Oh boy, this one has roared to life far sooner than I thought it would.
I sure hope this isn't an Audrey 1957 type scenario, but that's the vibe I'm getting (setup, location, time of year, and projected track).
Stay safe everyone and think good thoughts.
Although I was quite young, I do remember Audrey - I've also lived through many others including Rita, I certainly hope that we don't experience any of this again. My grandfather always told me, "Never turn your back on the Gulf" - I have found this to be true. The Gulf holds lots of surprises.
Not a professional forecast by any means.
Audrey'57, Hilda'64, Betsy '65, Edith'71, Carmen'74, Danny'85, Juan'85, Andrew'92, Iniki'92 (while on vacation in Kauai), Lili'02, Rita'05, Humberto'07, Gustav'08, Ike'08, Isaac'12, Monsoonal Depression'16, Harvey'17, Barry'19