Timor Sea: Invest 90P

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#101 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 7:43 am

Lots of convection

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#102 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 9:20 am

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 5
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 pm CST [10:30 pm WDT] Thursday 3 January 2008

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Mitchell
Plateau in Western Australia to Daly River Mouth in the Northern Territory.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities from Daly River
Mouth to Goulburn Island, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands.

At 9:30 pm CST [9:00 pm WDT] a Tropical Low was estimated to be
145 kilometres north northwest of Wyndham and
390 kilometres west southwest of Darwin and
moving west southwest at 4 kilometres per hour.

The low remains slow moving and may develop into a TROPICAL CYCLONE later
tonight or tomorrow morning, before moving eastward towards the Top End of the
Northern Territory.

GALES could affect coastal and island communities between Mitchell Plateau in
Western Australia and Daly River Mouth in the Northern Territory later tonight
or early Friday morning.

If the system were to take a more northeast track, there is the possibility that
GALES could affect coastal and island communities between Daly River Mouth and
Goulburn Island, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands late on Friday or on
Saturday.

Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding in the north Kimberley region tonight
and tomorrow.

Details of Tropical Low at 9:30 pm CST [9:00 pm WDT]:
.Centre located near...... 14.2 degrees South 127.8 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 46 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 4 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 80 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 990 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 2:00 am CST [1:30 am WDT] Friday 04 January.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
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#103 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 9:29 am

Continues to organize. It begins to looks like a TC.
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#104 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 11:07 am

03/1430 UTC 14.0S 128.0E T2.5/2.5 90S -- South Indian Ocean

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Re: N Australia: Tropical Low (TC WARNING)

#105 Postby Crostorm » Thu Jan 03, 2008 12:51 pm

IDDP0002
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 6
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:00 am CST [1:30 am WDT] Friday 4 January 2008

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Mitchell
Plateau in Western Australia to Daly River Mouth in the Northern Territory.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities from Daly River
Mouth to Goulburn Island, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands.

At 12:30 am CST [12:00 am WDT] a Tropical Low was estimated to be
170 kilometres north northwest of Wyndham and
385 kilometres west southwest of Darwin and
moving north northwest at 7 kilometres per hour.

The low remains slow moving and may develop into a TROPICAL CYCLONE this
morning, before moving eastward toward the Top End of the Northern Territory.

GALES could affect coastal and island communities between Mitchell Plateau in
Western Australia and Daly River Mouth in the Northern Territory this morning.

If the system were to take a more northeast track, there is the possibility that
GALES could affect coastal and island communities between Daly River Mouth and
Goulburn Island, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands, on Saturday.

Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding in the north Kimberley region today.

Details of Tropical Low at 12:30 am CST [12:00 am WDT]:
.Centre located near...... 14.0 degrees South 127.7 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 46 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the north northwest at 7 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 80 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 990 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 5:00 am CST [4:30 am WDT] Friday 04 January.


This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
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#106 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 3:49 pm

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10S IS HERE!
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#107 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 4:10 pm

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Pretty active monsoon.
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Re: N Australia: Tropical Low (TC WARNING) TC 10S

#108 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 4:26 pm

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WTXS32 PGTW 032100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING NR 001
RMKS/
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031521Z JAN 08//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z --- NEAR 14.0S 127.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S 127.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 13.5S 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z --- 13.1S 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 13.4S 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 14.3S 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
032100Z POSITION NEAR 13.9S 128.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10S LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 06 HOURS. IMAGERY FROM THE WYNDHAM RADAR INDICATES THE WELL-
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS MOVED OFF THE COAST
AND INTO THE JOSEPH BONAPARTE GULF. ALSO, A 031442Z TRMM 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE
LLCC. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELO-
PMENT WITH ANTICYCLONIC TURNING SUPERIMPOSED OVER THE SURFACE
CIRCULATION. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, WHICH HAD BEEN THE PREVIOUS
WESTWARD STEERING INFLUENCE HAS SINCE WEAKENED DUE TO AN ADVANCING
TROUGH, ALLOWING THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE STORM TO
BECOME THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE. THE STORM IS EXPECTED
TO INTENSIFY OVER WATER THROUGH TAU 12 BEFORE IT CROSSES BACK OVER
LAND. NEAR TAU 48 THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
GULF OF CARPENTARIA AND DEEPEN ONCE AGAIN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 13 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 031521Z JAN 08 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 031530). NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z AND 042100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (ELNUS) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW)
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
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#109 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 5:43 pm

