OLGA'S remnants : Discussions & Images

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Blown Away
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Re: GOM: Olga's remnants : Discussions & Images

#1021 Postby Blown Away » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:09 am

TBH what are the conditions in TB? Winds very light on FL E coast, only 5-10mph.
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#1022 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:16 am

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 11&loop=no
go to base reflectivity
SMALL AREA OF 80 KNOT WINDS = 95 MPH WINDS DERECHO!!!
a large area of 60 knot + winds or 70+ mph winds
I expect a large derecho with Hurricane Force wind gusts

hard to see wind at night
right now 20 mph gusts at my house
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#1023 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:17 am

COREDESAT IS THAT VELOCITY RADAR ACCURATE I CANT BELIEVE WHAT
IM SEEING!???
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Re:

#1024 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:21 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:COREDESAT IS THAT VELOCITY RADAR ACCURATE I CANT BELIEVE WHAT
IM SEEING!???


Well, I'm glad for TBH that after a dull (for him) hurricane season he is having an almost hurricane like experience.
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#1025 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:23 am

Ed I am half Very Nervous and half Sort of Excited.

St. Petersburg / Clea
Lat: 27.91 Lon: -82.69 Elev: 10
Last Update on Dec 15, 11:53 pm EST


Mostly Cloudy

75°F
(24°C) Humidity: 88 %
Wind Speed: S 13 MPH
Barometer: 29.82" (1009.7 mb)
Dewpoint: 71°F (22°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:


Pressure down to 1009.7!

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... &map.y=150
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#1026 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:23 am

wind is still very light only gusts to 15-20 mph or so

but the low from olga has undergone explosive baroclinically and shear induced
intensification
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: GOM: Olga's remnants : Discussions & Images

#1027 Postby drezee » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:25 am

buoy 42003 peak wind gust 57 mph last hour
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Re: GOM: Olga's remnants : Discussions & Images

#1028 Postby lrak » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:25 am

lol, good luck Florida and TBH, tonight does look ruff :D And I see a spin :P
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#1029 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:25 am

dreezee where is that bouy at

NOT GOOD
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
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Re: GOM: Olga's remnants : Discussions & Images

#1030 Postby drezee » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:27 am

25.74 N 85.73 W
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#1031 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:28 am

thank you!
well its time to watch the skies
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Re:

#1032 Postby lrak » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:30 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:dreezee where is that bouy at

NOT GOOD
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes



NOPE.
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#1033 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:38 am

Special Marine Warning
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING...CORRECTED...
GMZ850-853-870-873-160630-
/O.NEW.KTBW.MA.W.0135.071216T0523Z-071216T0630Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING...CORRECTED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1223 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM.
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM.

* UNTIL 130 AM EST

* AT 1223 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 34 KNOTS OR
GREATER... 66 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EGMONT KEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 KNOTS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA UNTIL 600 AM
EST. THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY.

MARINERS CAN ALSO EXPECT LOCALLY HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND TORRENTIAL RAIN. SEEK SAFETY IMMEDIATELY.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS WILL OCCUR...PRODUCING VERY HIGH WAVES. IF AT
SEA...GO BELOW DECK UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. OTHERS SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT.

PLEASE REPORT WATERSPOUTS OR FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS OF 34 KNOTS OR
HIGHER...HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER...AND ANY VESSEL DAMAGE
TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN BY CALLING 813-645-2323.

&&

LAT...LON 2920 8348 2929 8322 2887 8286 2789 8291
2696 8260 2672 8341 2713 8367 2769 8386
2844 8383 2882 8409
TIME...MOT...LOC 0523Z 232DEG 51KT 2723 8372


http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigmz.p ... ne+Warning
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#1034 Postby btangy » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:41 am

SPC mesoanalysis page shows a low level jet approaching the FL coast. Low level helicities are greatest in this jet region with the likelihood of supercells, some tornadic, increasing along the FL Gulf coast in the next few hours. Further north, shear is unidirectional and instability is lacking. Dominant mode is likely slantwise convection organizing in to linear segments with wind damage the primary threat.
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Re: GOM: Olga's remnants : Discussions & Images

#1035 Postby lrak » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:42 am

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003


40kts gusts.

we can feel the pressure gradient all the way to the TX coast. Some serious gust outside my door.
Last edited by lrak on Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: GOM: Olga's remnants : Discussions & Images

#1036 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:45 am

lrak wrote:http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003


40kts gusts.


that's like conditions similar to a tropical storm

conditions right now here are not too bad yet
light rain 14 mph winds
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Re: GOM: Olga's remnants : Discussions & Images

#1037 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:56 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:
lrak wrote:http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003


40kts gusts.


that's like conditions similar to a tropical storm

conditions right now here are not too bad yet
light rain 14 mph winds




You can kind of see where the remnant low of Olga is along the front West of Sarasota, I think.
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Re: GOM: Olga's remnants : Discussions & Images

#1038 Postby drezee » Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:58 am

Based on radar the remnant center is near 27.4N 84.2W
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Re: GOM: Olga's remnants : Discussions & Images

#1039 Postby drezee » Sun Dec 16, 2007 1:19 am

DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
DEEP LAYERED TROUGH COVERS THE SE US AND THE GULF WITH A FAST
MOVING COLD FRONT ENTERING THE GULF NEAR THE FLORIDA/ALABAMA
BORDER EXTENDING ALONG 25N92W THEN SLOWER AS IT ENTERS MEXICO
NEAR TUXPAN AT 16/0300 UTC. THE REMNANTS OF OLGA ARE IN THE E
GULF NEAR 25N87W AND IS EXPECTED TO BE ABSORBED BY THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.
WELL DEFINED SQUALL LINE WITH HEAVY RAINS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS IS WELL E OF THE FRONT WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE
EXTENDING FROM THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA ALONG 27N85W TO OVER THE
E FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THIS WEATHER WILL MOVE OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM W OF THE FRONT N
OF 25N THEN EXPAND TO WITHIN 150 NM AS IT APPROACHES THE MEXICAN
COAST. SKIES ARE CLEARING OVER THE NW GULF IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH GALE WARNINGS W OF THE FRONT AND A SURFACE
RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE W GULF ANCHORED BY A 1025 MB HIGH OVER
CENTRAL TEXAS.
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Re: GOM: Olga's remnants : Discussions & Images

#1040 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Dec 16, 2007 2:35 am

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