CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Category 5]

Dean is basically been thrown back to when he came off of Africa, he'll have to start all over again, can he do it before he hits cooler water?

[NetZeroZeus]

NetZeroZeus, how many inches of rain do you think you've had so far?

If I had to guess..9 to 10 inches at least, in 12 hours. That may be conservative, since just regular afternoon storms last about 3 hours and the big ones drop around 4 to 5 inches. And there is a drainage canal 2 blocks from my house that runs parallel to a major road artery, apparently it broke it's banks at around 1 am last night, putting up to 6 inches of water on a major 6 lane road. It's gone down for now, since this canal is only 9 blocks from the ocean, so it drains fairly quickly after reaching it's maxima.
From looking at satellite the good news is that the convection that was headed our way is slowly falling apart, and I believe the worst of it is over, but I expect there to be major damage and flooding in the lowlying inland parts, which also happens to be where most poor people live. The mountains aren't really helping either, since they squeeze the moisture out of the clouds and you get more rain.
PVR's weather station doesn't even report precipitation, and amounts can wildly vary over a small distance here.

EDIT: First death reported here due to flooding.

[Windsurfer_NYC]

It looks like the remnants of Dean have emerged over the Eastern Pacific, and been renamed 93E (Per NRL)

[Sanibel]

Weak convection however. Dean still has some kick. What a demon.


We should do a review of our coverage of Dean. I must admit I got pulled into thinking Dean was going to Texas early on because of climatology. A system like this rarely landed south of Brownsville, so GFS' recurve runs made me think it was seeing a weakness. I averaged its error rate and figured Texas was certain. Wrong. Next, this storm wasn't as wide as we were thinking. It also wasn't as strong. We should have seen what Dean had when he gave us a measure south of Jamaica. Belize only got 70mph where I assumed it would get at least 100mph. Wrong. Some were shouting about Chetumal being leveled. Wrong. Dean missed about 20 miles north and the south side winds were not as strong as some were shouting.

In the NY Times yesterday was a picture of a small Mexican concrete house de-roofed and flipped on its side in the landfall area. The entire house flipped up on its side and open to sight from the missing roof.

[Lowpressure]

I agree with a bunch of your post. Climo says poleward, especially cat 4. It was hard to imagine Dean staying west for so long. The ridge was so strong. If here in Charlotte we see 104 degrees, that is a nasty ridge. I still would have bet Central Texas when Dean entered the Carib. Models will digest a lot of data from that one.

Did you hear about the unmanned drones to fly into hurricanes? Launching out of Key West. I am not sure whether they got into Dean or not. They can go under 1000 feet.

[ohiostorm]

I'm sure this was already talked about but I didn't have time to search. People over at Airliners.net are wondering if there was significant damage to Jamaica's main airport. Anyone know any details?

[ohiostorm]

WOW. That's just incredible. Does look like a nuke went off.

[Derek Ortt]

the aerosonde did not fly into Dean. Operations do not start for a few more days

[StormScanWx]

the aerosonde did not fly into Dean. Operations do not start for a few more days

Does anyone have a link to read more about this please?

[HurricaneBill]

Reports of at least 8 dead in Mexico.

[cycloneye]

Reports of at least 8 dead in Mexico.

Is there a link to the report?

[Sanibel]

Center burst upon arrival over water.

I think they need drones because I don't entirely trust that surface estimate.

[Javlin]

Frankly, it looks like the Mississippi gulf coast after Katrina......MGC

My thoughts exactly it's the water but these guys did have the wind for many miles inland

[Derek Ortt]

could I have a source please for the report of 8 Mexican dead

[JonathanBelles]

Wikipedia now has 32 dead with 10 dead in Mexico.

[Dick Pache]

Aerosonde info (may be olde)

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/project2005/aerosonde.html

Interesting links and PPT

[TampaFl]

From Jeff Masters Blog @ Weatherunderground:


http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=763&tstamp=200708

[cheezyWXguy]

Yeah, imagine if Dean hit the gulf coast(strengthening cat5) as opposed to katrina. Although Dean was weaker at peak by a little and reached its peak at landfall, and since it had been around for much longer than Katrina had, the surge could fairly close in size

[CrazyC83]

The end of a wild, wild storm. I just hope and pray that damage continues to be minimal due to hitting sparsely populated areas.

I've been holding up from doing this, but I can resist no more. Dean, yeah, you're pretty likely to get it after this season's over. Good riddance.

Godspeed be with the victims and the families of this hurricane, and may we do all we can to help clean the damage.

-Andrew92

First time in 22 months someone is going to the can...

[CajunMama]

The 8 might have been announced on radio but all I had to do was check cnn.com or foxnews.com.

There's been 21 deaths the carribbean from dean and 4 in mexico according to cnn.
http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/americas/ ... index.html

Fox is reporting 8 dead in mexico.
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,294407,00.html