Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images

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#3801 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Nov 02, 2007 11:44 pm

URNT15 KWBC 030437
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 27 20071103
042730 3231N 07019W 6438 03666 9876 +064 +053 225067 068 075 001 00
042800 3233N 07017W 6438 03666 9872 +066 +058 225068 070 074 001 00
042830 3235N 07015W 6438 03666 9873 +064 +063 226069 070 071 002 00
042900 3237N 07013W 6436 03671 9874 +063 +063 224068 069 069 003 00
042930 3239N 07010W 6437 03669 9874 +064 +064 225069 070 065 004 00
043000 3241N 07008W 6435 03672 9872 +065 +065 226069 070 062 002 00
043030 3243N 07006W 6438 03667 9869 +067 +067 226069 070 060 004 00
043100 3245N 07004W 6437 03670 9873 +065 +065 225068 069 059 004 00
043130 3247N 07001W 6434 03673 9871 +066 +066 223068 068 058 005 00
043200 3249N 06959W 6437 03669 9867 +068 +068 219068 069 058 005 00
043230 3251N 06957W 6437 03667 9866 +068 +068 215067 068 058 005 00
043300 3253N 06955W 6436 03671 9868 +068 +068 213067 067 060 003 00
043330 3255N 06953W 6437 03671 9875 +065 +065 214069 070 058 002 00
043400 3257N 06950W 6438 03670 9875 +066 +063 214071 072 059 000 00
043430 3259N 06948W 6438 03670 9876 +065 +059 212072 072 058 001 00
043500 3301N 06946W 6437 03672 9881 +063 +056 212070 070 059 001 00
043530 3303N 06944W 6436 03673 9883 +062 +054 212069 069 057 000 00
043600 3305N 06942W 6436 03675 9881 +063 +058 213068 068 055 001 00
043630 3307N 06939W 6436 03676 9880 +062 +062 210066 067 055 005 00
043700 3309N 06937W 6438 03672 9883 +062 +062 210070 071 054 003 00
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Re: Hurricane NOEL : (Extratropical) Discussions & Images

#3802 Postby cpdaman » Fri Nov 02, 2007 11:49 pm

winds at W. bermuda bouy were sustained near 60 mph 2 hours ago with gusts to about 70 at least for 2 hours.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41048

diamond shoals around outer banks has been gusting over 50 since 2 pm today

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41025

chesapeake light virginia had sustained 47 mph wind last hour with gusts around 50 mph

get ready EASTern new england and p.s mountains of NW maine will have wind driven snow squalls sat nite.
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#3803 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Nov 02, 2007 11:53 pm

URNT15 KWBC 030447
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 28 20071103
043730 3311N 06935W 6438 03672 9882 +062 +062 210072 073 054 002 00
043800 3313N 06933W 6437 03675 9885 +061 +061 210072 074 056 000 00
043830 3315N 06930W 6437 03676 9886 +062 +061 210072 072 053 002 00
043900 3317N 06928W 6437 03677 9891 +059 +059 208073 074 053 000 00
043930 3319N 06926W 6437 03677 9890 +060 +059 208073 074 053 000 00
044000 3321N 06923W 6439 03676 9893 +060 +057 207072 073 050 000 00
044030 3323N 06921W 6437 03678 9899 +057 +053 207073 074 050 000 00
044100 3325N 06919W 6437 03680 9906 +052 +050 205075 077 050 000 00
044130 3327N 06917W 6438 03680 9917 +046 +045 205079 080 052 001 00
044200 3329N 06914W 6437 03682 9930 +039 +039 201079 079 050 000 00
044230 3331N 06912W 6437 03684 9929 +041 +041 201078 078 051 001 00
044300 3333N 06910W 6437 03684 9929 +041 +041 202077 078 999 999 03
044330 3336N 06909W 6437 03686 9929 +041 +041 202078 079 050 000 00
044400 3339N 06909W 6437 03684 9926 +042 +042 199077 077 050 000 00
044430 3342N 06909W 6437 03681 9927 +040 +040 197078 079 049 000 00
044500 3344N 06909W 6438 03678 9929 +038 +038 194078 078 049 000 00
044530 3347N 06909W 6437 03677 9929 +035 +035 193078 078 049 000 00
044600 3350N 06908W 6440 03675 9938 +031 +031 190077 078 049 000 00
044630 3352N 06907W 6436 03686 9953 +025 +025 188074 076 050 000 00
044700 3355N 06905W 6437 03688 9962 +022 +022 186072 073 049 000 00

80 kt FL, although the SFMR does not back that up...
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#3804 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:04 am

URNT15 KWBC 030457
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 29 20071103
044730 3357N 06903W 6438 03687 9955 +028 +024 188071 072 049 000 00
044800 3359N 06902W 6438 03688 9958 +028 +023 187072 072 047 001 00
044830 3402N 06900W 6438 03692 9959 +030 +018 186073 074 045 000 00
044900 3404N 06859W 6437 03695 9955 +034 +021 185071 073 046 000 00
044930 3406N 06857W 6437 03699 9951 +039 +019 183067 069 046 000 00
045000 3409N 06855W 6436 03702 9949 +042 +015 181066 067 046 000 00
045030 3411N 06855W 6438 03698 9948 +043 +013 179066 066 999 999 03
045100 3413N 06856W 6440 03693 9944 +043 +011 178065 065 999 999 03
045130 3414N 06859W 6438 03693 9944 +041 +011 179065 066 043 000 03
045200 3414N 06901W 6437 03691 9946 +038 +017 182066 066 043 000 00
045230 3414N 06904W 6439 03687 9946 +035 +017 183066 066 044 000 00
045300 3414N 06906W 6436 03686 9927 +045 +025 186061 065 044 000 00
045330 3414N 06909W 6439 03680 9902 +060 +033 188056 058 046 001 00
045400 3414N 06911W 6436 03681 9915 +048 +034 187063 065 046 000 00
045430 3414N 06914W 6437 03677 9898 +057 +042 189062 063 045 000 00
045500 3414N 06916W 6437 03677 9901 +053 +050 190064 065 046 000 00
045530 3414N 06919W 6437 03673 9901 +051 +050 189068 069 048 001 00
045600 3414N 06921W 6437 03671 9897 +051 +051 190067 068 048 000 00
045630 3414N 06923W 6438 03666 9892 +053 +052 188064 068 046 001 00
045700 3414N 06926W 6437 03666 9893 +051 +051 186064 068 047 000 00
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Re: Hurricane NOEL : (Extratropical) Discussions & Images

