Slughitter3 wrote:Good afternoon all, newbie here, how accurate is the RAP analysis/model for tropical events? The current RAP has the storm making landfall in Broward County, just looking for a better understanding. Thanks in advance!
The Rapid products have been doing great all early season. Again, it's to be expected considering they are the closest thing we have to real time, and also because they don't run that far out. For anyone doubting Isaias at the moment and over the next 2-3 hours, you might want to think again after that. As it was indicating earlier today, the first burst of the 18 hour period from that run shows up about 6pm Eastern. Again, as everyone has been saying on the Discussion thread, it's only July. And conditions aren't that ripe. So it's probably going to weaken and then strengthen again before morning. Here's the progression through the next 4 hours: