ATL: TEDDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Current storms and invests:

Moderators: hurricanetrack, S2k Moderators

Image
Visit the Storm2K Tropical System Page
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
bob rulz
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1580
Age: 30
Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 7:30 pm
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#181 Postby bob rulz » Tue Sep 15, 2020 3:13 am

This definitely has that "look". Almost looks like a developing WPAC typhoon with that banding.
2 likes   

Do_For_Love
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 209
Age: 30
Joined: Sat May 09, 2015 7:47 am
Location: Delaware

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#182 Postby Do_For_Love » Tue Sep 15, 2020 6:56 am

He's on his way. Should be a fun one to watch blow up, no obstacles, and hopefully avoids causing anybody problems!
1 likes   
Irene '11, Sandy '12, Fay '20, Isaias '20

User avatar
Emmett_Brown
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1193
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:10 pm
Location: East Central Florida

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#183 Postby Emmett_Brown » Tue Sep 15, 2020 7:17 am

Banding taking shape to create an almost eye like feature. Convection really filling in this morning. Teddy could be a monster. The short term motion continues to be slightly to the left of GFS and ECMWF ensemble mean tracks, but models insist on a safe recurve for now. Teddy seemed to be attached to the monsoon trough yesterday, which kept him on a general W track, but it looks like he has broken free, so a more NW motion will start today.
1 likes   

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2379
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#184 Postby aspen » Tue Sep 15, 2020 7:21 am

Teddy does not look like it’s gained much latitude. I sense yet another slight W shift to the forecast cone.
1 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 May 2018 New England Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20

I am neither a meteorology student nor a professional, I'm just a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2379
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#185 Postby aspen » Tue Sep 15, 2020 7:26 am

Eyewall is starting to develop, although it’s very large and ragged.
Image
4 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 May 2018 New England Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20

I am neither a meteorology student nor a professional, I'm just a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2379
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#186 Postby aspen » Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:03 am

Best track is up to 55 kt/999 mbar, still at 13.8N. It’s developing a nice banding eye on visible satellite imagery.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 May 2018 New England Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20

I am neither a meteorology student nor a professional, I'm just a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
tiger_deF
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 279
Age: 19
Joined: Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:47 am

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#187 Postby tiger_deF » Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:05 am

Pretty much all the models show it going full on NW right now, hopefully the relatively western heading is just a wobble
0 likes   

User avatar
gfsperpendicular
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 332
Age: 16
Joined: Mon Jun 19, 2017 3:04 pm
Location: Northern Virginia

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#188 Postby gfsperpendicular » Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:19 am

Eye popping out. I'm no expert but it seems RI could be underway.
Image
8 likes   
I'm not sleeping, I'm waiting for the 0900 UTC advisory!

#1 CMC stan

shiny-pebble
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 259
Joined: Thu Jul 05, 2018 1:38 pm

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#189 Postby shiny-pebble » Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:24 am

Teddy has the look of those massive deep tropics WPAC storms before they take off. Reminds me of Lorenzo last year.

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
4 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7849
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#190 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:40 am

Teddy it’s your time to shine and become the 2nd major hurricane of the season, since Paulette and Sally don’t seem to want to. :lol:
6 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

HuracanMaster
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 35
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2020 11:20 am

Re: RE: Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#191 Postby HuracanMaster » Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:46 am

gfsperpendicular wrote:Eye popping out. I'm no expert but it seems RI could be underway.
Image
Center relocated a bit sw?

Sent from my SM-N986U using Tapatalk
1 likes   

User avatar
weeniepatrol
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 33
Joined: Sat Aug 22, 2020 5:30 pm
Location: Chad, Africa

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#192 Postby weeniepatrol » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:43 am



Beautiful and WPAC-esque.
5 likes   

User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1429
Age: 29
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper and Foley, AL
Contact:

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#193 Postby EquusStorm » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:48 am

Will be a nice consolation prize after Paulette's disappointment lol. Really taking off.
2 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1989
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#194 Postby AnnularCane » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:51 am

EquusStorm wrote:Will be a nice consolation prize after Paulette's disappointment lol. Really taking off.



Hey, leave Paulie alone, she's kind of cool even if she doesn't become a major. :P
2 likes   

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7849
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#195 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:51 am

EquusStorm wrote:Will be a nice consolation prize after Paulette's disappointment lol. Really taking off.

I think smoke from the California wildfires making it all the way across the Northern Hemisphere is to thank for Paulettes failure of achieving major status. HOPEFULLY the same think won’t affect Teddy as I’m ready to see a major that harmlessly affects only the fishes.

Also on second look there’s quite a bit of mid-level dry air just to the west of Teddy.

Image
Last edited by TheStormExpert on Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

MJGarrison
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 74
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 7:26 pm

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#196 Postby MJGarrison » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:54 am

TheStormExpert wrote:
EquusStorm wrote:Will be a nice consolation prize after Paulette's disappointment lol. Really taking off.

I think smoke from the California wildfires making it all the way across the Northern Hemisphere is to thank for Paulettes failure of achieving major status. HOPEFULLY the same think won’t affect Teddy as I’m ready to see a major that harmlessly affects only the fishes.

This is interesting. Do you have a source or further reasoning for this?


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
1 likes   

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7849
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#197 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:55 am

MJGarrison wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:
EquusStorm wrote:Will be a nice consolation prize after Paulette's disappointment lol. Really taking off.

I think smoke from the California wildfires making it all the way across the Northern Hemisphere is to thank for Paulettes failure of achieving major status. HOPEFULLY the same think won’t affect Teddy as I’m ready to see a major that harmlessly affects only the fishes.

This is interesting. Do you have a source or further reasoning for this?


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

I just edited my post above with an image.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
tiger_deF
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 279
Age: 19
Joined: Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:47 am

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#198 Postby tiger_deF » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:55 am

It's way too early to be counting this as 100% a fish storm, at least in the short term he's been consistently south of his forecast track, and the interaction between teddy, every other system rolling around in the Atlantic, and the phase with the trough is very precise.
2 likes   

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1989
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#199 Postby AnnularCane » Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:56 am

I never thought smoke could affect a hurricane so much. Apparently even a nuclear bomb wouldn't break them up from what I've heard.
4 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 120770
Age: 64
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: TEDDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#200 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:49 am

Great the news that the squadron will send a AF plane to fix Teddy on Thursday. I made the Teddy Recon Thread
2 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “Active Storms/Invests - Atlantic/EastPAC/CentralPAC”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 24 guests