 hours, close to regain HU status maybe this afternoon IMO. We should continue to monitor it carefully as this little boy wants to go west towards the EC islands. What are your latest thoughts about TS ISAAC?

Hi Gusty
I was discussing with a journalist at 9AM, and was telling him I was sure the best track underestimates the current intensity. For me Isaac is HU with 70-75 kts. We will verify that at 15z. My friends are crazy with HRWF (and I don't like it), they believe in RI today, like +10kts/6 hrs minimum... I'm on a steady +10 kts/12 hrs

Did you have time to buy water? Our people is crazy. ALL supermarkets were out stock yesterday...

Excellent analysis concerning the intensity my friend cannot be more agree with you.
Whereas, let's hope that it stays like that for the moment, curiously the RI never happen luckily. But like you i'm a bit suspicious about that and the 11 am tend to emphasizes on that maybe underestimation intensity who has been kept at 60 kts ... "One-minute visible satellite data from GOES-16 indicate that the center of Isaac remains on the westward edge of the central dense overcast. The initial wind speed is kept at 60 kt, which is acompromise between the lower subjective estimates and higher ADTs and microwave estimates. This is a more uncertain estimate than normal due to the spread of the intensity fixes". Also " The initial Wind and 12 ft seas radii have been expanded out to the north based on
TAFB estimates and microwave data". Something to keep an eye on!

Yes HRWF has been crazy since many days, let's see what will happen the next couple of hours, we should stay on our guard about that X factor. Anyway, Isaac looks in better shape today so we must keep an eye on him as it trecks westward and as a Hurricane Watch have been issued for Guadeloupe. Looks like Dominica and Guadeloupe even Antigua are the most exposed islands in the lastest projection.
I've some water but not too much. Yes people are crazy after Maria's disaster in Guadeloupe, that's worrying, hope in that story that Isaac stay polite during the next 48 hours...
Be on your guard all my friends, keep watching Isaac! :)
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#511 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:03 pm

Aric Dunn :) i would like to have your latest thoughts about Isaac? Thanks.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#512 Postby Blinhart » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:06 pm

Gustywind wrote:Aric Dunn :) i would like to have your latest thoughts about Isaac? Thanks.


I think he is traveling today.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#513 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:10 pm

Blinhart wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Aric Dunn :) i would like to have your latest thoughts about Isaac? Thanks.


I think he is traveling today.

You think? wow, let's hope no... i appreciate his forecasts often great and accurate... :)
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#514 Postby Michele B » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:32 pm




RUT ROH, SHAGGY!!!!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#515 Postby Blinhart » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:36 pm

Gustywind wrote:
Blinhart wrote:
Gustywind wrote:Aric Dunn :) i would like to have your latest thoughts about Isaac? Thanks.


I think he is traveling today.

You think? wow, let's hope no... i appreciate his forecasts often great and accurate... :)


He might not be quite yet, I just saw him post. But I think he suppose to be heading to NC.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#516 Postby chaser1 » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:43 pm

zeehag wrote:my vene friend who lives on isla margherita is crying for lack of water. her cisterna is almost empty. she is praying for rain from isaac to help them out. i am hoping these folks get some relief from their drought via isaac. unfortunately the storm looks like an icepick...too small to grant the wish.


Where even is Isla Margherita?? West of Trinidad off the coast of Venezuela?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#517 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:44 pm

326
WTNT34 KNHC 111740
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Isaac Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092018
200 PM AST Tue Sep 11 2018

...ISAAC CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.6N 50.4W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Advisories

#518 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:46 pm

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.6N 50.4W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#519 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:46 pm

chaser1 wrote:
zeehag wrote:my vene friend who lives on isla margherita is crying for lack of water. her cisterna is almost empty. she is praying for rain from isaac to help them out. i am hoping these folks get some relief from their drought via isaac. unfortunately the storm looks like an icepick...too small to grant the wish.


Where even is Isla Margherita?? West of Trinidad off the coast of Venezuela?



Winner winner, chicken dinner.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Evacuations, Closing and Observations

#520 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:47 pm

--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The meteorological service of Antigua and Barbuda has issued a
Tropical Storm Watch for St. Kitts and Nevis.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe
* Martinique
* Dominica

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua
* Montserrat
* St. Kitts and Nevis

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Leeward Islands should monitor the
progress of Isaac as additional watches could be issued this
afternoon or evening.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
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