ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Chemmers
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3421 Postby Chemmers » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:04 am

Defo looks like an cat 3, would be superise if they do an extreme wind warning soon
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3422 Postby kevin » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:05 am

Is recon in there right now or is there still a recon planned before landfall?
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3423 Postby Fancy1001 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:06 am

kevin wrote:Is recon in there right now or is there still a recon planned before landfall?

Recon recently entered the storm and looks to be doing a Southwest to Northeast pass.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3424 Postby ClarCari » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:06 am

Recon should be on top of this thing now. I’m not sure who’s covering it in the recon thread now.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3425 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:07 am

the vibe of the conditions across multiple streams feels very cat 3ish.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3426 Postby Fancy1001 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:10 am

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:the vibe of the conditions across multiple streams feels very cat 3ish.

If they don't designated as a category 3 before landfall, I have a pretty good feeling they'll say it was 115 mph in the postseason analysis.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3427 Postby cfisher » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:11 am

Watching the eastern inner eyewall's multiple attempts to connect on IR is mesmerizing.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3428 Postby Steve » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:16 am

Hey Javlin,

Good call on Ft. Morgan yesterday afternoon looking at pressure readings. It was a little too early to say that’s where landfall would be 12 hours later (because you need a little smaller of a window of time). But in this case, landfall (at least touch) is the western side of the Eastern Shore. Old technique but effective.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3429 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:24 am

Aric Dunn wrote:Goi live again 5 min.. Completely dark.. Winds have significantly got worse.. wow..


Can you post the link again please?
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3430 Postby 869MB » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:26 am

Aric Dunn wrote:Goi live again 5 min.. Completely dark.. Winds have significantly got worse.. wow..


You captured some pretty powerful winds on this livestream. Your video is very comparable to many of those Hurricane Laura videos. Also kinda reminiscent of that classic 1989 Hurricane Hugo video from Puerto Rico.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3431 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:26 am

>105 kt FL wind on SE side
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3432 Postby Keldeo1997 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:28 am

Image

Tons of 100kt+ FL readings in the SE Eyewall
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3433 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:28 am

There's a decent patch of red on radar to the NE of the eye on shore now over the panhandle. Have there been any tornado warnings for that area? Its gonna be a long day today for the folks in this area.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3434 Postby cfisher » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:29 am

wx98 wrote:>105 kt FL wind on SE side

Whoa
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3435 Postby Hammy » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:29 am

They need to hit that eastern eyewall while it's still over water if we're going to get an accurate measure of intensity at landfall.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3436 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:30 am

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3437 Postby Chris90 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:30 am

eastcoastFL wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Goi live again 5 min.. Completely dark.. Winds have significantly got worse.. wow..


Can you post the link again please?

https://m.facebook.com/Hurricane-Sally-102120354981427/

Here you go! Pretty intense.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3438 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:31 am

Steve wrote:Hey Javlin,

Good call on Ft. Morgan yesterday afternoon looking at pressure readings. It was a little too early to say that’s where landfall would be 12 hours later (because you need a little smaller of a window of time). But in this case, landfall (at least touch) is the western side of the Eastern Shore. Old technique but effective.

What about me? I brought it up in the first place and said Gulf Shores/Orange Beach. :roll: :lol:
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3439 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:32 am

eastcoastFL wrote:There's a decent patch of red on radar to the NE of the eye on shore now over the panhandle. Have there been any tornado warnings for that area? Its gonna be a long day today for the folks in this area.


To be honest they're moving so fast and the wind so strong don't know if you can tell when they pass. I heard the roar from one passing me to the north earlier but don't know that the winds from it were any worse.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3440 Postby cfisher » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:33 am

New convection screaming out of the NW quad should tighten things up
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