Tropical Storm HAIYAN near Intl. Dateline: Discuss/Images

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Chacor
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Re: Re:

#41 Postby Chacor » Fri Oct 05, 2007 10:57 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Chacor wrote:93W. And they have no reason to call it 18W so long as they continue to claim this (and 92W) are hybrid systems. I asked Gary Padgett about this, he thinks both are tropical storms with at least 40 knot winds.


Gary Padgett is at the JMA?

Regardless of what the NRL and JTWC says, since the JMA has picked it up, it is an official tropical storm...


Uh... I never said that. I just asked Gary for his thoughts and he confirmed that people he asked agreed that both are tropical storms.
Last edited by Chacor on Sat Oct 06, 2007 4:22 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#42 Postby Chacor » Sat Oct 06, 2007 4:21 am

It appears that the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (or more appropriately in this case, NWS Honolulu) is calling this TS Haiyan as well.

Their 00Z high seas forecast used the JMA's location (as well as forecast points), but noted it as 40 kt 1-min.

Compare:

JMA 00Z (35 kt 10-min):
TROPICAL STORM 0716 HAIYAN (0716) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
998 HPA
AT 28.5N 170.8E MIDWAYS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
CPHC 00Z (40 kt 1-min):
TROPICAL STORM HAIYAN 998 MB NEAR 28.5N 170.8E MOVING WNW 07 KT.

JMA 00Z (forecast 40 kt 10-min):
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 29.8N 170.1E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
CPHC 00Z (forecast 45 kt 1-min):
.24 HR FORECAST...TROPICAL STORM HAIYAN NEAR 29.8N 170.1E

JMA 00Z (forecast 35 kt 10-min):
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 33.8N 172.4E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
CPHC 00Z (forecast 40 kt 1-min):
.48 HR FORECAST...TROPICAL STORM HAIYAN NORTH OF AREA NEAR 33.8N
172.4E

Not sure if this is because they themselves analyse it to be a TS or they are deferring to the RSMC.
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#43 Postby Chacor » Sat Oct 06, 2007 8:13 am

630
WTPQ20 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0716 HAIYAN (0716)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061200UTC 30.2N 170.2E FAIR
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 071200UTC 34.3N 170.3E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =
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#44 Postby Chacor » Sat Oct 06, 2007 11:06 am

757
WTPQ20 RJTD 061500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0716 HAIYAN (0716)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061500UTC 30.7N 170.1E FAIR
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 071500UTC 34.7N 170.5E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =
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Re: Tropical Storm HAIYAN near Intl. Dateline: Discuss/Images

#45 Postby P.K. » Sat Oct 06, 2007 2:11 pm

WTPQ20 RJTD 061800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 0716 HAIYAN (0716)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061800UTC 32N 170E
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 1002HPA =
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#46 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Oct 06, 2007 6:16 pm

I think they just issued their final advisory...
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