ATL: VICKY - Remnants

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HurricaneAndre2008
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#21 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 4:51 am

000
WTNT21 KNHC 140947
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212020
1000 UTC MON SEP 14 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 28.3W AT 14/1000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 28.3W AT 14/1000Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 28.2W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.6N 28.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.5N 29.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 21.3N 30.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.9N 32.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.4N 34.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.8N 36.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.4N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 28.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#22 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:32 am

AL, 21, 202009140600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1720N, 2860W, , 3, 35, 2, 1005, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, MMT, I, 5, 2525 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T,


T2.5/2.5 from TAFB earlier today
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#23 Postby Fancy1001 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:47 am

Extratropical94 wrote:
AL, 21, 202009140600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1720N, 2860W, , 3, 35, 2, 1005, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, MMT, I, 5, 2525 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T,


T2.5/2.5 from TAFB earlier today

Are they really going to name this one?
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#24 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:49 am

Fancy1001 wrote:
Extratropical94 wrote:
AL, 21, 202009140600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1720N, 2860W, , 3, 35, 2, 1005, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, MMT, I, 5, 2525 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T,


T2.5/2.5 from TAFB earlier today

Are they really going to name this one?


If they wanted to name it based on a single Dvorak fix, they could've done so in the special advisory. 21 will need to show more proof to get a name IMO.
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#25 Postby Ryxn » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:26 am

Boy Twenty-one is looking messsayyy. Polar opposite of stacked. Even I wasn't this messy at 21. :lol: .....oh wait I turn 21 in January. Maybe just scrap Vicky and name this Tropical Storm Ryan cause I know my 21st will be messy and I definitely won't be stacked cause I'll probably still be laid off :cry:

PS for those who may point out it should be a female name, Ryan is traditionally a unisex name, just watch the movie, Gravity. :wink:

Aight, nuff Netflix. I'm going to bed!
Last edited by Ryxn on Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#26 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Mon Sep 14, 2020 7:35 am

Surprised they classified this one honestly. Unless it looked significantly better yesterday evening and I missed it.
While there appears to be an LLC it looks pretty horrible.
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#27 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:15 am

We have TS VICKY!

AL, 21, 2020091412, , BEST, 0, 184N, 283W, 40, 1002, TS, 34, NEQ, 90, 70, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, VICKY
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#28 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:17 am

Extratropical94 wrote:We have TS VICKY!

AL, 21, 2020091412, , BEST, 0, 184N, 283W, 40, 1002, TS, 34, NEQ, 90, 70, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, VICKY


Wow wasn't expecting that. Unless I am looking in the wrong place doesn't appear to have a single LLC any longer. Multiple little areas of spin in there. Looks like we will have 5 named storms at once though. Impressive.
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#29 Postby ouragans » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:19 am

Incredible :eek: 5 named storms at the same time
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#30 Postby Ubuntwo » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:21 am

Extratropical94 wrote:
Fancy1001 wrote:
Extratropical94 wrote:
AL, 21, 202009140600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1720N, 2860W, , 3, 35, 2, 1005, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, MMT, I, 5, 2525 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T,


T2.5/2.5 from TAFB earlier today

Are they really going to name this one?


If they wanted to name it based on a single Dvorak fix, they could've done so in the special advisory. 21 will need to show more proof to get a name IMO.

Image
Probably based off this ASCAT pass.
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#31 Postby Ryxn » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:22 am

Extratropical94 wrote:We have TS VICKY!

AL, 21, 2020091412, , BEST, 0, 184N, 283W, 40, 1002, TS, 34, NEQ, 90, 70, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, VICKY


Fine Vicky.... you win :roll: let's have a drink sometime. We can be a hot mess together :grrr: Just don't think you make any hot towers just cause of some liquid courage. Your waters aren't that warm hun :lol:

But holy crop 5 named storms (4 tropical storms) all simultaneously spinning. Insaneee
Last edited by Ryxn on Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:39 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#32 Postby zhukm29 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:22 am

ASCAT supports the upgrade:

Image
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Re: ATL: TWENTY - ONE - Tropical Depression

#33 Postby shiny-pebble » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:26 am

I never really cared if storms like this got named, but this year when these weak fishes get named, it's aggravating lol. Only one name left!!! It's September 14th!!!!!

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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm

#34 Postby Weather Dude » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:32 am

Nhc really wants to get to Hurricane Omega this year :lol:
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm

#35 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:40 am

Yeah absolutely increduous virtually getting through all but one name left on the list and we are just getting to mid-September.

This 2020 year is definitely.one of the most atypical years I have ever seen.
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm

#36 Postby Jonny » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:43 am

Without a doubt, we’ll likely have at least 3 greek cyclones before October 1st.
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm

#37 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:46 am

Does anyone has the record of the letter V when it was and now Vicky surpasses?
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm

#38 Postby Ryxn » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:47 am

Boy the Atlantic is fertile this year. She's been having twins after twins after twins since July 21 and now she be like let's shake things up and have quintuplets :eek: sheesh maybe give a few rascals up for adoption, I know the EPAC would gladly take :D

...This really becomes dark once you realize poor mama Atlantic lost 15 children including 4 sets of twins, it just, it just :( breaks my heart. But take Rene, he a rascal who refuseth to die. Don't take Vicky tho, she my girl 8-)
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm

#39 Postby kevin » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:48 am

cycloneye wrote:Does anyone has the record of the letter V when it was and now Vicky surpasses?


Vince: the 9th of October, 2005.
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Re: ATL: VICKY - Tropical Storm

#40 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:49 am

At this rate we will handily beat 2005 as the most active hurricane season on record (in terms of named storm count).
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