ATL: TEN - Remnants - Discussion

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AnnularCane
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#101 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Jul 31, 2020 4:18 pm

Guess Josephine will get gypped yet again? :grr:

I still don't quite understand why this is moving north. Seems like an odd direction for a storm in that location. What is up with the steering currents out there?
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#102 Postby Do_For_Love » Fri Jul 31, 2020 4:20 pm

AnnularCane wrote:Guess Josephine will get gypped yet again? :grr:

I still don't quite understand why this is moving north. Seems like an odd direction for a storm in that location. What is up with the steering currents out there?


Haven't there been a couple recently out there that have been doing that? I wanna say Vince in 2005 and maybe one a year or two ago that became extra tropical near Portugal, can't remember the name though.
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#103 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 4:52 pm

Do_For_Love wrote:
AnnularCane wrote:Guess Josephine will get gypped yet again? :grr:

I still don't quite understand why this is moving north. Seems like an odd direction for a storm in that location. What is up with the steering currents out there?


Haven't there been a couple recently out there that have been doing that? I wanna say Vince in 2005 and maybe one a year or two ago that became extra tropical near Portugal, can't remember the name though.


It's too far from the Bermuda High so there is probably a trough or an African ridge sending it north.
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#104 Postby shiny-pebble » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:01 pm

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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#105 Postby Hurricane Mike » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:02 pm

Probably a name waster only
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#106 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:08 pm

Part of me kind of hopes it stays a TD so we don't burn more names on ultra short lived oceanic TS and wind up with category five Hurricane Theta in October, and a 2013-level TS to hurricane ratio, but it certainly would be amusing and the atmosphere really doesn't care what I think
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#107 Postby zhukm29 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:57 pm

This thing tried so hard to earn itself a name despite being ignored for days, so I wouldn't be mad if it got named. Quite a persistent storm! It actually looks really neat on visible.
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#108 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:29 pm

It definitely gets an A+ for effort and significantly overachieving, just glad it's in the record books as a tropical cyclone now since few aside from hardcore nerds (yes hi that's me) remember even the most impressive invests
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#109 Postby abajan » Fri Jul 31, 2020 6:48 pm


I think we hardly ever see Cabo Verde Time (CVT) used in advisories.
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#110 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 7:26 pm

2020JUL31 234500 2.4 1009.0 34.0 2.4 2.5 2.5 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -15.93 -28.84 IRRCDO N/A N/A 16.35 20.27 FCST OTHER 30.1
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#111 Postby TallyTracker » Fri Jul 31, 2020 7:38 pm

Is there a satellite view that covers TD Ten? I can’t find one on the NOAA sites.

I hope this does become Josephine for what it’s worth. Weak or not it’s an intriguing storm heading into the open ocean.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#112 Postby Hammy » Fri Jul 31, 2020 7:42 pm

abajan wrote:

I think we hardly ever see Cabo Verde Time (CVT) used in advisories.


I think starting this year they're using local time zones for the listed time on the advisories.
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#113 Postby abajan » Fri Jul 31, 2020 7:47 pm

TallyTracker wrote:Is there a satellite view that covers TD Ten? ...

Absolutely.
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#114 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 31, 2020 7:57 pm

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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#115 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 31, 2020 8:13 pm

But 00z Best Traclk leaves it as TD.

10L TEN 200801 0000 16.7N 20.6W ATL 30 1008
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#116 Postby cainjamin » Fri Jul 31, 2020 8:15 pm

cycloneye wrote:But 00z Best Traclk leaves it as TD.

10L TEN 200801 0000 16.7N 20.6W ATL 30 1008


I wonder if they'll update it at the advisory anyway? Seeing a 35KT barb on a system that small likely means that it might even be closer to 40KT.
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#117 Postby TallyTracker » Fri Jul 31, 2020 8:18 pm

abajan wrote:
TallyTracker wrote:Is there a satellite view that covers TD Ten? ...

Absolutely.


Thanks abajan!

This looks like a tropical storm for sure right now. Deep convection has been maintaining for a while now and ASCAT has now found 34 kt in the circulation. Certainly should be upgraded in my opinion.

Also, I would move genesis back a couple of days. I think it was probably briefly a tropical storm already.
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#118 Postby wx98 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 8:23 pm

If we do get Josephine tonight that would truly be incredible to be at J by August 1.
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#119 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Jul 31, 2020 9:48 pm

Kept as TD at 11
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Re: ATL: TEN - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#120 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Jul 31, 2020 9:50 pm

The NHC has decided to not pull the trigger, but it was almost certainly a TS at some point.
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