#3805 Postby cpdaman » Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:08 am

doesn't anyone stay up on the weekend?

heavy squalls moving into the outer banks of north carolina as i type , winds gusting over 50

This storm doesn't appear to be moving as fast as has been advertised

dont get me wrong it is by no means crawling, but it appears to be moving about 17 mph today.

also it is going to be CHILLY with a high of 44 in boston saturday and winds gusting over 50 at least, Northeast new england ski areas could also get a bit of a blanket of snow as well.

i'm pumped and i don't even live their anymore.

p.s a second sneaky round of beach erosion is going to hit central -northern palm beach county some time in the wee hours as large NNE swells start to fill in down the coast.

many boaters will be caught off guard because usually as the storm goes bye and the swell dies down (like it did today) people anticipate seas to be at least as calm the following day, they will be in for a rude awakening with 10-12 foot waves from lantana to jupiter. cowabunga
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#3806 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:14 am

URNT15 KWBC 030507
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 30 20071103
045730 3414N 06928W 6438 03665 9883 +056 +056 187059 059 048 001 00
045800 3414N 06931W 6437 03662 9880 +056 +056 186057 059 050 002 00
045830 3414N 06933W 6438 03658 9876 +058 +054 182055 057 051 001 00
045900 3414N 06936W 6439 03655 9871 +060 +047 178051 051 051 001 00
045930 3414N 06938W 6439 03655 9866 +063 +044 179051 052 052 001 00
050000 3414N 06941W 6438 03654 9865 +062 +048 179054 055 050 001 00
050030 3414N 06943W 6438 03652 9859 +064 +046 179054 054 050 000 00
050100 3414N 06946W 6438 03648 9857 +064 +040 178054 055 051 000 00
050130 3414N 06948W 6438 03648 9853 +067 +036 177054 055 053 001 00
050200 3414N 06951W 6438 03645 9849 +068 +032 176054 055 052 001 00
050230 3414N 06953W 6438 03643 9853 +064 +030 174056 056 052 000 00
050300 3414N 06956W 6437 03643 9842 +070 +034 176055 056 053 001 00
050330 3414N 06958W 6438 03639 9836 +071 +042 175054 054 053 000 00
050400 3414N 07001W 6440 03634 9828 +076 +033 173053 054 052 001 00
050430 3414N 07004W 6439 03633 9823 +079 +023 172051 052 053 001 00
050500 3414N 07006W 6438 03632 9816 +082 +025 176050 050 053 001 00
050530 3413N 07009W 6439 03631 9818 +078 +036 176046 048 052 001 00
050600 3413N 07011W 6437 03631 9812 +080 +046 177047 048 052 000 00
050630 3413N 07014W 6438 03627 9818 +073 +056 177046 047 050 000 00
050700 3413N 07016W 6437 03627 9820 +070 +064 177044 044 051 000 00
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#3807 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:24 am

URNT15 KWBC 030517
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 31 20071103
050730 3413N 07019W 6438 03623 9818 +071 +059 179043 044 051 000 00
050800 3413N 07021W 6438 03621 9814 +072 +058 180042 043 050 001 00
050830 3413N 07024W 6438 03618 9811 +072 +063 179043 044 050 000 00
050900 3413N 07026W 6438 03617 9808 +073 +063 176042 042 051 000 00
050930 3413N 07029W 6439 03615 9800 +078 +053 173040 041 051 000 00
051000 3413N 07031W 6439 03611 9793 +081 +051 170038 038 050 000 00
051030 3414N 07034W 6439 03609 9788 +082 +049 170037 037 048 000 00
051100 3414N 07037W 6438 03608 9785 +083 +050 168036 036 049 000 00
051130 3414N 07039W 6439 03605 9780 +085 +050 165034 034 048 000 00
051200 3414N 07042W 6437 03605 9780 +084 +053 165032 033 048 000 00
051230 3414N 07045W 6439 03603 9780 +082 +056 165030 031 047 001 00
051300 3414N 07047W 6440 03600 9784 +079 +057 163029 030 047 001 00
051330 3414N 07050W 6437 03602 9781 +079 +056 162029 030 046 002 00
051400 3414N 07053W 6439 03599 9777 +082 +054 159029 029 043 000 00
051430 3414N 07055W 6439 03598 9772 +084 +056 155029 030 042 000 00
051500 3414N 07058W 6439 03595 9763 +089 +053 158027 028 041 000 00
051530 3414N 07101W 6437 03598 9761 +090 +050 157025 026 041 001 00
051600 3414N 07103W 6438 03593 9764 +086 +059 153026 026 038 001 00
051630 3414N 07106W 6439 03592 9762 +086 +067 153026 026 035 001 00
051700 3414N 07109W 6439 03593 9759 +090 +047 159024 025 033 000 00

976mb - or lower...
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Re: Hurricane NOEL : (Extratropical) Discussions & Images

#3808 Postby btangy » Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:25 am

MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1258 AM EDT SAT NOV 03 2007

VALID NOV 03/0000 UTC THRU NOV 06/1200 UTC

MODEL INITIALIZATION...

..EXTRATROPICAL STORM NOEL..
THE NAM/GFS/ECMWF WERE 12/13/9 HPA TOO WEAK BUT GOOD WITH ITS
PLACEMENT.

