ATL: ISAIAS - Models

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Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2261 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:38 pm

Steve wrote:HMON 24 bypassing South Florida.
https://i.imgur.com/zA3rota.png

Bypasses Florida completely, Shifted way East, would be good for Florida but horrible for eastern NC and the Northeast Coast
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2262 Postby Bocadude85 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:40 pm

The 0z HWRF and HMON both have Isaias miss Andros island to the EAST, we will know soon enough if they are correct or not.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2263 Postby Steve » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:44 pm

Yeah, it's just a few hours until that benchmark.

Here's the HMON at 33
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2264 Postby Steve » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:46 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:
Steve wrote:HMON 24 bypassing South Florida.
https://i.imgur.com/zA3rota.png

Bypasses Florida completely, Shifted way East, would be good for Florida but horrible for eastern NC and the Northeast Coast


Yeah. I know their intensities can be way off, but 970's coming up definitely looks bad for the whole mid-Atlantic. You're talking Cat 2ish level there and possibly deepening. I'm interested to see what they end up putting out and how it plays in real time.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2265 Postby Blown Away » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:48 pm

00z HWRF is more W than 18z through 24 hours...
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2266 Postby Steve » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:48 pm

39 hours HMON and not really strengthening. You don't see that every day in that part of the Atlantic.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2267 Postby Nore » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:51 pm

Steve wrote:Yeah, it's just a few hours until that benchmark.

Here's the HMON at 33
https://i.imgur.com/71Jejl7.png


Im thinking the HMON may be a little strong given the current state of Isaias on IR and radar imagery. I dont buy it maintaining its current intensity all that much
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2268 Postby Steve » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:53 pm

It's hard to say. Some of the depiction models earlier today had it sort of disorganized overnight but then bursting back with some passion tomorrow. It's also kind of an Eastern track. It's down to 977 at 45. See if it wants to keep dropping it as the plots roll in or not.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2269 Postby Blown Away » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:59 pm

00z HWRF... Decent shift W and South with a landfall now near Vero as TS/Cat1 in 39 hours...
Last edited by Blown Away on Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:00 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2270 Postby Steve » Fri Jul 31, 2020 11:59 pm

HWRF hits Florida
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2271 Postby Steve » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:03 am

HMON heading for eastern NC. Looks like some impacts there and heading up the coast.

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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2272 Postby Nore » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:06 am

Image

The HRWF is showing that westerly mid-level shear weakening isaias
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2273 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:06 am

Bocadude85 wrote:
AutoPenalti wrote:Euro running.


You are about a hour to early for the Euro.

It was the HWRF. :oops:
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2274 Postby Steve » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:18 am

HMON looking for some orange skin and jet black hair and general ****** baggery near the NJ Shore in 78 hours.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2275 Postby Steve » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:23 am

HMON 84 hours (valid Tuesday 8am) smacking Long Island and Connecticut
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2276 Postby Steve » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:29 am

HWRF is slower and more west than HMON. Both show multiple landfalls so far.
Image

I'm going to bed. Y'all have fun.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2277 Postby chancebreaks » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:39 am

IS euro 2am est or 3am? or?
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2278 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:43 am

chancebreaks wrote:IS euro 2am est or 3am? or?

2am... Should initiate any moment
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2279 Postby skillz305 » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:57 am

EURO [ECMWF] MODEL 00z 8/1

HOUR 24



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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models

#2280 Postby chancebreaks » Sat Aug 01, 2020 12:59 am

Seems slower than last run.
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