INVEST 95L : North of the Azores - Gone from NRL

[TheEuropean]

Invest 95L is up on NRL

[TheEuropean]

925
WHXX01 KWBC 062020
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2020 UTC SAT OCT 6 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952007) 20071006 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
071006 1800 071007 0600 071007 1800 071008 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 45.2N 23.4W 47.7N 22.2W 51.1N 21.0W 54.6N 20.5W
BAMD 45.2N 23.4W 47.9N 22.2W 51.3N 21.3W 54.8N 21.4W
BAMM 45.2N 23.4W 47.9N 22.3W 51.4N 21.4W 54.9N 21.7W
LBAR 45.2N 23.4W 48.3N 22.1W 52.7N 22.7W 56.6N 27.9W

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
071008 1800 071009 1800 071010 1800 071011 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 57.3N 19.9W 59.5N 15.2W 61.6N 8.6W 63.3N .7E
BAMD 57.6N 20.9W 58.3N 9.3W 52.1N 1.3W 47.7N 3.2W
BAMM 57.6N 21.7W 59.7N 14.9W 59.9N 3.7W 59.6N 10.8E
LBAR 57.6N 38.6W 46.7N 52.3W 45.6N 39.2W 50.6N 27.1W

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 45.2N LONCUR = 23.4W DIRCUR = 25DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 42.9N LONM12 = 24.9W DIRM12 = 29DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 42.1N LONM24 = 26.9W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 994MB OUTPRS = 1004MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 120NM RD34SE = 120NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

45 knots - 994 mb

[chadtm80]

Not sure why an invest.. Should be a storm or nothing

[TheEuropean]

Here is the link to the first thread about this system:

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=98500

[cycloneye]

Not sure why an invest.. Should be a storm or nothing

Exactly,why they dont jump right away and named it Subtropical Storm Noel right from the getgoe?

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

TheEuropean do you think this will get a name? My amateur knowledge says
yes, but I don't know too much meteorology.

[RL3AO]

Exactly what chad said. This is either a (sub)tropical storm now, or it isn't. I don't see how this will develop any further.

[HURAKAN]

Interestingly enough the last 95L was non-tropical, later Jerry!!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I agree with chad, this should be upgraded.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I expect subtropical storm NOEL any minute now.

994 mb and 50 mph winds

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Wow, this has to be one of the farthest north systems to get a invest in a long time. In it looks very good.

[JonathanBelles]

I agree, 50mph STS Noel.

[Cyclone1]

5:00 is still coming, guys. If not then, 11:00.

[Derek Ortt]

I think in 2001 they went from nothing straight to Hurricane Noel (BT later made it a subtopical storm that reached hurricane status at the time of the upgrade)

[TheEuropean]

Yes, this should really be upgraded immediatly.

[HURAKAN]

[chadtm80]

http://www.storm2k.org/weather/hw3.php? ... ventnum=95

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

So they will update at 5 PM?

[Thunder44]

They already initialized at winds at 45kts. So once they classfy this, it should be given a name, unless it weakens before then.