ATL: ISAIAS - Models
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skillz305
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
EURO HOUR 48 00Z 8/1
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catskillfire51
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catskillfire51
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
Roughly 5-6 hours over Florida then back off shore and strengthening to 992mb and landfall just north of Charleston at about 80 hrs
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chancebreaks
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northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
Landfall ñear Indian River County/ Melbourne/ Brevard County
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AdamFirst
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
06z GFS shifts slightly west, stronger as well. Landfalls in Cape Canaveral - a true coast scraper. This is a game of inches, any wobble from this point in either direction has large ramifications
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DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
AdamFirst wrote:06z GFS shifts slightly west, stronger as well. Landfalls in Cape Canaveral - a true coast scraper. This is a game of inches, any wobble from this point in either direction has large ramifications
Pretty much rides the beach from Jupiter to Daytona.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
Closer look at the 06z GFS, it shifted around 10 miles west, we are now getting a good consensus between it and the 0z Euro. Fairly close on timing as well.
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TheStormExpert
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
NDG wrote:Closer look at the 06z GFS, it shifted around 10 miles west, we are now getting a good consensus between it and the 0z Euro. Fairly close on timing as well.
https://i.imgur.com/xXezFUf.gif
https://i.imgur.com/nUYPJSv.gif
What do you think folks here in NE Palm Beach County could expect from Isaias considering we’ll be on the west side?
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
TheStormExpert wrote:NDG wrote:Closer look at the 06z GFS, it shifted around 10 miles west, we are now getting a good consensus between it and the 0z Euro. Fairly close on timing as well.
https://i.imgur.com/xXezFUf.gif
https://i.imgur.com/nUYPJSv.gif
What do you think folks here in NE Palm Beach County could expect from Isaias considering we’ll be on the west side?
If it keeps its current structure not, much. Let me see what the Euro shows.
Edit: Just checked the Euro, it shows at the most wind gusts near 50 mph at the most tomorrow around noon.
Last edited by NDG on Sat Aug 01, 2020 5:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
jhpigott wrote:06Z Euro out yet?
Partially, it does show it go over the Central Part of Andros, then landfalls around Melbourne tomorrow night and goes further inland than the 0z. Also seems a bit faster than the 0z run.
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
GFS ensembles, still a good clustering with landfall over SE Florida or very near, weak overall:
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northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
Yeah it looks like Indian River County/Vero Beach will be landfall, siiniar to the 00Z run from the EURO.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Models
northjaxpro wrote::uarrow: Yeah it looks like Indian River County/Vero Beach will be landfall, siiniar to the 00Z run from the EURO.
Actually last night's 0z HR run did not showed landfall down there, Cape Canaveral is where it showed a quick landfall.
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