INVEST 92L : NE Atlantic : Discussions & Images

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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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INVEST 92L : NE Atlantic : Discussions & Images

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Nov 05, 2007 9:49 pm

Invest on NRL right now...HEHE. Looking like a subtropical storm.
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Re: INVEST 92L : Northeastern Atlantic : Discussions & Images

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Nov 05, 2007 9:51 pm

05/2345 UTC 32.9N 36.6W ST2.5/2.5 92L
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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Nov 05, 2007 9:52 pm

Image

92LINVEST.35kts-NAmb-329N-366W
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#4 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Nov 05, 2007 9:58 pm

I'd call it STS Olga personally...
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Re:

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Nov 05, 2007 9:59 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I'd call it STS Olga personally...



Me to.
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#6 Postby RL3AO » Mon Nov 05, 2007 10:00 pm

That visible is 9 hours old. Lets see what it looks like in the morning.
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Re: INVEST 92L : Northeastern Atlantic : Discussions & Images

#7 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 05, 2007 10:14 pm

000
ABNT20 KNHC 060309
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EST MON NOV 5 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE AZORES CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHWARD DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BROWN
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Re: INVEST 92L : Northeastern Atlantic : Discussions & Images

#8 Postby TheEuropean » Mon Nov 05, 2007 10:15 pm

cycloneye wrote:000
A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE AZORES CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS.


DISORGANIZED? Hm, I don't think so. Looks for me more and more organized.
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Re: INVEST 92L : Northeastern Atlantic : Discussions & Images

#9 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Mon Nov 05, 2007 10:25 pm

Could be one of those, "Let's assume STS's don't happen and wait till this thing is 60Kts" for the NHC.

Either way it's not getting un-noticed. It'll either fall apart or this will be Olga.
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#10 Postby Chacor » Mon Nov 05, 2007 10:26 pm

If visibles are good we probably will have warnings by the end of today (UTC).
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Re: INVEST 92L : Northeastern Atlantic : Discussions & Images

#11 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 05, 2007 10:28 pm

Image
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#12 Postby Chacor » Mon Nov 05, 2007 10:48 pm

Image

GFS initialises as warm-core, as does UKM:

Image
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#13 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Nov 05, 2007 11:27 pm

Image
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Re: INVEST 92L : Northeastern Atlantic : Discussions & Images

#14 Postby vegastar » Tue Nov 06, 2007 5:01 am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 060957
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA IS CENTERED ABOUT 675 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD OR SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND WILL
BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BROWN
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Re: INVEST 92L : Northeastern Atlantic : Discussions & Images

#15 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Nov 06, 2007 6:14 am

Image
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#16 Postby Chacor » Tue Nov 06, 2007 7:23 am

Waiting for the 12Z ATCF update...
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#17 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Nov 06, 2007 7:28 am

Image

Like Andrea and Jerry, it's looking worse as it goes from non-tropical to subtropical and/or tropical.
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#18 Postby Chacor » Tue Nov 06, 2007 7:30 am

That thing just northeast of it... possible Fujiwhara?
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#19 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Nov 06, 2007 7:33 am

Agree, looks like a non-tropical low moving north and 92L moving south.

Image
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INVEST 92L: Models Thread

#20 Postby TheEuropean » Tue Nov 06, 2007 7:39 am

037
WHXX04 KWBC 060528
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL STORM INVEST 92L

INITIAL TIME 0Z NOV 6

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 32.7 36.6 225./12.0
6 31.9 37.1 215./ 8.7
12 31.2 36.8 154./ 7.7
18 30.9 36.5 146./ 3.8
24 30.9 35.5 90./ 8.6
30 31.3 34.2 72./12.4
36 32.3 34.1 5./10.1
42 32.5 34.0 45./ 1.8
48 33.0 33.4 50./ 6.9
54 34.1 32.4 42./14.0
60 34.8 32.1 16./ 8.0
66 35.4 31.7 38./ 6.6
72 36.1 31.4 27./ 7.0
78 36.8 30.9 33./ 8.2
84 37.3 31.1 339./ 5.5
90 37.5 31.2 331./ 2.2
96 37.6 31.1 61./ .9
102 37.7 30.8 70./ 3.1
108 37.7 30.3 94./ 3.8
114 37.5 29.8 104./ 4.5
120 37.4 29.2 106./ 4.5
126 37.4 29.1 101./ .8

So it should last for several days...
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