ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1001 Postby Red eye » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:34 pm

The more I watch weather the greater the appreciation I have for the models and the meteorologists'. This storm with all the vortices. I have counted close to ten over the last 2 days since this thing splashed, and yet one is to materialize. Kudos to whoever/whatever nails the track. And Thank God the vortices are boxing for dominance. It could be worse at this point as far as intensity.

We are pretty much in the path right now (Crowley), so I had thought early that I had watched the storm to the east, but what do you know more shifts west with the 12Z.

My two cents, and one I like to watch is the long term water vapor. Mimic. 120 hours. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5
Looking at this imagery I can see the high pressure coming in from the North and filling fast. I think this will make the storm move west more.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1002 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:35 pm

gfsperpendicular wrote:The naked swirl just clothed itself with some strong convection from that band.


Agreed, and lots of turning of the clouds here (I believe it is about to form a new, more stable COC):

Image
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1003 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:38 pm

This is a very strange looking tropical storm.

Image
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1004 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:41 pm

yeah the vort that just tucked under the convection has changed the low level flow to the clouds to the east. looks like it might take over.

and if you notice it reached the bottom of the grye but the last hour it started moving in a straight line still Sw..
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1005 Postby HeeBGBz » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:42 pm

I was looking at Biloxi radar and we've got a bunch of tiny storm clouds showing up. Really odd, like storm seedlings. I've been loving all the buildup of clouds the last couple days.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1006 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:42 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:yeah the vort that just tucked under the convection has changed the low level flow to the clouds to the east. looks like it might take over.


I agree 100%, it is like it instantly whipped the circulation towards itself.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1007 Postby Kazmit » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:42 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This is a very strange looking tropical storm.

https://i.imgur.com/IqD4arc.jpg

The north half of it looks nonexistent on satellite.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1008 Postby StormLogic » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:44 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:yeah the vort that just tucked under the convection has changed the low level flow to the clouds to the east. looks like it might take over.

and if you notice it reached the bottom of the grye but the last hour it started moving in a straight line still Sw..


was just about to type this hehe
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1009 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:45 pm

This is what I'm seeing.

Image
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1010 Postby gfsperpendicular » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:49 pm

So now the question is, what happens to the mess of convection to the E of the center? Will it wrap more, or stay where it is?
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1011 Postby w5yne » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:49 pm

Red eye wrote:The more I watch weather the greater the appreciation I have for the models and the meteorologists'. This storm with all the vortices. I have counted close to ten over the last 2 days since this thing splashed, and yet one is to materialize. Kudos to whoever/whatever nails the track. And Thank God the vortices are boxing for dominance. It could be worse at this point as far as intensity.

We are pretty much in the path right now (Crowley), so I had thought early that I had watched the storm to the east, but what do you know more shifts west with the 12Z.

My two cents, and one I like to watch is the long term water vapor. Mimic. 120 hours. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5
Looking at this imagery I can see the high pressure coming in from the North and filling fast. I think this will make the storm move west more.


Hope you wrong as i live in Crowley too
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1012 Postby Texashawk » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:50 pm

Kazmit wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This is a very strange looking tropical storm.

https://i.imgur.com/IqD4arc.jpg

The north half of it looks nonexistent on satellite.


I’m sure NOLA is grateful for that half right now :lol:
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1013 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:55 pm

Texashawk wrote:
Kazmit wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This is a very strange looking tropical storm.
https://i.imgur.com/IqD4arc.jpg

The north half of it looks nonexistent on satellite.

I’m sure NOLA is grateful for that half right now :lol:

Still lots of dry air.
Image
Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1014 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:56 pm


A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF LOUISIANA
FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO GRAND ISLE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND
LAKE MAUREPAS INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOWE IN EFFECT FOR THE LOUISIANA COAST
WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON.

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1015 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:57 pm

This storm definitely reminds me a lot of Isaac in 2012. Really struggled in the Gulf due to dry air and shear, but was able to ramp up to a hurricane right before landfall.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1016 Postby GCANE » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:03 pm

storm_in_a_teacup wrote:
GCANE wrote:
StormLogic wrote:https://i.imgur.com/p3Jomsv.png
Isnt this the dry air over here?


Yes, and it is being moistened by convection.


By convection associated with Barry? Or some other convection?

(Because if it’s Barry itself doing it, then that’s basically sounding too much to me like a mammal moistening inhaled air with its nasal turbinates and...why does my mind come up with this stuff?)


Its from afternoon thunderstorms over florida and from the front dropping down thru the SE CONUS
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1017 Postby jasons » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:11 pm

When you step away all day and come back to see some satellite loops it hits you - this is one lopsided system. I don’t that I’ve ever seen a system so wide east-to-west, spanning almost the whole Gulf, and so flat on top. A wide shot of the Gulf looks a lot more like the ITCZ than a TS.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1018 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:12 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This storm definitely reminds me a lot of Isaac in 2012. Really struggled in the Gulf due to dry air and shear, but was able to ramp up to a hurricane right before landfall.


Yes it did. Barry may do the same thing upon landfall this weekend.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1019 Postby mpic » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:14 pm

I'm seeing it mentioned that Barry might sag south. If it does, could this be an opportunity for it to gain steam and go more west? Our Houston stations are showing a track straight into here and telling us not to discount the possibility. What is the reasoning behind this if it's going to come in east of us?
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1020 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:21 pm

Still looks to be a lot of dry air at lower, mid and upper levels.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=gm&band=10&length=24
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