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 8
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 am CST [7:30 am WDT] Friday 4 January 2008

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Mitchell
Plateau in Western Australia to Cape Hotham in the Northern Territory, including
Darwin.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Hotham
to Goulburn Island, including the Tiwi Islands.

At 6:30 am CST [6:00 am WDT] a Tropical Low was estimated to be
205 kilometres north northwest of Wyndham and
380 kilometres west southwest of Darwin and
moving north at 10 kilometres per hour.

The low has moved to the north and may develop into a TROPICAL CYCLONE later
this morning. It is likely to move eastward during today toward the Top End of
the Northern Territory.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour could affect coastal and island
communities in the north Kimberley today and extend to the western Top End of
the Northern Territory, including Darwin, later today or early tomorrow.

If the system were to take a more northeast track, there is the possibility that
GALES could affect coastal and island communities between Cape Hotham and
Goulburn Island, including the Tiwi Islands during Saturday.

Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding in the north Kimberley region and the
Top End.

Details of Tropical Low at 6:30 am CST [6:00 am WDT]:
.Centre located near...... 13.7 degrees South 127.6 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 46 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the north at 10 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 80 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 990 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 11:00 am CST [10:30 am WDT] Friday 04 January.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

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#110 Postby Coredesat » Thu Jan 03, 2008 7:52 pm

Weakened to a disturbance, becoming extratropical.

WTIO30 FMEE 040029

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 18/6/20072008
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 (EX-ELNUS)

2.A POSITION 2008/01/04 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.8S / 43.0E
(TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2008/01/04 12 UTC: 27.8S/44.6E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2008/01/05 00 UTC: 29.5S/47.0E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=1.5 AND CI=2.0
THE LLCC IS FULLY EXPOSED NORTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO A
RATHER STRONG NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR WEAKENING.

THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED MORE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER THE LAST HOURS,
LIKELY UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF AN EQUATORWARD EXTENSION OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER MADAGASCAR AND THE THROUGH IN THE SOUTH. AVAILABLE
NWP DO NOT ANALYSE PROPERLY THE SITUATION.
THE SYSTEM HAS CLEARLY ACCELERATED DURING LAST HOURS, AND SEEMS TO TRACKS
QUICKLY TOWARDS THE THROUGH, BECOMING EXTRA-TROPICAL
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#111 Postby Coredesat » Thu Jan 03, 2008 9:13 pm

Tropical Cyclone Helen is here.

AXAU01 ADRM 040148
IDD20020
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - NORTHERN REGION
ISSUED BY DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
AT: 0148 UTC 04/01/2008
NAME: HELEN
DATA AT: 0000 UTC
LATITUDE: 13.4S
LONGITUDE: 128.1E
LOCATION ACCURACY: WITHIN 25 NM [46 KM]
MOVEMENT TOWARDS: NORTHEAST [044 DEG]
SPEED OF MOVEMENT: 8 KNOTS [16 KM/H]
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE WIND: 35 KNOTS [65 KM/H]
MAXIMUM 3-SECOND WIND GUST: 50 KNOTS [95 KM/H]
CENTRAL PRESSURE: 985 HPA

