^^ watch the models.
NAM through 36 hours being 7am Wednesday has the most rain down around Lake Jackson and Bay City. Watch it to increase elsewhere as the model rolls in
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1700&fh=36
ATL: IMELDA - Models
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ATL: IMELDA - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Steve wrote:^^ watch the models.
NAM through 36 hours being 7am Wednesday has the most rain down around Lake Jackson and Bay City. Watch it to increase elsewhere as the model rolls in
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1700&fh=36
Interesting. That’s a small trend back to the west. This pleases me lol
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Steve wrote:^^ watch the models.
NAM through 36 hours being 7am Wednesday has the most rain down around Lake Jackson and Bay City. Watch it to increase elsewhere as the model rolls in
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1700&fh=36
To let you know that I made the post of nam as the leading one for the 98L models thread.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Yeah. NAM says don’t worry about any dry conditions. Pick your location for what the NAM does
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1700&fh=75
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1700&fh=75
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
ICON is starting to roll in. Most rain offshore through 30h. Actual model is ahead of rainfall estimates. Lufkin, Nacodoches and south of piney woods looks to get the most when ICON fills out <— Except it doesn’t match the model. Low tier for sure in that respect. Heaviest rain and knocked back is Sabine River and eventually Shreveport and Bossier City get the most rain.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1700&fh=90
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1700&fh=90
Last edited by Steve on Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:29 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
RGEM is starting to roll in. It’s only out to 30, and again most rain is offshore. But it looks to be more around Galveston Bay whereas ICON liked the Sabine River and NAM more a swath farther up the coast.
At 48h (valid 7pm Thursday), RGEM has most rain along the SE TX Coast and nearby cities and towns. It must be slower or have less rain.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1700&fh=48
At 48h (valid 7pm Thursday), RGEM has most rain along the SE TX Coast and nearby cities and towns. It must be slower or have less rain.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1700&fh=48
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StormLogic
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Steve wrote:^^ watch the models.
NAM through 36 hours being 7am Wednesday has the most rain down around Lake Jackson and Bay City. Watch it to increase elsewhere as the model rolls in
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1700&fh=36
Steve we've received 2-3" of rainfall already... I think models are under estimating rainfall.... look at the TPW Values now
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mtpw2/product.php?color_type=tpw_nesdis_colors&prod=conus×pan=24hrs&anim=html5
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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StormLogic
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Most the models have center well west of where it's currently at BUT the NAM is pretty close. If you set-up center where it's actually at on the NAM, you would assume now SETX & the Golden Triangle gets alot of moisture. TPW values are going to reach 2.75-3" very soon.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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