ATL: PAULETTE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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al78
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#361 Postby al78 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 4:15 am

NDG wrote:It just amazes me the number of times & how often Bermuda, a tiny Island in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, gets hit directly. I guess they are in the right spot for cross hair from storms coming from all directions.


It doesn't get hit that often given the number of storms that spend their lives out in the Atlantic. By chance, a storm is occasionally going to landfall on the islands, you don't really pay attention to all the ones that miss (a bit like the survivorship bias https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias).
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#362 Postby Hammy » Mon Sep 14, 2020 4:29 am

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Entire landmass (small as it is) surrounded by a hurricane, not something you see often.
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#363 Postby NotoSans » Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:55 am

Surface mixing is now more effective due to recent convective burst in the northeastern quadrant. SFMR winds up to 80kt while flight-level winds are at 93KT (corresponding to 84KT at surface)
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#364 Postby plasticup » Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:41 am

Can someone save the last 5 Radar images for me from

http://www.weather.bm/tools/graphics.as ... 0SRI&user=

And

http://www.weather.bm/tools/graphics.as ... 0SRI&user=

It isn’t updating anymore, I assume the innermost band took out the radar. Can’t save them myself from the phone.
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#365 Postby Do_For_Love » Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:44 am

JahJa wrote:
I lost power around 2:30am and I think the majority of the island is without power which is unsurprising. I live on a hill and can see people with power and I can tell you how jealous I am at the moment of them having air conditioning.

I def agree that it doesn’t feel like a Cat 1 storm though!


Sorry you lost power, that's no fun! Hopefully it comes back on soon...do you mean it didn't feel like a cat 1 in terms of seeming weaker or stronger?
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#366 Postby wx98 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:03 am

The apparently went with 95 mph at 8 am. I thought they usually went from 80 kt/90 mph to 85 kt/100 mph?
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#367 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:07 am

wx98 wrote:The apparently went with 95 mph at 8 am. I thought they usually went from 80 kt/90 mph to 85 kt/100 mph?


Never seen that before. It's 2020 why not lol
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#368 Postby Kazmit » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:40 am

Bermuda in the eye.

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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#369 Postby SconnieCane » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:42 am

wx98 wrote:The apparently went with 95 mph at 8 am. I thought they usually went from 80 kt/90 mph to 85 kt/100 mph?


Yea that can't be right because they would have to split the difference between 80 and 85 kts. Unless they randomly decided to start doing that now, or it's just a typo of 85 MPH?
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#370 Postby drezee » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:43 am

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ISOMER20

Measured 89 sustained and gusts to 104 mph
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#371 Postby wx98 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:50 am

SconnieCane wrote:
wx98 wrote:The apparently went with 95 mph at 8 am. I thought they usually went from 80 kt/90 mph to 85 kt/100 mph?


Yea that can't be right because they would have to split the difference between 80 and 85 kts. Unless they randomly decided to start doing that now, or it's just a typo of 85 MPH?


I don’t think it’s a typo. They would’ve noticed too quickly. They may upgrade to category 2 at 15z with 85 kt/100 mph.
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#372 Postby ClarCari » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:52 am

What’s this Final Tropical Cyclone Update that’s supposed to be issued for Paulette at 9AM? Could that amend this to Cat.2?

Edit: Jus checked two seconds after posting this and I was right! Cat.2 Paulette as expected with 100mph.
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#373 Postby Buck » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:24 am

Can’t believe in a record breaking season such as this, it took our P storm to be our second Category 2+ hurricane.
This season is perfect to belong in the year 2020... it just doesn’t make sense.
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#374 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:50 am

Paulette's got something in her eye. :lol:
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#375 Postby Nuno » Mon Sep 14, 2020 9:03 am

Hopefully Paulette satisfies the ACElets :roll:
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#376 Postby SconnieCane » Mon Sep 14, 2020 9:13 am

Nuno wrote:Hopefully Paulette satisfies the ACElets :roll:


Nah, that's gonna be Teddy! :lol:
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#377 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Sep 14, 2020 9:30 am

SconnieCane wrote:
Nuno wrote:Hopefully Paulette satisfies the ACElets :roll:


Nah, that's gonna be Teddy! :lol:

Starting to doubt this becomes a major.
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#378 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Sep 14, 2020 9:31 am

Hammy wrote:https://i.imgur.com/23zCr9Q.png

Entire landmass (small as it is) surrounded by a hurricane, not something you see often.

Yet SE Florida hasn’t seen sustained hurricane winds in nearly 15 years! Talk about some strange luck at least for us.
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#379 Postby SconnieCane » Mon Sep 14, 2020 9:33 am

TheStormExpert wrote:
Hammy wrote:https://i.imgur.com/23zCr9Q.png

Entire landmass (small as it is) surrounded by a hurricane, not something you see often.

Yet SE Florida hasn’t seen sustained hurricane winds in nearly 15 years! Talk about some strange luck at least for us.


Yeah it's bordering on the ridiculous especially for those of us who grew up thinking of Andrew as the quintessential hurricane.
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Re: ATL: PAULETTE - Hurricane - Discussion

#380 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Sep 14, 2020 9:38 am

SconnieCane wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:
Hammy wrote:https://i.imgur.com/23zCr9Q.png

Entire landmass (small as it is) surrounded by a hurricane, not something you see often.

Yet SE Florida hasn’t seen sustained hurricane winds in nearly 15 years! Talk about some strange luck at least for us.


Yeah it's bordering on the ridiculous especially for those of us who grew up thinking of Andrew as the quintessential hurricane.

Well for being such a small island in a decent size ocean makes it impressive. Not even the island chain of Hawaii can get a direct hurricane hit.
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