Ex Tropical Depression MELISSA- Discussions & Images

[Chacor]

01/1145 UTC 16.4N 37.0W T2.0/2.0 MELISSA -- Atlantic Ocean

Still getting T2.0 from TAFB as well at 0600.

[Cyclone1]

01/1145 UTC 16.4N 37.0W T2.0/2.0 MELISSA -- Atlantic Ocean

Still getting T2.0 from TAFB as well at 0600.

Impressive.

According to those numbers, it should still be a depression. But, this is likely just a spike, I doubt they'll re-initiate advisories.

[HURAKAN]

You can fight against shear, but winning, that's another story!!!

[AnnularCane]

Wow. Convection or no convection, it's hard to call them dead when they look like that.

[artist]

I am just checking in - has it been showing up on the navy nrl site? If not it is now.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... rovap/dmsp

[chris_fit]

You can fight against shear, but winning, that's another story!!!

Looks like a volcano that has erupted and the ash being carried by the wind.

[artist]

Melissa is back on the models page ?-
storm 14

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots.html

[artist]

nrl (navy) page is showing melissa as well. Anyone know if this is for real or not?

[HURAKAN]

Still there!



_____________________
http://www.tropicalactivity.com

[punkyg]

Do you think melissa will redevelop. it has convection covering half of its center.

which direction is it moving and is the shear as bad as it was.

[HURAKAN]

Just pulsing, not developing, and shear is not helping.

_______________________
http://www.tropicalactivity.com

[Steve H.]

With such an expansive mean layer ridge lying across the Atlantic, don't be surprised if she comes back for a second act. The ridge is unrelentless this year. We in the CONUS have been very lucky so far that the UL winds have been unfavorable. Will the luck hold

[Evil Jeremy]

Since the models are being run again, it is customary for the topic to be back as it is being treated like an invest again.

KWBC 031833
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1833 UTC WED OCT 3 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE MELISSA (AL142007) 20071003 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
071003 1800 071004 0600 071004 1800 071005 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 21.4N 47.2W 22.1N 48.6W 23.1N 50.2W 23.9N 51.5W
BAMD 21.4N 47.2W 23.0N 46.1W 24.7N 44.3W 26.4N 40.6W
BAMM 21.4N 47.2W 22.3N 47.4W 23.5N 47.6W 25.1N 47.1W
LBAR 21.4N 47.2W 22.6N 47.5W 23.8N 47.3W 24.7N 46.5W
SHIP 30KTS 34KTS 40KTS 44KTS
DSHP 30KTS 34KTS 40KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
071005 1800 071006 1800 071007 1800 071008 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 24.7N 52.7W 25.5N 56.1W 27.7N 60.5W 29.6N 63.4W
BAMD 28.2N 34.8W 32.9N 21.1W 36.7N 5.5W 32.6N 8.6E
BAMM 26.3N 44.2W 27.2N 33.8W 30.0N 25.8W 32.0N 24.1W
LBAR 25.4N 44.5W 26.2N 36.9W 30.0N 28.6W 32.3N 25.3W
SHIP 46KTS 41KTS 35KTS 30KTS
DSHP 46KTS 41KTS 35KTS 30KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 21.4N LONCUR = 47.2W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 11KT
LATM12 = 20.1N LONM12 = 45.5W DIRM12 = 304DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 18.9N LONM24 = 43.5W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

The models are back with her.