RADIUS OF 34-KNOT WINDS NE QUADRANT: 40 NM [75 KM]
RADIUS OF 34-KNOT WINDS SE QUADRANT: 40 NM [75 KM]
RADIUS OF 34-KNOT WINDS SW QUADRANT: 40 NM [75 KM]
RADIUS OF 34-KNOT WINDS NW QUADRANT: 40 NM [75 KM]
RADIUS OF 48-KNOT WINDS NE QUADRANT:
RADIUS OF 48-KNOT WINDS SE QUADRANT:
RADIUS OF 48-KNOT WINDS SW QUADRANT:
RADIUS OF 48-KNOT WINDS NW QUADRANT:
RADIUS OF 64-KNOT WINDS:
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS: 10 NM [19 KM]
DVORAK INTENSITY CODE: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS
PRESSURE OF OUTERMOST ISOBAR: 998 HPA
RADIUS OF OUTERMOST CLOSED ISOBAR: 90 NM [165 KM]
STORM DEPTH: DEEP
FORECAST DATA
DATE/TIME : LOCATION : LOC. ACCURACY: MAX WIND : CENTRAL PRESSURE
[UTC] : DEGREES : NM [KM]: KNOTS[KM/H]: HPA
+12: 04/1200: 13.0S 129.5E: 125 [235]: 050 [095]: 980
+24: 05/0000: 12.9S 131.7E: 210 [390]: 030 [055]: 992
+36: 05/1200: 13.1S 134.3E: 280 [520]: 030 [055]: 994
+48: 06/0000: 13.5S 137.0E: 350 [640]: 030 [055]: 990
+60: 06/1200: 14.7S 139.4E: 400 [740]: 050 [095]: 982
+72: 07/0000: 15.9S 140.1E: 360 [670]: 055 [100]: 978
REMARKS:
DVORAK BASED ON CURVED BAND PATTERN 0.7 WRAP. MET=2.5 DT=PT=3.0
==
THE NEXT BULLETIN FOR THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY: 04/0730 UTC BY DARWIN TCWC.
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#112 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 9:55 pm

SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (ELNUS) WARNING NR 008
WTXS32 PGTW 040300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (ELNUS) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 25.5S 42.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 25.5S 42.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 26.5S 43.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 25.8S 42.6E.

THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MON-
ITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 13 FEET.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW)
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
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#113 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 11:05 pm

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 9
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 am CST [10:30 am WDT] Friday 4 January 2008

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Kalumburu
in Western Australia to Cape Hotham in the Northern Territory, including Darwin.


The Cyclone WARNING between Mitchell Plateau and Kalumburu has been cancelled.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Hotham
to Goulburn Island, including the Tiwi Islands.

At 9:30 am CST [9:00 am WDT] TROPICAL CYCLONE Helen CATEGORY 1 was located in
the Timor Sea approximately
230 kilometres north of Wyndham and
320 kilometres west southwest of Darwin and
moving northeast at 16 kilometres per hour.

The cyclone is likely to take a more eastward track during today toward the Top
End of the Northern Territory.

The cyclone is expected to cross the coast between Darwin and Port Keats tonight
or early tomorrow.

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour could affect coastal and island
communities in the north Kimberley and western Top End during today.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour could affect coastal and
island communities between Darwin and Port Keats tonight or early tomorrow.

If the system were to take a more northeast track, there is the possibility that
GALES could affect coastal and island communities between Cape Hotham and
Goulburn Island, including the Tiwi Islands during Saturday.

Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding in the north Kimberley region and the
Top End.

Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE Helen at 9:30 am CST [9:00 am WDT]:
.Centre located near...... 13.4 degrees South 128.1 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 46 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the northeast at 16 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 80 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 985 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 2:00 pm CST [1:30 pm WDT] Friday 04 January.


This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

MEDIA: the following message is only for broadcast in Western Australia

BLUE ALERT: People in or near the communities of Kalumburu, Wyndham, Oombulgurri
and Faraway Bay should start taking precautions.
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#114 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 11:05 pm

Looking pretty good.

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Re: N Australia: Tropical Cyclone Helen (TC 10S)

#115 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 11:56 pm

04/0230 UTC 13.6S 128.4E T2.5/2.5 HELEN -- South Indian Ocean
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#116 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 03, 2008 11:58 pm

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 10
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:00 pm CST [1:30 pm WDT] Friday 4 January 2008

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Kalumburu
in Western Australia to Cape Hotham in the Northern Territory, including Darwin.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Hotham
to Goulburn Island, including the Tiwi Islands.

