INVEST 99L : Gulf of Mexico : Discussions & Images

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HURAKAN
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#141 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 17, 2007 10:38 am

629
ABNT20 KNHC 171518
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED OCT 17 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS
MOVED INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
RAPIDLY NORTHWARD AND BECOME ABSORBED BY A STRONG MID-LATITUDE
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES.


THE SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF
FLORIDA IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...WITH THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN

Bye, bye!!! Adios.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: INVEST 99L : Gulf of Mexico : Discussions & Images

#142 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Wed Oct 17, 2007 10:50 am

99L just dropped a 5 minute long light rain shower at the office.
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Re: INVEST 99L : Gulf of Mexico : Discussions & Images

#143 Postby wxman57 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 11:22 am

Ed Mahmoud wrote:99L just dropped a 5 minute long light rain shower at the office.


Is everyone at your office OK? :lol:
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southerngale
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#144 Postby southerngale » Wed Oct 17, 2007 11:27 am

Oh, I was posting in the USA Weather forum, not realizing it was 99L. So it's 99L that is causing the bad weather here. Heavy rain, very gusty winds, lots of thunder and lightning, and tornadoes so far this morning. I have been really busy and not keeping up with the weather very well the past few days, but I'm pretty sure that the forecasts only called for 20% to 30% chance of rain. Now I have Lake SG in my yard.

After tornadoes had already been reported, they just issued a Tornado Watch about 15 minutes ago, until 6pm. Not slamming anyone, just wondering what happened that this wasn't predicted?
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: INVEST 99L : Gulf of Mexico : Discussions & Images

#145 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Wed Oct 17, 2007 12:09 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Ed Mahmoud wrote:99L just dropped a 5 minute long light rain shower at the office.


Is everyone at your office OK? :lol:


Outside the office, I mean. Roof integrity remains excellent.
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Re: INVEST 99L : Gulf of Mexico : Discussions & Images

#146 Postby MBryant » Wed Oct 17, 2007 12:18 pm

In Orange, we are getting steady drizzle with a few brief periods of light rain.

Certainly no Humberto.
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Re: INVEST 99L : Gulf of Mexico : Discussions & Images

#147 Postby jasons » Wed Oct 17, 2007 12:25 pm

Image
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Re: INVEST 99L : Gulf of Mexico : Discussions & Images

#148 Postby poof121 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 12:36 pm

What is this vorticity max in the Bay of Campeche? Related to 99L?

Image

Lots of convection too ---

Image
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: INVEST 99L : Gulf of Mexico : Discussions & Images

#149 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Wed Oct 17, 2007 12:40 pm

poof121 wrote:What is this vorticity max in the Bay of Campeche? Related to 99L?

Image

Lots of convection too ---

Image



I looked at the visible images, winds all around the blob are from the Southeast. There might be some kind of Northwestward moving convergence line in there, but nothing looks interesting.


Today's action is on the October 17th severe thread I started last week.
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southerngale
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Re: INVEST 99L : Gulf of Mexico : Discussions & Images

#150 Postby southerngale » Wed Oct 17, 2007 1:08 pm

MBryant wrote:In Orange, we are getting steady drizzle with a few brief periods of light rain.

Certainly no Humberto.


And I think I'm getting more rain than I got from Humberto. lol
Not as windy, though.

I'm north of the Parkdale area. It's pouring right now... been on and off heavy rain, with light to moderate in between. It has stopped raining a few times, only to start again shortly thereafter. At least there haven't been any more tornadoes!
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Re: INVEST 99L : Gulf of Mexico : Discussions & Images

#151 Postby Sanibel » Wed Oct 17, 2007 6:34 pm

System moving up over CONUS at increasing speed.

Lock.
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Coredesat

#152 Postby Coredesat » Wed Oct 17, 2007 7:34 pm

Indeed, this system is now simply a piece of the front moving through the central US. The thread will be archived when NRL takes down the invest.
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