Tropical Depression TEN Threat Area: North Gulf Coast

[beachbum_al]

I can try to take pictures throughout the next couple of days and post from South AL. (Mobile Bay) I don't have a webcam but my camera does a pretty good job of recording.

[attallaman]

The system has just been classified as a sub-tropical system. If it doesn't reach tropical storm status we should still be concerned about heavy rains; some wind and the biggest threat would be possible tornadoes(sp?)? Any chance this system will reach tropical storm status? My local ABC TV affiliate here in Biloxi has just announced that our area is under a TS warning. I wonder if whatever's out there will reach TS Bill status?

[Janie2006]

The system has just been classified as a sub-tropical system. If it doesn't reach tropical storm status we should still be concerned about heavy rains; some wind and the biggest threat would be possible tornadoes(sp?)? Any chance this system will reach tropical storm status? My local ABC TV affiliate here in Biloxi has just announced that our area is under a TS warning. I wonder if whatever's out there will reach TS Bill status?

I'd say those chances are better than average. In fact, I've gone with a moderate tropical storm all along. Tornadic activity is a given with landfalling tropical systems, though it remains to be seen exactly what will happen for us in that regard. NWS-Jackson states that tornadic activity is possible along and south of the I-20 corridor, but more likely along and south of the Highway 84 corridor.

[attallaman]

The system has just been classified as a sub-tropical system. If it doesn't reach tropical storm status we should still be concerned about heavy rains; some wind and the biggest threat would be possible tornadoes(sp?)? Any chance this system will reach tropical storm status? My local ABC TV affiliate here in Biloxi has just announced that our area is under a TS warning. I wonder if whatever's out there will reach TS Bill status?

I'd say those chances are better than average. In fact, I've gone with a moderate tropical storm all along. Tornadic activity is a given with landfalling tropical systems, though it remains to be seen exactly what will happen for us in that regard. NWS-Jackson states that tornadic activity is possible along and south of the I-20 corridor, but more likely along and south of the Highway 84 corridor.

But you don't see this system reaching CAT 1 hurricane status do you because of it's close proximity to land?

[Janie2006]

But you don't see this system reaching CAT 1 hurricane status do you because of it's close proximity to land?

Keeping in mind that I represent no official forecasting agency or Storm 2K.....

I think is doubtful at best, though it isn't outside the realm of possibility. There are several inhibiting factors at play.

[duris]

Hey, good news. We are (more) prepared in New Orleans. But it's a secret!

City may open storm shelters but won't say where
Posted by The Times-Picayune September 21, 2007 12:16PM
Mayor Ray Nagin said Friday morning that if winds associated with a tropical depression heading toward New Orleans reach 35 to 40 mph, he will call for New Orleans residents living in trailers to evacuate the temporary homes.

Nagin said the city will open shelters as a last resort for trailer dwellers who cannot seek refuge in their partially rebuilt homes, or with friends or relatives.

The mayor said city officials have identified the shelter locations, but he refused to say where they are or how many shelters will be available.

"We'll give you that list if we need it," Nagin said.

[yzerfan]

Okaloosa County Sit-Rep



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
September 21, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OKALOOSA COUNTY OFFICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
DAILY FORECAST - Valid until 0830 September 22, 2007


September 21, 2007 / 0830 A.M.

Note: We expect no major impacts from depression 10 at this time. Expected rainfall is 1 to 3 inches thru Sunday along the coast with sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph along the coast, with tides running 3 to 5 feet above normal. There is chance of isolated tornadoes tonight and tomorrow. The EOC will not activate but will continue to monitor the progress of the depression. Shelters will not be opened.

[Dean4Storms]

Still not much here in Destin, the center is only around 80 miles SSE of my location. Were getting a few off and on sprinkles and winds 15-25mph.

[yzerfan]

High school football schedules for tonight:

cancelled-
all games involving Santa Rosa County Schools and Escamiba County (FL) schools

still on:
Niceville-Choctawhatchee
Baker-South Walton
Walton High's homecoming game is still on though the parade has been cancelled

Unless we get a tornado out of this, it's looking pretty uneventful for the western Panhandle

[beachbum_al]

After picking the girls up from school we rode down to the Bay (Mobile Bay) Fairhope Big Pier. This is what it looked like outside. The wind was just picking up and the clouds were getting darker.







Right it is light rain.

[JonathanBelles]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC131-212215-
/O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0168.070921T2127Z-070921T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
427 PM CDT FRI SEP 21 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL WALTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 418 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF DE FUNIAK
SPRINGS...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
DE FUNIAK SPRINGS BY 435 PM CDT...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3064 8601 3054 8610 3067 8640 3087 8640
3093 8635
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 127DEG 15KT 3064 8615

$$

GIBBS

[baygirl_1]

From the Mobile area:
We had a passing shower about the time school was dismissing. It's a bit windy (12-14 MPH acc. to NWS website). On the noon news, they reported that they are opening one shelter at a high school in the southern part of the county-- mostly for folks who are still in FEMA trailers. One of the on-camera meteorologists stated that the worst of our weather should happen from midnight onward. High school football games are still on, according to the announcements at school this afternoon. So, we watch and wait.