At 12:30 pm CST [12:00 pm WDT] Tropical Cyclone Helen, Category 1 was estimated
to be
230 kilometres west northwest of Daly River and
265 kilometres west southwest of Darwin and
moving east northeast at 20 kilometres per hour.

The cyclone is expected to cross the coast between Darwin and Daly River Mouth
late tonight or early tomorrow.

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour could affect coastal and island
communities in the north Kimberley and western Top End during today.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour could affect coastal and
island communities between Darwin and Daly River Mouth tonight or early
tomorrow.

If the system were to take a more northeast and slower track, there is the
possibility that GALES could affect coastal and island communities between Cape
Hotham and Goulburn Island, including the Tiwi Islands during Saturday.

Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding in the north Kimberley region and the
Top End.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Helen at 12:30 pm CST [12:00 pm WDT]:
.Centre located near...... 13.3 degrees South 128.6 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 46 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the east northeast at 20 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 80 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 985 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 5:00 pm CST [4:30 pm WDT] Friday 04 January.


This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

MEDIA: the following message is only for broadcast in Western Australia

BLUE ALERT: People in or near the communities of Kalumburu, Wyndham, Oombulgurri
and Faraway Bay should start taking precautions.

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#117 Postby Chacor » Fri Jan 04, 2008 5:51 am

IDDP0002
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY

MEDIA: Transmitters serving the area Darwin to Daly River are requested to use
the cyclone emergency warning signal with this message.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 12
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 pm CST Friday 4 January 2008

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Port Keats
to Cape Hotham, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities from Elcho Island
to Numbulwar, including Nhulunbuy and Groote Eylandt.

At 6:30 pm CST Tropical Cyclone Helen, Category 2 was estimated to be
95 kilometres west of Daly River Mouth and
185 kilometres west southwest of Darwin and
moving east at 15 kilometres per hour.

The cyclone is expected to cross the coast near Daly River Mouth in the next few
hours. Tropical Cyclone Helen is expected to weaken below cyclone intensity over
land tomorrow, but may continue to move east and redevelop in the Gulf of
Carpentaria on Sunday.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour are expected to affect
coastal and island communities between Darwin and Daly River Mouth in the next
few hours.

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced on
parts of the coast between Darwin and Port Keats, and may extend to Cape Hotham
and the Tiwi Islands later tonight. These conditions are expected to continue
for the next 6 to 12 hours.

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometers per hour may affect coastal and island
communities between Elcho Island and Numbulwar, including Nhulunbuy and Groote
Eylandt, on Sunday if the system redevelops in the Gulf of Carpentaria.

Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding over the Top End.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Helen at 6:30 pm CST:
.Centre located near...... 13.2 degrees South 129.4 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 28 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the east at 15 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 130 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 2
.Central pressure......... 975 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 11:00 pm CST Friday 04 January.


This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
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Re: N Australia: Tropical Cyclone Helen (TC 10S)

#118 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jan 04, 2008 7:09 am

04/0830 UTC 13.1S 128.9E T3.0/3.0 HELEN -- South Indian Ocean

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#119 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jan 04, 2008 7:20 am

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Very interesting!
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Re: N Australia: Tropical Cyclone Helen (TC 10S)

#120 Postby tropicana » Fri Jan 04, 2008 7:33 am

if you wanna listen in live to ABC Darwin radio 105.7 FM, this is the site:-

http://www.abc.net.au/darwin/

i've been listening in for the last half hour, kinda exciting.
Darwin Airport is still open, but many airlines have delayed their flights, including Quantas Airlnes.

Darwin weather:-
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/YPDN.html

Local time in Darwin NT is 14 1/2 hours ahead of Eastern Time (US and Canada), so right now its 7:30am ET, it is 10pm Friday night in Darwin

-justin-
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