CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Wx_Warrior]

The 500 is better for me as well...Keep posting and keep up the good work!!!!

[Brent]

48 hours at 500 mb

[HURAKAN]

When does the next report come in?

5 PM.

[Blown Away]

With this slower motion, the track could change dramatically. I would not let my guard down if I live along the E Atlantic coast/Bermuda.

I think the east coast is safe from Ga up. JMO

I think they said the same thing about Ernesto and the Carolinas got the worst of that storm. Now matter what they tell me I always error on the right/poleward side of any storm. FL and EC fall into that area.

[gocuse08]

do you think it will be upgraded by then?

[Rainband]

Hello to all! i'am watching very carrefully this one...A real threat for the central islands of the carribean..Will give you updates of the situation if necessary...

Thanks. I think everyone should be thinking of our friends in the Islands before we get in a debate about TX verses Florida. The real threat is there at the moment. Those of us that have been doing this for a while know how things change in the Tropics and this is days away from anywhere. Like mentioned in a previous post please take the chit chat to the chatroom or Pm. Thanks.

[RL3AO]

do you think it will be upgraded by then?

IMO is is 40/60. We are getting into that time where systems start to lose strength. I would think 5am or 11am for the upgrade.

[HURAKAN]

do you think it will be upgraded by then?

Convection is developing over the apparent LLC. Lets wait until 3 PM or so to make that call!!!

[KFDM Meteorologist]

72 Hour surface

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_072l.gif

[CrazyC83]

do you think it will be upgraded by then?

I don't think so. It will be slow for the next 72 hours I think...

[marcane_1973]

My mom and pops just moved into a new house recently in the Pawleys Island in S.C. Anybody see any evidence down the road that this could be a threat North of Florida and what key ingredients would have to come together for this scenerio to become a real deal possibilty???

[miamicanes177]

Any ideas as to why this is so much slower guys...I thought it could be center location but this is a very significant slow down just for center relocation.

[cheezyWXguy]

do you think it will be upgraded by then?

Its too early to tell at the moment. The center is hard to locate, even according to the NHC. Right now, convection is weakening on the west side, but is also growing on the south side, trying to go up the east side of it. Also shear is only marginal, which could hinder intensification. I think theres a shot at 5, but I think chances go up towards 11pm

[KFDM Meteorologist]

72 500, High is over the SE

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_072l.gif

[storms in NC]

With this slower motion, the track could change dramatically. I would not let my guard down if I live along the E Atlantic coast/Bermuda.

I think the east coast is safe from Ga up. JMO

I think they said the same thing about Ernesto and the Carolinas got the worst of that storm. Now matter what they tell me I always error on the right/poleward side of any storm. FL and EC fall into that area.

True My house was in a lake for a week. Glad we rised the house up to 4 foot.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_072l.gif

[Hurricaneman]

I think it depicts a weaker ridge, so it will not move as fast according to this run

[gocuse08]

72 500, High is over the SE

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_072l.gif

i live in Texas is that bad if the high is over the SE

[Sanibel]

Important to note that the satellite makes it look like TD4 has centered more around 12N this morning rather than the 13N quickscat had it at last night. There was even a pseudo eye on one frame.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

96 HR Surface

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_096l.gif