..EXTRATROPICAL STORM NOEL...
BY SUNDAY EVENING...THE MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH
NOELS PLACEMENT AND CENTRAL PRESSURE. THE PROBLEMS ARE NOTED
BEFORE THEN...AS THE GFS IS EAST OF MOST OF THE GUIDANCE INCLUDING
THE 18Z NCEP ENSEMBLE MEAN. THE MODEL TREND HAS BEEN LEFT/TO THE
WEST FOR THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. THE 12Z ECMWF IS LIKELY THE BEST
SOLUTION IN REGARDS TO POSITION AND CENTRAL PRESSURE...THOUGH A
SOLUTION DOWN IN THE 960S BY THE TIME OF ITS CANADIAN LANDFALL
WOULD BE MORE REASONABLE GIVEN THAT ITS CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
ALREADY IN THE UPPER 970S.
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#3809 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:34 am

URNT15 KWBC 030527
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 32 20071103
051730 3414N 07111W 6439 03592 9757 +092 +044 157023 023 031 000 00
051800 3414N 07114W 6439 03591 9761 +087 +052 151023 024 031 000 00
051830 3415N 07117W 6439 03592 9759 +088 +054 148021 021 029 000 00
051900 3415N 07120W 6439 03591 9757 +089 +055 144022 023 030 002 00
051930 3415N 07122W 6438 03591 9760 +086 +065 147021 023 029 002 00
052000 3415N 07125W 6439 03588 9755 +087 +081 150021 022 027 001 00
052030 3415N 07128W 6438 03591 9756 +089 +056 151020 020 024 001 00
052100 3415N 07130W 6438 03589 9755 +091 +051 151018 019 019 000 00
052130 3414N 07133W 6438 03591 9753 +093 +042 150015 017 017 000 00
052200 3413N 07135W 6438 03591 9755 +089 +065 152013 013 013 000 00
052230 3412N 07137W 6437 03592 9759 +086 +068 159012 012 008 000 00
052300 3411N 07139W 6438 03589 9759 +086 +057 150011 012 005 000 03
052330 3410N 07142W 6439 03591 9761 +087 +045 143009 010 004 000 00
052400 3409N 07144W 6438 03591 9759 +089 +040 147006 008 004 000 00
052430 3408N 07146W 6438 03591 9761 +085 +063 156004 004 008 000 00
052500 3406N 07148W 6438 03593 9770 +080 +071 174003 004 008 000 00
052530 3405N 07151W 6438 03594 9770 +083 +049 206003 003 007 000 00
052600 3404N 07153W 6439 03594 9767 +084 +060 268004 004 005 000 00
052630 3403N 07155W 6437 03597 9766 +085 +063 266005 005 004 000 00
052700 3401N 07157W 6439 03596 9771 +082 +066 278005 006 012 000 00

975mb in a calm center.

Someone else take over if they want - http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ur ... .kwbc..txt
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#3810 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:44 am

URNT15 KWBC 030537
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 33 20071103
052730 3400N 07159W 6439 03595 9776 +078 +070 294006 006 016 000 00
052800 3359N 07201W 6438 03597 9778 +076 +073 284007 008 019 000 00
052830 3358N 07203W 6443 03591 9781 +075 +072 281008 008 019 000 00
052900 3358N 07206W 6438 03599 9781 +076 +074 298007 007 020 000 00
052930 3358N 07208W 6438 03599 9785 +074 +073 296006 006 021 000 00
053000 3358N 07211W 6438 03602 9785 +075 +070 305009 011 022 000 00
053030 3358N 07213W 6438 03602 9785 +076 +072 321011 011 026 000 00
053100 3358N 07216W 6438 03604 9789 +075 +071 331011 011 031 000 00
053130 3358N 07218W 6438 03605 9794 +072 +071 336011 011 033 000 00
053200 3358N 07221W 6439 03604 9797 +070 +066 351013 014 034 000 00
053230 3358N 07224W 6438 03606 9797 +074 +049 357014 015 034 000 00
053300 3358N 07226W 6437 03611 9799 +073 +051 351012 013 036 000 00
053330 3358N 07229W 6439 03609 9802 +071 +064 355011 012 037 000 00
053400 3358N 07231W 6439 03610 9802 +073 +066 357012 014 040 000 00
053430 3358N 07234W 6438 03615 9801 +075 +069 342010 010 040 001 00
053500 3358N 07236W 6438 03615 9801 +076 +061 340010 011 042 003 00
053530 3358N 07239W 6437 03617 9805 +074 +058 332012 014 042 004 00
053600 3358N 07242W 6438 03618 9811 +070 +064 339014 015 044 004 00
053630 3358N 07244W 6438 03617 9804 +075 +063 335011 012 044 004 00
053700 3358N 07247W 6437 03621 9815 +067 +067 354015 020 043 005 00
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#3811 Postby Crostorm » Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:51 am

Image
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#3812 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sat Nov 03, 2007 12:54 am

URNT15 KWBC 030547
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 34 20071103
053730 3358N 07249W 6436 03625 9832 +058 +058 001026 030 042 006 00
053800 3358N 07252W 6437 03625 9842 +053 +053 004036 037 041 005 00
053830 3358N 07255W 6438 03627 9845 +054 +054 006031 033 039 004 00
053900 3358N 07257W 6435 03634 9854 +051 +051 358026 028 039 004 00
053930 3358N 07300W 6438 03632 9856 +051 +051 341022 023 037 004 00
054000 3358N 07303W 6437 03636 9850 +056 +056 321019 021 040 004 00
054030 3359N 07305W 6440 03633 9839 +065 +056 302016 017 042 005 00
054100 3359N 07308W 6437 03634 9835 +068 +046 307017 019 040 004 00
054130 3359N 07310W 6439 03632 9850 +058 +039 315023 024 042 001 00
054200 3359N 07313W 6439 03633 9852 +057 +039 318023 024 041 001 00
054230 3359N 07315W 6439 03634 9856 +056 +040 322025 026 042 001 00
054300 3359N 07317W 6439 03636 9855 +057 +038 324026 027 040 001 00
054330 3359N 07320W 6437 03638 9858 +056 +033 322026 026 040 001 00
054400 3359N 07322W 6438 03639 9864 +052 +033 322026 026 039 004 00
054430 3359N 07325W 6438 03639 9873 +047 +038 323024 024 040 003 00
054500 3359N 07327W 6438 03643 9884 +042 +037 326024 026 042 004 00
054530 3359N 07329W 6439 03644 9888 +040 +034 330025 026 041 005 00
054600 3359N 07332W 6438 03645 9888 +042 +029 335025 025 041 002 00
054630 3358N 07334W 6437 03649 9894 +039 +037 339021 023 039 000 00
054700 3358N 07337W 6438 03649 9895 +039 +038 341022 023 041 002 00
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#3813 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sat Nov 03, 2007 1:03 am

