ATL: VICKY - Remnants

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ATL: VICKY - Remnants

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:03 am

AL, 97, 2020091212, , BEST, 0, 145N, 225W, 25, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 120, 80, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 042, SPAWNINVEST, al772020 to al972020,


Thread that was the topic for this wave at Talking Tropics forum.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=121333&p=2853680#p2853680
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#2 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:34 am

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#3 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 12, 2020 9:06 am

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#4 Postby tiger_deF » Sat Sep 12, 2020 9:12 am

Looks better than 95L and Rene already
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#5 Postby us89 » Sat Sep 12, 2020 10:53 am

tiger_deF wrote:Looks better than 95L and Rene already


To be fair, it doesn't take much to look better than Rene right now...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#6 Postby Buck » Sat Sep 12, 2020 11:23 am

Have we ever had 5 names storms in the Atlantic basin simultaneously?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#7 Postby St0rmTh0r » Sat Sep 12, 2020 11:29 am

Buck wrote:Have we ever had 5 names storms in the Atlantic basin simultaneously?

The most I've ever seen is 4 but who knows?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#8 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Sep 12, 2020 1:15 pm

Never in the satellite era have there been 5 active TC's at once.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#9 Postby ClarCari » Sat Sep 12, 2020 1:19 pm

If Rene can hold on for dear life the next few days, all 97L needs to become is at least a depression and we will have the first ever recorded instance of 5 tropical cyclones at once in the Atlantic.

It’s not only doable now, but even if Rene and/or this system busts there is still a whole train of waves and interests for the next several weeks that we could still have it happen,..maybe even 6 :double:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#10 Postby Hurricanehink » Sat Sep 12, 2020 1:42 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Never in the satellite era have there been 5 active TC's at once.


Not quite. September 11-12, 1971 had Fern over Texas, Edith over the Yucatan, Ginger southeast of Bermuda, Heidi east of Florida, Irene as a tropical depression near the Lesser Antilles, a tropical depression near Georgia, and another tropical depression near Africa. 2020 will have to try a bit harder to break that record, assuming all of these systems survive reanalysis.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#11 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Sep 12, 2020 3:32 pm

Still, to think we could get the V storm in mid-September is insane, even if this won't have a very long window to develop.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#12 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 12, 2020 6:41 pm

Showers and thunderstorms located near and west of the Cabo Verde
Islands are associated with a broad area of low pressure.
Environmental conditions support some additional development, and a
tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical
Atlantic during the next two or three days while the system moves
slowly west-northwestward. By mid-week, upper-level winds should
become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#13 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 13, 2020 6:46 am

An area of low pressure is located a little over a hundred miles
west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Although the low's circulation
appears somewhat elongated, the associated shower and thunderstorm
activity is showing some signs of organization. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development
during the next day or so while the system moves toward the
north-northwest at 5 to 10 mph, and a tropical depression is likely
to form before it moves over colder waters and into an area of
strong upper-level winds by Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#14 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 13, 2020 1:22 pm

2 PM TWO:

Satellite-derived wind data from this morning indicated that the
circulation associated with an area of low pressure located a
couple of hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
remains elongated. However, environmental conditions are conducive
for a short-lived tropical depression to form over the next day or
so while the low moves north-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
Development is not expected by Tuesday when the system is forecast
to encounter strong upper-level winds and move over colder waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#15 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 13, 2020 2:51 pm

Poor 97L sitting in dark shadows. The most it could do is become a historical footnote.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#16 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 13, 2020 6:29 pm

2. An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce an
area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are
conducive for a short-lived tropical depression to form on Monday
while the low moves north-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Development
is not expected by Tuesday when the system is forecast to encounter
strong upper-level winds and move over colder waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#17 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Sep 13, 2020 7:17 pm

Time is quickly running out, give up 97L! :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#18 Postby Weather Dude » Sun Sep 13, 2020 10:27 pm

Could become a TD but probably not much more than that
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#19 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 4:45 am

TWENTY-ONE, AL, L, , , , , 21, 2020, TD, O, 2020090718, 9999999999, , 042, , , 6, WARNING, , AL212020
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#20 Postby Ryxn » Mon Sep 14, 2020 4:50 am

Damn FIVE simultaneously TCs......gonna say it again... 2020ing

Forecast to become a brief tropical storm. Why do I smell a repeat of TD10? :lol: If only Rene could somehow restrengthen to a tropical storm or Sally and if-named Vicky can survive long enough for the 10/40 wave off Africa to develop...we'd have a never before seen five tropical storms existing simultaneously
:double:
Last edited by Ryxn on Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:01 am, edited 3 times in total.
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