wxman57 wrote:Bostonriff wrote:Curious why they're dedicating a recon to this when it's projected to be, at best, a TD when it recurves north over PR for a fish future in the North Atlantic.
On a side-note: what's the record for storms running through the east-Carib Hebert Box that never hit Florida (that being what the Herbert Boxes are predictors for)? So far, we're 0-for-2 this season, and will be 0-3 when 99L misses too.
2019 reminds me of 1995 and 1996, which had a lot of storms, but with reduced/less-intense Caribbean and GoM activity, and much early-recurving fish.
I suspect that recon was already stationed in St. Croix after investigating Jerry. It wasn't a long flight to check out the disturbance. I doubt that the NHC would have sent a plane all the way from Keesler to investigate it.
It departed from St Croix.