BoB: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR

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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#541 Postby Sanibel » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:18 am

Image


You can see the outflow band up to the NE that vented this storm and revved it up.
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#542 Postby WindRunner » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:21 am

Sidr is probably going to hit land around 2100z tomorrow (that's 16 hours from now).

You can find updated satellite images of Sidr here: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html - clicking on 06B.SIDR on the left side of the page will give you options for different kinds of imagery, but use the links for the VIS and IR in the upper right corner.
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#543 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:21 am

kd_black wrote:Guys anybody knows when the SIDR is going to hit the land and where I can get the updated satellite image of this storm?

I'd highly recommend the following...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
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#544 Postby kd_black » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:23 am

Thanks Sanible,
can you pls provide me a web address so that I can keep a track on this storm and also be able to get the updated satellite images!!
It would be a great help.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#545 Postby philnyc » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:26 am

wxmann_91 wrote:
Sanibel wrote:You don't get the symmetrical radial outflow feathers we saw this morning without a perfect overhead. I need a motion loop, but I would say just east of the India/Bangladesh border for intense landfall. Eastern Sunderbans tiger population should be badly affected. Not to mention a disasterous death toll.

I am having trouble with not having a clear eye. I don't think it is possible to have a high-end intensity cyclone without a clear, sharp eye.

Opal, which peaked at 150 mph and had a minimum central pressure of 916 mb, never even had an eye and its synoptic setup was not terribly different than this one. Satellite estimates proved to be useless during that storm. This storm has been much more symmetrical and its cloud tops have been nothing to scoff at.


You are right, wxmann_91, although you meant "never even had an OBSERVABLE eye on satellite". It's not uncommon at all for upper level winds to carry high clouds over the eye and obscure it, and it doesn't matter whether it's a cat 1 or cat 5.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#546 Postby Sanibel » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:28 am

Image



Eye clearing. Kid Black: This site is all you need.
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#547 Postby kd_black » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:29 am

THANK YOU EVERYBODY.
I have friends in Chittagong and really woried about them as these images are really scarry. Hope they will be safe.
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#548 Postby WindRunner » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:30 am

kd_black wrote:THANK YOU EVERYBODY.
I have friends in Chittagong and really woried about them as these images are really scarry. Hope they will be safe.


If you can, please tell them to evacuate to the north and east . . . the further inland/away from the coast they can get, the better off they will be. Chittagong won't be in the worst of the storm, but the storm surge should still be pretty devastating and the winds will also be fairly significant as well.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#549 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:32 am

wxmann_91 wrote:Opal, which peaked at 150 mph and had a minimum central pressure of 916 mb, never even had an eye and its synoptic setup was not terribly different than this one.


Actually, Opal did have an eye. It was a small one but was there.

Image
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#550 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:33 am

kd_black wrote:THANK YOU EVERYBODY.
I have friends in Chittagong and really woried about them as these images are really scarry. Hope they will be safe.


I hope your friends and all the people of Chittagong are safe.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#551 Postby Sanibel » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:34 am

Chittagong should be well east of the worst.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#552 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:34 am

I did not know there was internet in Bangladesh. I thought it was one of the poorest countries on earth. Also it appears that this is a cat5 heading towards them, which they are a low laying area. This is once every 20 years, what we are seeing.
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#553 Postby kd_black » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:36 am

I am trying to call but I am not in the country now and also I couldn't get the line. I got to know frm my mother that It has already started raining in Dhaka and the sky looks very dark over chittagong this morning. Some newspapers are saying that this storm is going to hit the land today at 11am Bangladesh time.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#554 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:37 am

HurricaneBill wrote:
Actually, Opal did have an eye. It was a small one but was there.

Image


Opal was a monster hurricane also. It had hurricane force winds extending up to 150 miles from the center.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#555 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:40 am

Sanibel wrote:Chittagong should be well east of the worst.


The storm surge could be far-reaching though...major storm surge damage from Katrina extended east over 150 miles from the eye as far as the western Florida Panhandle...and it was over 18 feet as far east as Pascagoula, nearly 70 miles from the eye...
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#556 Postby kd_black » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:41 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I did not know there was internet in Bangladesh. I thought it was one of the poorest countries on earth. Also it appears that this is a cat5 heading towards them, which they are a low laying area. This is once every 20 years, what we are seeing.


Matt, Bangladesh is not the pooerst country in the earth. You dont have any idea, We even have internet in Shonadia island far form Cox-Bazar. They have their own POP staion.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#557 Postby Sanibel » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:44 am

If Sidr hits right on the border of India Chittagong will be 165 miles east of the eye.

All said his people should follow local emergency advice. It depends on where they live, what structure, and what exposure, etc.
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#558 Postby WindRunner » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:48 am

kd_black wrote:I am trying to call but I am not in the country now and also I couldn't get the line. I got to know frm my mother that It has already started raining in Dhaka and the sky looks very dark over chittagong this morning. Some newspapers are saying that this storm is going to hit the land today at 11am Bangladesh time.


That's probably a bit premature . . . because that would be about now, right? I believe one of our professionals estimated around 3am local time tonight (about 4pm EST), but it could also be a touch later than that.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#559 Postby kd_black » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:50 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I did not know there was internet in Bangladesh. I thought it was one of the poorest countries on earth. Also it appears that this is a cat5 heading towards them, which they are a low laying area. This is once every 20 years, what we are seeing.


Dear Matt you dont know anything about Bangladesh. We have internet connection even on MoheshKhali and Shonadia Island which are 20Km away from the main land. And Bangladesh is not the poorest country in the world.
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Re: Bay of Bengal: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm SIDR 0709

#560 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Nov 15, 2007 12:53 am

May not be that poor, but a lot of people can get killed with the density and how low laying it is. Hopefully no one gets killed, but this is not a good thing what is moving northward.
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