URNT15 KWBC 030557
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 35 20071103
054730 3358N 07339W 6438 03650 9896 +040 +037 345021 021 041 001 00
054800 3358N 07342W 6438 03652 9895 +040 +039 354019 021 041 003 00
054830 3358N 07344W 6437 03655 9898 +039 +039 358022 023 040 004 00
054900 3359N 07347W 6436 03658 9901 +039 +039 356021 023 040 005 00
054930 3359N 07350W 6439 03656 9905 +038 +038 005022 023 040 005 00
055000 3359N 07352W 6439 03658 9904 +039 +039 016024 025 038 005 00
055030 3359N 07355W 6438 03659 9904 +039 +039 023026 027 038 004 00
055100 3359N 07357W 6437 03662 9907 +038 +038 027028 029 038 003 00
055130 3359N 07400W 6436 03664 9910 +037 +037 026028 028 036 003 00
055200 3359N 07403W 6438 03662 9917 +033 +033 018031 033 036 002 00
055230 3358N 07406W 6439 03661 9922 +030 +030 009038 039 999 999 03
055300 3357N 07408W 6439 03661 9924 +029 +029 009036 038 037 002 03
055330 3354N 07408W 6438 03665 9926 +029 +029 009035 036 038 001 00
055400 3352N 07408W 6439 03662 9929 +027 +027 002034 035 037 001 00
055430 3349N 07408W 6438 03662 9930 +026 +026 356033 033 037 001 00
055500 3347N 07408W 6439 03662 9938 +021 +021 342032 033 037 000 00
055530 3345N 07407W 6438 03665 9942 +019 +019 339033 033 036 001 00
055600 3342N 07407W 6438 03666 9942 +020 +020 337030 031 035 000 00
055630 3340N 07407W 6438 03668 9942 +021 +021 328028 028 037 000 00
055700 3338N 07407W 6438 03669 9942 +022 +022 319026 027 038 000 00
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#3814 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sat Nov 03, 2007 1:13 am

URNT15 KWBC 030607
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 36 20071103
055730 3335N 07407W 6438 03669 9944 +020 +020 301023 024 036 001 00
055800 3333N 07407W 6436 03671 9947 +019 +019 287024 025 037 000 00
055830 3331N 07407W 6441 03666 9947 +020 +020 289027 028 037 002 00
055900 3329N 07407W 6437 03670 9944 +022 +022 291030 031 037 002 00
055930 3327N 07407W 6440 03669 9945 +023 +023 285032 032 037 002 00
060000 3324N 07407W 6437 03673 9943 +026 +026 279030 031 037 001 00
060030 3322N 07407W 6437 03676 9942 +027 +027 274033 036 037 001 00
060100 3320N 07407W 6438 03674 9942 +027 +027 263030 032 038 001 00
060130 3318N 07407W 6439 03673 9945 +025 +025 266031 032 036 001 00
060200 3316N 07407W 6438 03675 9942 +028 +027 267030 033 035 001 00
060230 3314N 07407W 6437 03675 9950 +022 +022 261035 038 036 001 00
060300 3312N 07407W 6436 03676 9954 +019 +018 266036 038 034 002 00
060330 3309N 07407W 6437 03673 9960 +016 +014 269039 043 034 002 00
060400 3307N 07407W 6438 03675 9961 +017 +010 270035 038 034 001 00
060430 3305N 07407W 6439 03675 9952 +023 +007 269032 035 031 001 00
060500 3303N 07407W 6439 03676 9951 +026 -002 280031 034 028 000 00
060530 3301N 07408W 6441 03674 9942 +033 -013 279029 033 029 000 00
060600 3259N 07408W 6438 03681 9947 +032 -017 290034 037 025 000 00
060630 3257N 07408W 6436 03684 9957 +026 -012 295036 039 027 000 00
060700 3254N 07408W 6437 03684 9954 +029 -014 291034 035 028 000 00
Last edited by Chris_in_Tampa on Sat Nov 03, 2007 2:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Chris_in_Tampa
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#3815 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sat Nov 03, 2007 1:24 am

URNT15 KWBC 030617
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 37 20071103
060730 3252N 07408W 6437 03687 9958 +028 -014 289032 033 028 000 00
060800 3250N 07408W 6437 03688 9963 +026 -012 289033 033 027 000 00
060830 3247N 07408W 6437 03689 9968 +023 -009 288035 037 028 000 00
060900 3245N 07408W 6437 03689 9968 +023 -007 286035 037 027 000 00
060930 3243N 07408W 6436 03690 9968 +024 -008 280031 032 028 000 00
061000 3241N 07408W 6433 03695 9971 +021 -017 278033 035 999 999 03
061030 3241N 07410W 6445 03680 9974 +020 -015 279035 035 999 999 03
061100 3242N 07408W 6440 03686 9968 +024 -022 278034 035 999 999 03
061130 3240N 07407W 6441 03684 9973 +021 -018 279034 035 999 999 03
061200 3241N 07409W 6439 03686 9971 +022 -019 278035 035 999 999 03
061230 3241N 07406W 6440 03687 9969 +024 -022 278034 035 999 999 03
061300 3240N 07407W 6440 03687 9977 +020 -016 279035 035 999 999 03
061330 3241N 07407W 6439 03688 9972 +022 -020 278035 036 999 999 03
061400 3241N 07405W 6439 03687 9972 +023 -020 277033 035 999 999 03
061430 3239N 07407W 6437 03694 9982 +016 -012 283035 035 026 000 00
061500 3238N 07409W 6439 03692 9986 +014 -006 287036 037 027 000 00
061530 3238N 07411W 6437 03694 9988 +014 -006 286036 037 027 000 00
061600 3237N 07413W 6437 03695 9990 +013 -013 287039 040 027 000 00
061630 3236N 07415W 6437 03698 9993 +014 -022 288041 042 026 000 00
061700 3235N 07417W 6439 03698 9996 +014 -029 290041 041 026 000 00
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#3816 Postby Praxus » Sat Nov 03, 2007 1:25 am

WOCN31 CWHX 030600
Post-tropical storm Noel information statement issued by the
Canadian hurricane centre of Environment Canada at 3.00 AM ADT
Saturday 03 November 2007.

The next intermediate statement will be issued at 6.00 AM ADT
followed by the next full statement issued by 9.00 AM ADT.

