Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche

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Cyclone1
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#41 Postby Cyclone1 » Sun Aug 26, 2007 7:04 pm

Extremely close to landfall.
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Re: Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche-Discussions-Analysis-Imagery

#42 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 26, 2007 7:08 pm

MAIN FEATURE IN THE AREA THIS EVENING IS A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED JUST EAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO. AS OF 21Z...THE
LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 22N97W WITH 1008 MB. THIS SYSTEM HAVE BECOME
A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INLAND LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY...AND SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
SLOWLY WESTWARD. TAMPICO REPORTED NLY WINDS OF 22 KT AND TSRA
DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS. THE ASSOCIATED SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 20N-26N WEST OF 90W...INCLUDING ALSO THE
EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS.


From the 8 PM discussion by TPC.
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#43 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Aug 26, 2007 7:49 pm

One thing for sure: it will worsen the flooding caused by Dean...
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Re: Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche-Discussions-Analysis-Imagery

#44 Postby lrak » Sun Aug 26, 2007 8:19 pm

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMTM.html


wouldn't these wind directions hint at a northward drift.
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Re: Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche-Discussions-Analysis-Imagery

#45 Postby tailgater » Sun Aug 26, 2007 8:37 pm

lrak wrote:http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMTM.html


wouldn't these wind directions hint at a northward drift.

I'm not sure if it's north but it's not west either, but everything points to some sort of westward motion. That being said the pressures are falling slowly and winds are strong enough to be classifed. I guess their thinking is that it doesn't make any difference, rain will be the main concern.
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Re: Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche-Discussions-Analysis-Imagery

#46 Postby lrak » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:08 pm

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMTM.html

Lots of W in the wind, a few hundred more miles and :double:
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Re: Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche-Discussions-Analysis-Imagery

#47 Postby Berwick Bay » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:10 pm

Tailgator, that is really a beautiful picture of a tiger. Love that shot. You're a strong poster anyway, but that mascot has me tuning into to all of your posts.
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Re: Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche-Discussions-Analysis-Imagery

#48 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:16 pm

ABNT20 KNHC 270214
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL MEXICO HAVE CHANGED
LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INLAND LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY...AND SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO
AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A
CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION AND DEVELOPMENT..IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO
BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH

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Re: Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche-Discussions-Analysis-Imagery

#49 Postby lrak » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:19 pm

Now they moved the L 1008 a little futher East on the NHC Floater :spam:
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Re: Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche-Discussions-Analysis-Imagery

#50 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 27, 2007 7:43 am

Next!

It's dead, Jim!
Image
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Re: Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche-Discussions-Analysis-Imagery

#51 Postby lrak » Mon Aug 27, 2007 8:21 am

I guess WNW means NW to NHC. Started in BOC and ended up in N Mex? WNW?
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Re: Invest 93L in Bay of Campeche-Discussions-Analysis-Imagery

#52 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 27, 2007 10:38 am

That thing had something to it. It has dense convection and form over land. It would have been a good system had it stayed over water. The Gulf is ready.
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#53 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 27, 2007 11:56 am

Gone from NRL.
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