ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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DestinHurricane
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4261 Postby DestinHurricane » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:31 pm

How long will it jog north?
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4262 Postby eastcoastFL » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:31 pm

I hope everyone got gas for their generators. It’s not gonna be a beast but it’s knocking out power
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4263 Postby ColdMiser123 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:31 pm

Kind of impressed as well that despite having no convection for most of the day, the latest dropsonde still suggests pressure is around 992-993 mb.

995 mb dropsonde was found just now with a 28 KT surface wind.
Last edited by ColdMiser123 on Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4264 Postby Emmett_Brown » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:32 pm

Having a small tropical storm so close to land, creeping along over this hot water, heading into evening... It kind of reminds me of season 2 of Stranger Things where Dustin finds a baby demogorgan and decides to keep it as a pet...
Last edited by Emmett_Brown on Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4265 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:33 pm

**** This is not a forecast, I'm not an expert, but just a long time observer ****

IMHO, the slowing of the forward movement plus development overnight provides a chance for old Isa to re-intensify into a formidable coast scraping Cat 1.

I would prefer a dissipation but the conditions should improve a little in its favor.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4266 Postby wx98 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:33 pm

There has been a more NNW jog confirmed by recon as the LLC moves to meet the convection.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4267 Postby alienstorm » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:34 pm

Another thing to note if you see the blowup there is no evidence of the high clouds being blown to the east as you can see right along the fla se coast.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4268 Postby xironman » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:35 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:I think it's logical for the LLC to be drawn more North to the new burst of convection. It actually looks to me like the convective burst is working it's way down to meet the LLC.


There is also a bunch of convection blowing up over SE FL that could moisten the air. If moves north it has to go under convection
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4269 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:37 pm

Who said Isaias was dead?
Tracking TCs is a game of chess, not checkers.

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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4270 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:39 pm

I can’t believe this is blowing up... Always surprises with these storms...
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4271 Postby Hurricane Mike » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:39 pm

Stacy Stewart being pretty aggressive. He thinks land friction and Gulf Stream waters will crank Isaias up tonight. We shall see.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4272 Postby eastcoastFL » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:40 pm

Man it looks like that northern convection is just feeding those bands heading towards the treasure coast

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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4273 Postby toad strangler » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:40 pm

Pretty vigorous band rotating through the Treasure Coast and South Central FL
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4274 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:40 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:I hope everyone got gas for their generators. It’s not gonna be a beast but it’s knocking out power
Tstorms knock out the FPL grid everyday, lets not give this system more credit than it deserves in terms of making FPl look worse than they are :D
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4275 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:41 pm

Hurricane Mike wrote:Stacy Stewart being pretty aggressive. He thinks land friction and Gulf Stream waters will crank Isaias up tonight. We shall see.


The dude plays chess
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4276 Postby eastcoastFL » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:41 pm

Hurricane Mike wrote:Stacy Stewart being pretty aggressive. He thinks land friction and Gulf Stream waters will crank Isaias up tonight. We shall see.


I wouldn’t be shocked. I just told my wife I think we might wake up with strengthening cane off our coast. Hopefully if it gets rolling it stays further off shore
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4277 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:41 pm

Hurricane Mike wrote:Stacy Stewart being pretty aggressive. He thinks land friction and Gulf Stream waters will crank Isaias up tonight. We shall see.


I concur. Odds are we have something ugly at sunrise to deal with.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4278 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:42 pm

toad strangler wrote:Pretty vigorous band rotating through the Treasure Coast and South Central FL


And people are wondering why Isaias is expected to re-strengthen once he taps into a favorable environment...
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4279 Postby eastcoastFL » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:42 pm

toad strangler wrote:Pretty vigorous band rotating through the Treasure Coast and South Central FL


Clouds look ominous here in palm city but still no action. Has it reached you yet in PSL.

Never mind it just started pouring
Last edited by eastcoastFL on Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4280 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Aug 01, 2020 4:42 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:I hope everyone got gas for their generators. It’s not gonna be a beast but it’s knocking out power
Tstorms knock out the FPL grid everyday, lets not give this system more credit than it deserves in terms of making FPl look worse than they are :D


I refuse to criticize Florida Flicker and Light.

They do a great job for the lantern and candle industry. :ggreen:
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