...Very large and dangerous post-tropical storm Noel forecast
To cross the Maritimes this weekend...

1. Current position, strength, central pressure and motion

At 3.00 AM ADT... Post-tropical storm Noel was located near
Latitude 34.6 N and longitude 71.0 W... About 225 nautical miles
Or 420 km east of Cape Hatteras. Maximum sustained winds are
Estimated at 75 knots... 139 km/h... And central pressure at 976
MB. Noel is moving north northeast at 23 knots... 43 km/h.

2. Forecast position, central pressure and strength

Date time lat lon MSLP Max wind
ADT MB kts kmh
Nov 03 3.00 AM 34.6N 71.0W 976 75 139 post-tropical
Nov 03 9.00 AM 36.7N 69.8W 974 75 139 post-tropical
Nov 03 3.00 PM 38.9N 68.7W 972 80 148 post-tropical
Nov 03 9.00 PM 41.3N 67.6W 969 80 148 post-tropical
Nov 04 2.00 AM 43.8N 66.6W 968 75 139 post-tropical
Nov 04 8.00 AM 46.8N 64.9W 968 70 130 post-tropical
Nov 04 2.00 PM 50.0N 63.2W 969 60 111 post-tropical
Nov 04 8.00 PM 52.9N 61.7W 971 60 111 post-tropical
Nov 05 2.00 AM 55.7N 60.0W 972 55 102 post-tropical
Nov 05 8.00 AM 57.8N 58.4W 973 55 102 post-tropical
Nov 05 2.00 PM 60.0N 57.0W 977 50 93 post-tropical
Nov 05 8.00 PM 62.1N 55.8W 983 45 83 post-tropical
Nov 06 2.00 AM 64.5N 55.7W 990 40 74 post-tropical

The centre of post-tropical storm Noel is forecast to track just
West of Yarmouth..Into the Bay of Fundy then over eastern
New Brunswick early Sunday. The center should then cross central
Labrador Sunday night.

Although Noel is a post-tropical storm we expect it to be
Accompanied by hurricane force winds. The current track is adjusted
to the west from the previous and reflects a bit slower forward
motion than earlier forecast. The public is advised not to focus on
the actual track of the storm center since the high winds and heavy
rains will extend very from the track line itself.

3. Public weather impacts and warnings summary

The strongest winds are expected over portions of Nova Scotia ...
Hurricane force gusts to 140 km/h at the coast from Yarmouth eastward
to the Halifax area. Gusts to 120 km/h are expected over the
Remainder of Nova Scotia..Extreme southeast New Brunswick..Pei and
The Magdalen Islands. Additionally..Les Suetes and Wreckhouse wind
gusts near 150 km/h are forecast.

Heaviest rainfall is expected near or west of the storm track in
New Brunswick and western Nova Scotia. 50 to 70 mm are possible.

Dangerous pounding surf can be expected along Atlantic coastal nova
Scotia..The Bay of Fundy and south-facing shorelines in the Gulf of
St Lawrence and southern Newfoundland. Storm surge is not likely
going to be a major problem due to tides running below normal levels.
We do not expect the total water level to be much above high
astronomical tide.

Damage/impacts
Where wind gusts to and above hurricane force (120 km/h) are forecast
..Expect tree limbs and branches to break which will likely lead to
downed power lines and power interuptions. Some trees will likely be
uprooted. These winds will cause damage to roofing and cladding
material on some homes. Some signage could also suffer damage with
Winds gusting this high. Also..With 10-meter waves expected along the
Coast..Erosion of some beaches is likely. Rainfall may cause
Localized flooding in prone areas..Especially where leaf litter
Clogs storm drains.


4. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary
Hurricane force wind warnings are in effect for southwestern
Maritime waters and most Gulf of St Lawrence waters. Storm and gale
warnings are in effect for remaining waters of the Maritimes and
Newfoundland.

5. Technical discussion

A. Analysis
Satellite imagery show a very large and impressive cloud mass
associated with Noel. The wind field and heavy seas have expanded
considerably during the extratropical transition. We have been in
direct communication with a research aircraft flying into the storm.
Scientists on board the aircraft reported a minimum slp of 976 MB
And Max low level winds near 75 knots.

B. Prognostic
There is very good agreement among the various dynamical models
regarding track and intensity. Our primary focus is on predicting the
Wind field..Particularly a strong low-level wind jet expected in the
southwesterlies as the storm center moves through land areas.
Our current assessment of the wind jet (location of highest winds)
Is that it will move directly over Nova Scotia and pei during the
early morning hours Sunday. This is where sustained winds near 80
km/h gusting to 140 km/h are possible.

C. Public weather
See above.

D. Marine weather
Traditional wind radii table is left out given that the wind
distribution around the storm is much different than a purely
tropical system. Storm force winds will extend upwards of 600 km from
the center and hurricane force winds out to 350 km from the center.

Given the tropical history of this severe storm..The canadian
hurricane centre will continue messaging throughout the weekend.

End fogarty
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#3817 Postby Praxus » Sat Nov 03, 2007 1:36 am

Hurricane force gusts (85 mph) forecast for Halifax as of latest advisory.
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Chris_in_Tampa
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#3818 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sat Nov 03, 2007 1:38 am

