BoB: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR

[Crostorm]

[f5]

I hope relief agencies are ready beacuse after this moves through who evers survives is gonna be homeless they are gonna need relief supplies

[kd_black]

Yes the government has already deployed aid workers and the newspaper is saying that all the shelters has been opened since last night as people started to come in. Only some fishermen and their boats have not reached to the safty yet and the number is more than 100+.

[f5]

this is a very poor country these people are gonna need relief from other nations the same way the nations affected by the tsusnami needed assistance WHAT EVEN MORE AMAZING THE MEDIA IS FOCUSED ON OJ GOING TO TRIAL GET IT THEY ARE MORE CONCREN ABOUT OJ SIMPSON THEN THEY ARE CONCERNED BY A CYCLONE THATS ABOUT TO WRECK THROUGH MILLIONS OF LIVES.

[WindRunner]

Cloud tops warming . . . finally . . .

I don't think that weakening has quite begun, though, it's probably just peaking out and leaving a nice ~-80C ring for its final pre-landfall portraits . . .

[f5]

windrunner as we learned in Katrina its the surge thats going to be the killer not the wind even tough the winds weaken the surge isn't

[WindRunner]

Oh yes, but the winds play a big role here too . . . as the core/RFQ should be coming ashore in SW Bangladesh (i.e. Sundarbans Mangrove Forest), the winds will play a large role there in potentially knocking down those trees. The more trees that get knocked down, the more prone to flooding and erosion that area will be. And, as mentioned much earlier in the thread, the Sundarbans is home to about 4 million people . . . not much in comparison to the rest of the country, but still a VERY large number to have in the path of a high-end Cat 4 at landfall.

[f5]

Bangladesh is hardly above sea level and with a 30 foot wall of water that water is goona just sit there and on top of that heavy rain .so i hope the Media jumps on this and quits talking about OJ

[Crostorm]

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 15-11-2007



TROPICAL STORM “SIDR” ADVISORY NO. TWENTY FIVE ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 15 NOVEMBER, 2007.





THE VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM “SIDR” OVER EASTCENTRAL AND ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL MOVED FURTHER NORTHWARDS AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF 15TH NOVEMBER 2007 OVER EASTCENTRAL AND ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL AND NORTH BAY OF BENGAL NEAR LAT. 18.00 N AND LONG 89.00 E, ABOUT 530 KM SOUTH OF KOLKATA(42809).



ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE: 944 hPa.



THE SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW SOLID INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CIRCULAR CONVECTIVE CLOUDS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. EYE IS VISIBLE. CURRENT INTENSITY: T6.0 RPT T6.0. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEED IS 115-125 KTS AROUND THE STORM CENTRE.



SEA: PHENOMENAL.



FORECAST: THE STORM IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND MOVE IN A NORTHERLY DIRECTION AT ABOUT 12 KT AND CROSS WEST BENGAL-BANGLADESH COAST EAST OF SAGAR ISLAND (42903) NEAR LONG 890 E BETWEEN 1800-2100 UTC OF TODAY THE 15TH NOVEMBER 2007.



INTENSITY T6.5 RPT T6.5 WITH, MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF 200 KMPH LIKELY OVER WEST BENGAL-BANGLADESH COAST. STORM SURGE OF HEIGHT 6-7 METRES ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LIKELY OVER COASTAL AREAS OF WEST BENGAL-BANGLADESH COAST AT THE TIME OF LANDFALL.

[kd_black]

It looks like getting more speed and moving fast.

[fromBd]

I live in the coastal area of Bangladesh, however my place does not fall directly in the path of the storm.

Around 40000 work force is working to alert people and move them to shelter. What I am afraid is that, there had been few number 10 great danger signal on cyclones that did not do much damage in last couple of years. So, a lot people will take the storm a bit reluctantly in spite of all the effort by the administration.

I am also afraid, still today, broadcast and print media is treating this storm as another great big storm. The sense of alarm and urgency is still absent in the body language.

As per the projected path,sidr looks like going over sundarbans which is the least populated area of bangladesh but the first picture of the day looked really scary.With such enormous size even if its going over sundarban its gonna hit, areas like vola, shondeep and other islands.And, the surge will be catastrophe.

The people in the coastal part of our country are very resilient. Communications has improved,affluent people afford TV-internet-radio, lives in brick built houses and a lot of shelters were built after 91.
So, with the time we have got, there is always room for one to be moved to a safe place.

I just hope and pray the media,administration and the people realize it is just not another storm and few more lives can be saved.

Let Almighty be merciful.

[kd_black]

hi form BD, I am from bd too but not living in the country right this moment. Can you please tell us about the storm situation and also what the wind condition there? We are really worried about the lives in costal area. I have heard that a lot of fishing boats are still in the sea!

[Typhoon Hunter]

Thanks for that update from the ground fromBd. Stay safe and I really hope that a catastrophic situation with Sidr is somehow averted, but sadly that's looking highly unlikely.

[HurricaneBill]

FromBD, Kd_Black, and all other posters living in or having family in the vicinity of this storm:

You are in my thoughts and prayers. I hope things turn out all right for you and your families. As dire as this situation is, people will find a way to survive. Like you said, the people are resilient.

Bangladesh may get devastated by Sidr, but it will not be destroyed.

Stay safe and good luck.

[fromBd]

Thanks to all of you for your concern. I feel moved.

Around .6 million people have been evacuated to higher land by government in cyclone shelters and schools and colleges.
Through mike(loud speaker) announcement has been made in remotest areas.Hope people are listening.
Media report suggests, some 100 fisherman went to fishing amidst this condition, stating the sea is not rough yet.
Sundarban fishermans and bawalis has also been warned and moved to storm shelter as per media report.
This would be a true test of this countries ability to face such storm.

Here in Chittagong, there is not much wind and its drizzling. Saw in news that in coxsbazar,khulna the weather has gone rough.
National news is saying, the storms gonna hit today at 1800 hours to 2100 hours. With GMT+6 time difference which is 9 hours earlier than the prediction made here.

Maybe authorities bring it forward so that, people comes earlier in the shelter.

The destruction is inevitable, hope lives are saved.

Rest on almighty.

[Typhoon Hunter]

Urghh...it gets worse. JTWC warning 12 out - 135kts to 165kts. Landfall in just under 12 hours at 130kts and the track has shifted to the east.

Starting to get this terrible sense of dread which I've never felt before whilst tracking TCs.

[Chacor]

BBC WORLD SERVICE LATEST - BANGLADESH MET DEPT SAYS LANDFALL WITHIN THREE HOURS.

[kd_black]

So what is the destination of the landfall now?

[Chacor]

So what is the destination of the landfall now?

Along the Bangladeshi coast east of the border. However the exact point of landfall is not important, as the size of the storm means that almost the whole country will feel the force of this storm.

[HurricaneBill]

Finding information on past cyclonic storms is not easy. If you want the best track data you would have to write to an address in India I was told by the IMD.

Here, I found this:

Data Rescue/ India

Scroll down to part C for information on past cyclones. However, the info is in PDF files.