Tropical Depression FIVE: Recon Discussion

[Thunder44]

Please, discuss recon reports here.

The recon is now about 130 miles SW of St. Petersburg, FL.

[westcoastfl]

Recon is on its way to TD#5


Shot at 2007-08-15

[HURAKAN]

URNT15 KWBC 151134
NOAA2 0205A CYCLONE HDOB 11 20070815
112500 2603N 09020W 5481 05174 0284 +004 -020 148014 014 999 999 03
112530 2605N 09022W 5486 05165 0282 +004 -024 151015 015 999 999 03
112600 2607N 09024W 5480 05175 0283 +006 -027 159016 016 999 999 03
112630 2609N 09025W 5480 05176 0284 +008 -030 159015 016 999 999 03
112700 2611N 09027W 5483 05173 0284 +009 -033 153014 015 999 999 03
112730 2613N 09028W 5483 05174 0284 +012 -035 169018 020 999 999 03
112800 2615N 09030W 5482 05175 0284 +014 -035 160021 022 999 999 03
112830 2616N 09032W 5482 05174 0285 +009 -033 153019 019 999 999 03
112900 2617N 09035W 5484 05174 0285 +009 -037 146018 020 999 999 03
112930 2617N 09037W 5479 05179 0287 +008 -005 137023 024 999 999 03
113000 2615N 09039W 5466 05198 0287 +002 -003 122022 024 999 999 03
113030 2613N 09041W 5459 05208 0286 +001 -021 141018 020 999 999 03
113100 2612N 09043W 5450 05222 0288 +003 -035 138018 019 999 999 03
113130 2610N 09045W 5510 05131 0071 +004 -029 151017 018 999 999 03
113200 2609N 09047W 5642 04942 0084 +009 -016 145018 019 999 999 03
113230 2608N 09049W 5773 04758 0085 +019 +003 142018 020 999 999 03
113300 2607N 09051W 5902 04579 0079 +034 -007 148013 014 999 999 03
113330 2605N 09054W 6117 04288 0082 +052 +002 140016 018 999 999 03
113400 2604N 09056W 6280 04069 0077 +067 +008 139019 020 999 999 03
113430 2603N 09058W 6448 03851 0082 +074 +037 135021 025 999 999 03


Descending to operational altitude

Winds increasing, good sign.

[westcoastfl]

URNT15 KWBC 151154
NOAA2 0205A CYCLONE HDOB 13 20070815
114500 2539N 09136W 9583 00450 0070 +259 +259 130024 025 999 999 03
114530 2538N 09138W 9575 00456 0077 +255 +252 133022 025 999 999 03
114600 2537N 09139W 9585 00449 0081 +260 +240 134025 026 999 999 03
114630 2536N 09141W 9584 00450 0081 +259 +239 135027 028 999 999 03
114700 2535N 09143W 9582 00453 0080 +258 +242 133025 026 999 999 03
114730 2534N 09145W 9582 00450 0079 +259 +241 137024 026 999 999 03
114800 2533N 09147W 9583 00448 0078 +259 +238 134027 028 999 999 03
114830 2533N 09149W 9583 00448 0077 +259 +239 134028 029 999 999 03
114900 2532N 09151W 9582 00450 0078 +258 +241 133026 027 999 999 03
114930 2531N 09153W 9583 00450 0078 +257 +245 132023 023 999 999 03
115000 2531N 09155W 9584 00447 0077 +258 +242 135026 027 999 999 03
115030 2530N 09157W 9580 00449 0075 +257 +243 134026 026 999 999 03
115100 2529N 09159W 9584 00446 0074 +257 +240 131026 026 999 999 03
115130 2528N 09201W 9579 00449 0075 +256 +241 132025 025 999 999 03
115200 2527N 09202W 9565 00460 0074 +260 +225 130029 030 999 999 03
115230 2526N 09204W 9562 00465 0075 +257 +232 129030 031 999 999 03
115300 2525N 09206W 9542 00482 0075 +252 +236 133027 029 999 999 03
115330 2524N 09208W 9540 00484 0075 +247 +237 131028 030 999 999 03
115400 2523N 09210W 9567 00458 0075 +247 +245 138028 029 999 999 03
115430 2522N 09211W 9583 00445 0075 +254 +248 146029 031 999 999 03


Up to 30 knot sustained and 31 knot gust

[HURAKAN]

But that's flight level, right?

[Thunder44]

But that's flight level, right?

Yes, there are in system now, and they haven't found any winds to confirm TS intensity yet.

[HenkL]

New GoogleEarth file with recon flight positions, and winddir/maxwind on flight level:
http://wxgr.nl/tmppic/WXRecon.kml
Latest position in red. File wll auto resfresh every 5 minutes.

[westcoastfl]

But that's flight level, right?

I'm sure it is, and I dont know what reduction should be used here... 90%??

[sevenleft]

SE winds at 25N/92W. Not a good sign for finding a strong circulation underneath the convection.

[WmE]

80% I guess.

[HURAKAN]

URNT15 KWBC 151224
NOAA2 0205A CYCLONE HDOB 16 20070815
121500 2435N 09311W 9550 00466 0066 +247 +237 195005 006 999 999 03
121530 2434N 09313W 9548 00468 0065 +249 +234 206006 006 999 999 03
121600 2432N 09314W 9549 00466 0064 +250 +231 215006 006 999 999 03
121630 2431N 09315W 9549 00467 0065 +250 +231 222006 006 999 999 03
121700 2430N 09317W 9550 00465 0065 +248 +232 229005 005 999 999 03
121730 2428N 09318W 9549 00467 0065 +248 +235 237004 005 003 000 03
121800 2427N 09320W 9549 00467 0066 +248 +236 241004 004 999 999 03
121830 2426N 09321W 9549 00466 0066 +247 +238 232005 006 999 999 03
121900 2424N 09322W 9551 00465 0066 +248 +234 257004 005 999 999 03
121930 2423N 09324W 9549 00467 0066 +248 +233 246005 006 999 999 03
122000 2422N 09325W 9551 00466 0066 +250 +228 229004 004 999 999 03
122030 2421N 09327W 9549 00468 0068 +249 +231 214003 003 999 999 03
122100 2419N 09328W 9551 00467 0068 +250 +226 252003 003 999 999 03
122130 2418N 09330W 9549 00469 0068 +252 +220 267003 003 999 999 03
122200 2417N 09331W 9550 00468 0069 +248 +233 224001 002 999 999 03
122230 2415N 09332W 9550 00468 0068 +251 +226 183001 001 999 999 03
122300 2414N 09334W 9551 00467 0068 +249 +231 279001 002 999 999 03
122330 2413N 09335W 9548 00470 0068 +249 +230 256002 002 999 999 03
122400 2412N 09337W 9551 00468 0068 +250 +228 245002 002 999 999 03
122430 2410N 09338W 9549 00469 0068 +248 +235 297002 002 999 999 03

Good candidate for the center.