URNT15 KWBC 030627
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 38 20071103
061730 3234N 07419W 6439 03698 9999 +013 -028 291040 041 028 000 00
061800 3233N 07421W 6439 03703 0002 +013 -024 294040 040 029 001 00
061830 3232N 07423W 6438 03705 0002 +014 -026 297040 041 027 000 00
061900 3231N 07425W 6438 03706 0003 +015 -027 296038 039 029 000 00
061930 3230N 07427W 6436 03709 0003 +016 -028 292036 036 030 001 00
062000 3229N 07429W 6436 03714 0003 +018 -030 292036 036 029 000 00
062030 3228N 07431W 6438 03711 0002 +020 -038 294036 036 028 000 00
062100 3227N 07433W 6438 03714 0001 +023 -053 296035 036 032 000 00
062130 3226N 07435W 6437 03716 9999 +026 -066 295036 037 033 001 00
062200 3225N 07437W 6437 03717 9997 +028 -068 296036 037 037 000 00
062230 3224N 07440W 6436 03719 0005 +023 -059 302036 036 036 000 00
062300 3223N 07442W 6438 03718 0010 +021 -053 305034 034 035 000 00
062330 3222N 07444W 6438 03720 0014 +018 -050 305033 033 035 000 00
062400 3221N 07446W 6437 03722 0021 +014 -034 305032 033 036 000 00
062430 3221N 07448W 6436 03724 0028 +010 -028 303032 033 035 000 00
062500 3220N 07451W 6436 03725 0026 +012 -032 306031 032 035 000 00
062530 3219N 07453W 6437 03723 0026 +013 -035 308031 031 037 000 00
062600 3218N 07455W 6437 03726 0033 +008 -023 308031 032 038 000 00
062630 3217N 07457W 6438 03726 0037 +006 -020 309028 029 038 001 00
062700 3216N 07500W 6437 03726 0037 +007 -019 311026 027 038 001 00
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Chris_in_Tampa
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#3819 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sat Nov 03, 2007 1:44 am

URNT15 KWBC 030637
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 39 20071103
062730 3215N 07502W 6437 03726 0034 +008 -023 315025 026 038 000 00
062800 3214N 07504W 6437 03726 0034 +009 -025 320025 025 037 000 00
062830 3213N 07507W 6437 03729 0031 +012 -036 320022 023 039 000 00
062900 3212N 07509W 6436 03730 0031 +013 -042 319021 021 038 000 00
062930 3211N 07512W 6438 03729 0036 +010 -031 319020 022 038 000 00
063000 3210N 07514W 6437 03732 0041 +008 -021 310018 019 037 000 00
063030 3209N 07516W 6437 03732 0043 +007 -020 310018 018 037 000 00
063100 3208N 07519W 6438 03732 0045 +007 -023 316020 022 038 000 00
063130 3207N 07521W 6437 03734 0046 +006 -025 321023 025 036 000 00
063200 3206N 07523W 6436 03736 0054 +001 -016 323021 023 036 000 00
063230 3205N 07525W 6437 03733 0060 -004 -008 315022 023 034 000 00
063300 3204N 07528W 6436 03734 0067 -008 -019 303024 025 034 000 00
063330 3202N 07530W 6435 03736 0064 -006 -019 295025 027 032 000 00
063400 3201N 07532W 6438 03733 0053 +004 -055 293025 026 032 000 00
063430 3200N 07535W 6437 03736 0058 +000 -034 295025 026 032 000 00
063500 3159N 07537W 6437 03734 0056 +001 -037 296025 026 032 000 00
063530 3158N 07539W 6438 03734 0060 +000 -039 295024 024 032 000 00
063600 3157N 07541W 6438 03734 0062 -002 -032 296024 025 034 001 00
063630 3156N 07544W 6438 03734 0061 -001 -035 299024 025 034 001 00
063700 3155N 07546W 6437 03734 0059 +000 -037 297024 025 035 000 00

URNT15 KWBC 030647
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 40 20071103
063730 3154N 07548W 6439 03734 0059 +001 -040 297024 025 033 001 00
063800 3153N 07550W 6437 03737 0060 +001 -041 297024 025 032 001 00
063830 3152N 07552W 6436 03740 0062 +001 -041 303023 023 034 001 00
063900 3151N 07555W 6436 03740 0058 +005 -059 302022 022 033 001 00
063930 3150N 07557W 6437 03742 0060 +004 -059 306023 023 033 000 00
064000 3149N 07559W 6437 03740 0064 +001 -048 310023 024 033 002 00
064030 3148N 07601W 6437 03742 0067 -001 -040 309022 022 031 000 00
064100 3147N 07604W 6436 03742 0067 -001 -041 308023 024 030 000 00
064130 3146N 07606W 6436 03742 0068 -001 -043 308022 022 031 000 00
064200 3145N 07608W 6437 03742 0073 -005 -030 315022 023 030 000 00
064230 3144N 07611W 6438 03740 0077 -008 -024 320022 023 029 000 00
064300 3143N 07613W 6437 03740 0077 -008 -021 320020 021 029 000 00
064330 3142N 07615W 6437 03742 0077 -009 -013 319021 023 030 000 00
064400 3141N 07618W 6437 03742 0076 -008 -014 316022 023 028 000 00
064430 3140N 07620W 6437 03742 0076 -007 -022 313019 020 028 000 00
064500 3139N 07622W 6437 03742 0077 -007 -017 317017 018 028 000 00
064530 3138N 07625W 6436 03744 0078 -008 -011 320019 020 027 000 00
064600 3137N 07627W 6437 03743 0075 -006 -018 322019 020 027 000 00
064630 3136N 07629W 6436 03745 0075 -006 -010 325020 023 028 000 00
064700 3135N 07632W 6440 03742 0074 -005 -018 321018 019 030 000 00

URNT15 KWBC 030657
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 41 20071103
064730 3134N 07634W 6438 03743 0080 -009 -009 327023 025 034 002 00
064800 3133N 07636W 6436 03745 0082 -011 -011 328022 025 033 007 00
064830 3132N 07638W 6440 03740 0086 -012 -012 328020 023 033 002 00
064900 3131N 07640W 6437 03747 0081 -008 -008 312018 020 033 004 00
064930 3130N 07643W 6436 03751 0084 -007 -007 311019 021 032 003 00
065000 3128N 07645W 6438 03749 0091 -010 -020 293021 023 029 001 00
065030 3127N 07647W 6436 03751 0089 -007 -053 300024 025 028 000 00
065100 3126N 07649W 6437 03751 0086 -004 -066 300025 025 026 000 00
065130 3125N 07651W 6437 03751 0089 -005 -064 299023 024 025 000 00
065200 3124N 07653W 6439 03749 0091 -008 -052 298021 022 026 000 00
065230 3123N 07656W 6439 03750 0093 -009 -054 302021 021 025 000 00
065300 3122N 07658W 6438 03751 0093 -008 -056 306020 021 026 000 00
065330 3121N 07700W 6438 03750 0094 -009 -054 312018 019 028 000 00
065400 3120N 07702W 6436 03751 0094 -010 -053 309019 019 027 000 00
065430 3119N 07704W 6436 03753 0096 -011 -050 308018 019 026 000 00
065500 3118N 07707W 6436 03751 0092 -009 -049 308016 016 028 000 00
065530 3117N 07709W 6436 03753 0095 -011 -042 302015 015 026 000 00
065600 3116N 07711W 6436 03753 0099 -014 -040 295014 015 026 000 00
065630 3115N 07714W 6436 03753 0100 -014 -042 290013 014 026 000 00
065700 3114N 07716W 6435 03753 0091 -007 -056 276014 014 023 000 00

