ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
wx98
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 802
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2018 9:24 pm

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3441 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:34 am

Gulf Shores now appears to be inside the northern part of the eye. The center of the eye (landfall point) is about 12 miles out still. Moving toward landfall in the next hour and a half, like I’ve been saying all night.
0 likes   

ClarCari
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 263
Joined: Thu Aug 13, 2020 11:02 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3442 Postby ClarCari » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:35 am

Honestly an upgrade to Cat.3 wouldn’t hurt them. Technically the 111MPH translates to roughly 96.5 kt and there’s quite a bit of data supporting that I believe.
115MPH/100kt would be the max soooo it could go either way..
5 likes   

PEA_RIDGE
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 13
Age: 35
Joined: Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:44 pm
Location: MONTEVALLO, AL

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3443 Postby PEA_RIDGE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:36 am

eastcoastFL wrote:There's a decent patch of red on radar to the NE of the eye on shore now over the panhandle. Have there been any tornado warnings for that area? Its gonna be a long day today for the folks in this area.


yes panama city and a few points west have been lit up red all day/night with tor warnings
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

User avatar
wx98
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 802
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2018 9:24 pm

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3444 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:37 am

In a few minutes we will get the eastern eyewall data. I believe 110 mph is good honestly in my opinion.
0 likes   

Blow_Hard
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 147
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2016 4:29 pm
Location: Panama City, FL

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3445 Postby Blow_Hard » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:38 am

PEA_RIDGE wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:There's a decent patch of red on radar to the NE of the eye on shore now over the panhandle. Have there been any tornado warnings for that area? Its gonna be a long day today for the folks in this area.


yes panama city and a few points west have been lit up red all day/night with tor warnings



And they just issued our 4th or 5th one in the last 7 hours....
0 likes   

USTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2020
Age: 32
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2007 3:45 am
Location: Florida State University

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3446 Postby USTropics » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:39 am

Latest zoomed in view:

Image
0 likes   

GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8749
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3447 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:39 am

1 likes   

cfisher
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 336
Joined: Mon Aug 24, 2020 3:40 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3448 Postby cfisher » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:40 am

Needs to tighten up that eye with some convection and it's a Cat 3 imo. Otherwise winds won't make it to the surface.
0 likes   

GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8749
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3449 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:44 am

0 likes   

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1708
Age: 25
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3450 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:46 am

Pensacola going to get hit hard by that eyewall. Being stuck east of the eye means lots of flooding rains...
Last edited by galaxy401 on Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
I don't get hurricanes here but I do get their remnants.

User avatar
wx98
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 802
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2018 9:24 pm

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3451 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:46 am

Around 110 kt FL in eastern eyewall.
0 likes   

Keldeo1997
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 130
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2019 11:35 pm

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3452 Postby Keldeo1997 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:46 am

Image

110Kts FL
0 likes   

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6127
Age: 57
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3453 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:54 am

So I'm on my Lanai with a strong cup of coffee and a Padron 64th Anniversary Cigar saying hello Sally watching the pines doing Yoga.
4 likes   

GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8749
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3454 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:55 am

80 mm/hr rain rate.
Likely intensifying at landfall

Image
2 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3539
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3455 Postby drezee » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:56 am

1 likes   

cfisher
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 336
Joined: Mon Aug 24, 2020 3:40 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3456 Postby cfisher » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:56 am

Yeah it won't landfall until the center gets ashore, not to mention that northern eyewall is about to be replaced by something well offshore.
0 likes   

GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8749
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3457 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:57 am

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
wx98
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 802
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2018 9:24 pm

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3458 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:58 am

Center of circulation is now about 7 miles south of Gulf Shores per radar. Landfall is imminent.
0 likes   

GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8749
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3459 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:59 am

Eye drop

968mb

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
wx98
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 802
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2018 9:24 pm

Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3460 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 16, 2020 4:00 am

4:00 AM CDT Wed Sep 16
Location: 30.1°N 87.7°W
Moving: NNE at 3 mph
Min pressure: 965 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph
0 likes   


Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests