ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

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cycloneye
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ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 07, 2019 1:17 pm

AL, 91, 2019100706, , BEST, 0, 312N, 450W, 35, 1012, DB, 34, NEQ, 150, 0, 0, 150, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS031, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 031,
AL, 91, 2019100712, , BEST, 0, 312N, 450W, 40, 1012, EX, 34, NEQ, 180, 0, 0, 150, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS031, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 031,
AL, 91, 2019100718, , BEST, 0, 312N, 452W, 40, 1009, EX, 34, NEQ, 180, 0, 0, 150, 1016, 240, 100, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 031, SPAWNINVEST, al722019 to al912019,


Thread at Talking Tropics forum that was the topic for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=120644&p=2786377#p2786377

A non-tropical low pressure system located over the central Atlantic
Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores is producing gale-force winds
to the north of its center. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be generally conducive for the low to acquire some subtropical or
tropical characteristics during the next day or two, and this system
could become a tropical or subtropical storm on Tuesday or Wednesday
while it moves slowly westward. Upper-level winds are expected to
become unfavorable for further development by Wednesday night.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#2 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Oct 07, 2019 2:32 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#3 Postby DioBrando » Mon Oct 07, 2019 3:22 pm

Another girl storm not reaching hurricane intensity anyone? :(
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#4 Postby BadLarry95 » Mon Oct 07, 2019 4:51 pm

DioBrando wrote:Another girl storm not reaching hurricane intensity anyone? :(


If that happens, I think Melissa will be one of only 3 names used atleast 3 times and never been a hurricane
(Andrea 3x)
(Ana 7x!!!)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#5 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Oct 07, 2019 4:54 pm

DioBrando wrote:Another girl storm not reaching hurricane intensity anyone? :(


I'd be happy with another Gabrielle at this point! She wasn't a cane, but at least she stuck around for a week and did not do too badly.
Last edited by AnnularCane on Mon Oct 07, 2019 8:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#6 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Oct 07, 2019 6:24 pm

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system located over the central Atlantic
Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores is producing gale-force winds.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for
the low to acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics
during the next day or two, and this system could become a tropical
or subtropical storm on Tuesday or Wednesday while it moves slowly
westward. Upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for
further development by Wednesday evening. Additional information on
this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#7 Postby mitchell » Mon Oct 07, 2019 8:46 pm

this system seems like its in the right place, right time to drift west and interact with the big coastal low thats expected to intensify south of Cape Cod this week. Anyone recall the Halloween Storm of 1991? That was something to see along the mid - atlantic.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#8 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Oct 07, 2019 9:10 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#9 Postby DioBrando » Mon Oct 07, 2019 10:31 pm

BadLarry95 wrote:
DioBrando wrote:Another girl storm not reaching hurricane intensity anyone? :(


If that happens, I think Melissa will be one of only 3 names used atleast 3 times and never been a hurricane
(Andrea 3x)
(Ana 7x!!!)

Continuing the weak streak while the likes of Humberto keep his strong streak.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#10 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 08, 2019 12:41 pm

A non-tropical low pressure system located over the central Atlantic
between Bermuda and the Azores continues to produce gale-force winds
to the north of its center. Environmental conditions are somewhat
conducive for the low to acquire some subtropical or tropical
characteristics through early Wednesday, and this system could still
become a tropical or subtropical storm later today or early
Wednesday while it moves slowly westward. Upper-level winds are
expected to become unfavorable for further development by Wednesday
evening. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#11 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue Oct 08, 2019 3:10 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#12 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 09, 2019 10:44 am

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#13 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 09, 2019 12:49 pm

A non-tropical low pressure system located several hundred miles
east of Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Although some limited development is still possible today,
upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further
development by tonight, and the chance of this system becoming a
tropical or subtropical cyclone is decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
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