URNT15 KWBC 030707
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 42 20071103
065730 3113N 07718W 6436 03753 0090 -005 -116 277016 016 023 000 00
065800 3112N 07721W 6436 03754 0098 -009 -135 277017 017 022 000 00
065830 3111N 07723W 6436 03753 0103 -011 -153 275017 017 020 000 00
065900 3110N 07725W 6438 03753 0097 -005 -246 278017 017 022 000 00
065930 3109N 07728W 6436 03754 0099 -006 -295 283017 018 023 000 00
070000 3108N 07730W 6436 03754 0100 -006 -315 285019 020 025 000 00
070030 3107N 07732W 6437 03753 0102 -008 -313 281021 022 023 000 00
070100 3106N 07734W 6437 03752 0105 -010 -307 280020 021 022 000 00
070130 3104N 07737W 6437 03751 0105 -011 -308 278020 021 020 000 00
070200 3103N 07739W 6436 03753 0108 -012 -308 278019 019 021 000 00
070230 3102N 07741W 6437 03751 0111 -014 -297 279019 019 018 000 00
070300 3101N 07743W 6437 03753 0111 -014 -303 280018 018 019 001 00
070330 3100N 07746W 6437 03753 0112 -015 -300 283018 018 021 000 00
070400 3059N 07748W 6436 03754 0113 -015 -303 281017 017 023 001 00
070430 3058N 07750W 6436 03754 0114 -015 -300 274016 017 024 000 00
070500 3057N 07752W 6436 03754 0117 -017 -300 278016 016 017 000 00
070530 3056N 07755W 6437 03753 0122 -021 -277 278015 016 019 000 00
070600 3055N 07757W 6437 03753 0125 -023 -225 276015 016 020 000 00
070630 3053N 07759W 6435 03754 0125 -024 -217 273016 016 022 000 00
070700 3052N 07802W 6436 03754 0126 -024 -213 271016 016 018 000 00

URNT15 KWBC 030717
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 43 20071103
070730 3051N 07804W 6437 03753 0127 -024 -214 270017 017 018 000 00
070800 3050N 07806W 6436 03754 0128 -024 -223 269017 017 019 000 00
070830 3049N 07808W 6436 03756 0130 -025 -220 270016 017 015 000 00
070900 3048N 07811W 6437 03755 0131 -025 -222 269016 017 016 000 00
070930 3047N 07813W 6437 03756 0131 -025 -238 271015 016 018 000 00
071000 3046N 07815W 6436 03758 0132 -024 -262 268017 018 016 000 00
071030 3044N 07817W 6436 03758 0134 -025 -270 264016 016 017 000 00
071100 3043N 07820W 6436 03759 0135 -026 -260 265016 016 022 000 00
071130 3042N 07822W 6435 03759 0135 -025 -256 264018 019 021 000 00
071200 3041N 07824W 6436 03760 0138 -026 -269 265018 018 019 000 00
071230 3040N 07826W 6436 03760 0136 -024 -273 270018 019 017 000 00
071300 3039N 07828W 6437 03760 0133 -022 -288 276018 018 014 000 00
071330 3038N 07831W 6437 03760 0122 -015 -311 283019 020 017 000 00
071400 3036N 07833W 6436 03760 0116 -011 -336 285019 019 017 000 00
071430 3035N 07835W 6436 03761 0110 -007 -356 284019 019 019 000 00
071500 3034N 07837W 6436 03762 0117 -010 -370 287020 020 017 000 00
071530 3033N 07840W 6436 03764 0122 -012 -368 290021 022 012 000 00
071600 3032N 07842W 6437 03764 0124 -014 -356 293025 026 014 000 00
071630 3030N 07844W 6436 03765 0128 -015 -337 292026 027 013 000 00
071700 3029N 07846W 6436 03766 0124 -013 -328 292026 026 011 000 00

URNT15 KWBC 030727
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 44 20071103
071730 3028N 07848W 6436 03766 0125 -013 -329 291027 028 014 000 00
071800 3027N 07850W 6436 03766 0138 -021 -320 291028 028 016 000 00
071830 3026N 07853W 6436 03766 0145 -026 -299 293028 028 016 000 00
071900 3025N 07855W 6436 03766 0147 -027 -270 293027 028 014 000 00
071930 3024N 07857W 6436 03766 0150 -029 -267 296027 027 013 000 00
072000 3023N 07859W 6436 03766 0155 -031 -252 298025 026 010 000 00
072030 3022N 07902W 6436 03769 0156 -031 -241 300025 025 010 000 00
072100 3020N 07904W 6436 03770 0156 -031 -246 301024 024 009 000 00
072130 3019N 07906W 6435 03770 0156 -030 -250 301024 024 009 000 00
072200 3018N 07908W 6436 03772 0157 -030 -249 299024 024 009 000 00
072230 3017N 07911W 6436 03772 0158 -029 -251 299023 023 007 000 00
072300 3016N 07913W 6436 03773 0157 -029 -255 298022 023 006 000 00
072330 3015N 07915W 6436 03775 0158 -028 -259 300022 022 011 000 00
072400 3014N 07918W 6436 03775 0154 -026 -261 299023 023 009 000 00
072430 3013N 07920W 6435 03776 0153 -024 -273 298023 023 009 000 00
072500 3012N 07922W 6436 03776 0149 -022 -284 300022 023 009 000 00
072530 3011N 07925W 6436 03776 0147 -020 -289 299021 021 008 000 00
072600 3010N 07927W 6435 03775 0144 -019 -290 301022 022 010 000 00
072630 3009N 07929W 6435 03776 0137 -015 -293 301025 026 006 000 00
072700 3008N 07931W 6435 03776 0132 -012 -306 300025 026 005 000 00