[beachbum_al]

From the Mobile area:
We had a passing shower about the time school was dismissing. It's a bit windy (12-14 MPH acc. to NWS website). On the noon news, they reported that they are opening one shelter at a high school in the southern part of the county-- mostly for folks who are still in FEMA trailers. One of the on-camera meteorologists stated that the worst of our weather should happen from midnight onward. High school football games are still on, according to the announcements at school this afternoon. So, we watch and wait.

The only games that they have moved up is the Spanish Fort game. I haven't heard about the rest of the high school games in Baldwin or Mobile County. Didn't they open Theodore High as a shelter? I will see if I can find out.

Up on the top on the floater they have high school games cancellations, shelters opening, etc.
http://www.myfoxgulfcoast.com/myfox/

[baygirl_1]

From the Mobile area:
We had a passing shower about the time school was dismissing. It's a bit windy (12-14 MPH acc. to NWS website). On the noon news, they reported that they are opening one shelter at a high school in the southern part of the county-- mostly for folks who are still in FEMA trailers. One of the on-camera meteorologists stated that the worst of our weather should happen from midnight onward. High school football games are still on, according to the announcements at school this afternoon. So, we watch and wait.

The only games that they have moved up is the Spanish Fort game. I haven't heard about the rest of the high school games in Baldwin or Mobile County. Didn't they open Theodore High as a shelter? I will see if I can find out.

Yeah, Theodore is the one they opened. And they announced at the end of the day at school that the football games were all still on, at least in Mobile County.

[JonathanBelles]

Tornado signature NW of Titusville

TORNADO WARNING
FLC009-212215-
/O.NEW.KMLB.TO.W.0023.070921T2141Z-070921T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
541 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BREVARD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 615 PM EDT

* AT 536 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OVER EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN BREVARD COUNTY...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF MIMS. THIS
STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BUCK LAKE NOW
RURAL NORTHWESTERN BREVARD COUNTY AT 620 PM EDT

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY BE ON
THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU ARE IN THE
PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE LOWEST LEVEL
OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK
SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

EVACUATE MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO
SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. ABANDON YOUR VEHICLE IF THE
TORNADO IS NEARBY.

LAT...LON 2879 8090 2862 8087 2859 8097 2878 8097
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 231DEG 0KT 2867 8095

$$

MRV

[beachbum_al]

Here is the link about the shelter in Mobile County

http://www.myfoxgulfcoast.com/myfox/pages/Home/Detail?contentId=4423861&version=3&locale=EN-US&layoutCode=TSTY&pageId=1.1.1

Here are the high school games that have been canceled or rescheduled.

Impending bad weather along the Mississippi, Florida and Alabama coast has forced the cancellation or postponement of several South Mississippi high school football games on Friday night. The Escambia County, Florida school system has cancelled all extra-curricular activities for tonight, that includes high school football games.

* The Biloxi at Pensacola Escambia football game has been cancelled.
* The Stone -Harrison Central football game at Lyman will not be played Friday night but there is a possibility of it being rescheduled.
* Three region games have been postponed as of Friday morning: Pearl River Central at D'Iberville, Long Beach at Poplarville and Purvis at Pass Christian.
* The Pearl River Central-D'Iberville game, which is homecoming for D'Iberville, has been reset for Monday at 5:30 p.m.



FOX10tv.com will continue to update this list as we receive more information.

WKRG out of Mobile has better info right now.
Here is the link
http://wkrg.com/news/article/american_red_cross_opens_shelters/5356/

http://wkrg.com/news/article/jackson_county_issues_mandatory_evacuations1/5360/

[baygirl_1]

Beachbum: Thanks for posting the link to the news story about the shelters. It's great to see that they are actually putting into action the plan to use school buses to take those without transportation to the shelter.

[RL3AO]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
616 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2007

FLC059-212245-
/O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0038.000000T0000Z-070921T2245Z/
HOLMES FL-
516 PM CDT FRI SEP 21 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
EASTERN HOLMES COUNTY...

AT 508 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO CROSSING INTERSTATE 10
JUST WEST OF CHIPLEY. THIS TORNADO WAS NOW LOCATED IN JUST WEST OF
HOLMES COUNTY AIRPORT...OR NEAR BONIFAY...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
HOLLAND CROSSROADS...NOMA JUNCTION AND NOMA BY 540 PM CDT...

ANOTHER TORNADO APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING IN EASTERN HOLMES COUNTY
NEAR THE TOWN OF PITTMAN.

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3099 8561 3091 8556 3090 8558 3084 8559
3083 8559 3083 8558 3081 8565 3089 8581
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 152DEG 17KT 3084 8563

$$

22-BARRY

[attallaman]

After picking the girls up from school we rode down to the Bay (Mobile Bay) Fairhope Big Pier. This is what it looked like outside. The wind was just picking up and the clouds were getting darker.







Right it is light rain.

Nice pics. Were they taken off of Scenic 98?

[tropicsgal05]

Here in Ft Walton Beach, raining hard, wind is picking up.