URNT15 KWBC 030737
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 45 20071103
072730 3006N 07934W 6436 03776 0130 -009 -317 300026 027 007 000 00
072800 3005N 07936W 6435 03776 0127 -008 -324 301028 028 009 000 00
072830 3004N 07938W 6435 03776 0126 -007 -326 301028 028 011 000 00
072900 3003N 07940W 6435 03776 0123 -006 -327 298027 027 007 000 00
072930 3002N 07943W 6474 03728 0123 -002 -326 299027 028 006 000 00
073000 3000N 07945W 6475 03727 0119 +001 -322 300028 029 006 000 00
073030 2959N 07947W 6434 03780 0115 +002 -331 299030 030 008 000 00
073100 2958N 07949W 6434 03782 0114 +004 -353 299030 030 007 000 00
073130 2957N 07951W 6434 03781 0114 +004 -376 299030 030 007 000 00
073200 2956N 07954W 6435 03782 0113 +004 -395 300030 030 010 000 00
073230 2955N 07956W 6434 03782 0109 +006 -407 301030 030 015 000 00
073300 2953N 07958W 6434 03781 0107 +007 -413 301030 031 013 000 00
073330 2952N 08000W 6435 03780 0109 +006 -415 303031 031 011 000 00
073400 2951N 08002W 6434 03780 0110 +005 -419 303031 031 016 000 00
073430 2950N 08004W 6432 03784 0111 +005 -422 303031 031 015 000 03
073500 2949N 08006W 6434 03782 0112 +005 -423 305030 030 014 000 00
073530 2947N 08008W 6434 03783 0113 +005 -422 305029 030 015 000 00
073600 2946N 08010W 6433 03784 0112 +006 -420 304029 029 010 000 00
073630 2944N 08012W 6433 03784 0115 +005 -419 304028 029 008 000 00
073700 2942N 08014W 6434 03787 0119 +004 -418 305028 029 005 000 00

URNT15 KWBC 030747
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 46 20071103
073730 2941N 08016W 6433 03789 0122 +003 -419 306028 028 005 000 00
073800 2939N 08018W 6434 03790 0122 +004 -420 307028 029 005 000 00
073830 2938N 08020W 6433 03790 0122 +004 -419 307028 028 003 000 00
073900 2936N 08022W 6433 03790 0122 +004 -416 306028 028 999 999 03
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074530 2916N 08048W 6433 03798 0128 +005 -429 307025 025 003 000 03
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074630 2913N 08052W 6433 03798 0131 +004 -430 306024 025 999 999 03
074700 2911N 08053W 6433 03798 0137 +001 -429 312024 024 999 999 03

URNT15 KWBC 030757
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 47 20071103
074730 2910N 08055W 6433 03800 0137 +001 -426 312023 023 999 999 03
074800 2908N 08057W 6433 03800 0134 +003 -422 310023 024 999 999 03
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075630 2841N 08131W 6434 03804 0115 +019 -431 315026 026 999 999 03
075700 2839N 08133W 6433 03805 0113 +021 -433 314026 026 999 999 03

URNT15 KWBC 030807
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 48 20071103
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080700 2808N 08212W 7380 02693 0143 +072 -113 336014 015 999 999 03

URNT15 KWBC 030817
NOAA3 WXWXA NOEL HDOB 49 20071103
080730 2806N 08213W 7563 02491 0136 +092 -111 342017 018 999 999 03
080800 2805N 08215W 7769 02270 0132 +111 -114 350018 019 999 999 03
080830 2803N 08216W 7992 02034 0128 +132 -125 354014 015 999 999 03
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081630 2749N 08233W 9900 00212 0147 +189 +083 024023 024 999 999 03
081700 2750N 08233W 0039 00093 0147 +187 +115 018017 020 999 999 03

Mission over.
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#3820 Postby Crostorm » Sat Nov 03, 2007 4:04 am

Dangerous post-tropical storm Noel will approach Nova Scotia

Warnings
Digby County
4:21 AM ADT Saturday 3 November 2007
Rainfall warning for
Digby County continued

Rainfall amounts of 50 to 70 millimetres today and tonight.



Dangerous post-tropical storm Noel will approach Nova Scotia today and track across the Bay of Fundy tonight reaching the Gulf of St Lawrence Sunday morning. The main threat with this storm will be potentially damaging winds..Heavy rain and pounding ocean waves.

Gusty easterly winds up to 100 km/h will develop during the day over the mainland. Les Suetes winds gusting to 150 km/h are forecast tonight..Elsewhere winds will become southwest with gusts from 100 to 120 km/h with 140 km/h possible over some coastal areas. These winds could lead to downed trees and power lines leading to power interuptions and cause damage to roofing and cladding material on some homes.

Rainfall amounts of 50 to 70 millimetres are expected over the western half of the province..While 20 to 40 millimetres are expected over eastern portions. Showers will quickly end Sunday morning. Rainfall may cause localized flooding in prone areas..Especially where leaf litter clogs storm drains.

10-meter waves are expected along the coast..Erosion of some beaches is likely. High water levels along the Northumberland strait are expected tonight.

Digby County
4:21 AM ADT Saturday 3 November 2007
Wind warning for
Digby County continued

Dangerous winds developing today and continuing tonight with gusts exceeding 100 km/h.



Dangerous post-tropical storm Noel will approach Nova Scotia today and track across the Bay of Fundy tonight reaching the Gulf of St Lawrence Sunday morning. The main threat with this storm will be potentially damaging winds..Heavy rain and pounding ocean waves.

Gusty easterly winds up to 100 km/h will develop during the day over the mainland. Les Suetes winds gusting to 150 km/h are forecast tonight..Elsewhere winds will become southwest with gusts from 100 to 120 km/h with 140 km/h possible over some coastal areas. These winds could lead to downed trees and power lines leading to power interuptions and cause damage to roofing and cladding material on some homes.

Rainfall amounts of 50 to 70 millimetres are expected over the western half of the province..While 20 to 40 millimetres are expected over eastern portions. Showers will quickly end Sunday morning. Rainfall may cause localized flooding in prone areas..Especially where leaf litter clogs storm drains.

10-meter waves are expected along the coast..Erosion of some beaches is likely. High water levels along the Northumberland strait are expected tonight.

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