NEW MOON PATH 2017

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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#61 Postby gigabite » Thu Jan 26, 2017 7:44 pm

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The January 2017 New Moon is over the warmest water in the tropics. This is a geo-active area. The chance of a large number of earthquake during the phase is 50:50.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#62 Postby gigabite » Tue Jan 31, 2017 9:13 pm

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Missing satellite data for most of the phase. the problem cleared up today and was able to get a cloud count. There was a 4 percent drop in year over year water vapor and a 14.1 percent increase in water vapor since 2015.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#63 Postby gigabite » Thu Feb 23, 2017 7:42 pm

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The February New Moon is crossing South America into the South Atlantic. This is the warmest water in the Atlantic and will be exposed to accelerated evaporation for four days. The sub lunar New Moon is over a highly fractured land mass before passing over the Atlantic. On the 28 the moon passes over a geologically active which historically pushes the global earthquake count up.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#64 Postby gigabite » Mon Mar 06, 2017 8:17 pm

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The instantaneous global water vapor coverage at the New Moon is apparently trending upward.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#65 Postby gigabite » Thu Mar 23, 2017 7:29 pm

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This is the phase path for March. Looks a lot like January. It is a little further north, but the shape of the sea surface temperature feature is similar. The new moon is approaching perigee. Last month the global earthquake count ticked up 43% it is still below the 400 quakes per phase, so there isn't a pattern yet. The number of earthquakes at or above magnitude 5 ticked up 25%. There is definitely progress on the U.S. drought figures as far as a relationship of aphelion New Moon Latitude and global water vapor goes. That relationship could be dampened by the percentage of dry land across the path the further the New Moons reach moves north.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#66 Postby gigabite » Sat Apr 01, 2017 7:18 am

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2017 global cloud cover is still increasing. It has increased almost by half since 2015. Being a 3.3% sample it is a narrow metric, and the age of the database in only about 3 years. The purpose is to show a relationship between the latitude on the midsummer new moon and global rainfall. That being an annual event a relevant database would take 30 to build.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#67 Postby gigabite » Tue Apr 25, 2017 8:16 pm

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Back over Africa. I expect that global water vapor will dip. There is not much surface water to evaporate. The sublimation process is a process where kinetic energy of a surface water molecule changes the state of water from a liquid to a gas with out reaching the boiling point. I think that gravity has a role to play in evaporation. Just as acceleration due to gravity plays a role in the rate a rain drop falls, the force of gravitation between the sun moon complex is not evenly distributed across the surface of the earth especially at the New Moon. Whether there is a graviton or not isn't relevant. The simple fact that a small amount of energy is imparted to the water molecule to add to the energy in the evaporation can't be disputed and that extra energy has to accelerate the state change.

There is also this geologic active region. Two days after the last time the New Moon passed over it there was a pop in the global earthquake count for that day.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#68 Postby gigabite » Sat Apr 29, 2017 5:54 pm

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This is a surprise, another monthly increase of this data point. I was expecting the cloud density to falloff a bit from last month because the event was crossing the desert. The database is only a few years old. Statistically from the database it was a 50/50 chance. From here it is a 70% chance that the thickness of the water vapor image will fade until August.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#69 Postby gigabite » Sun May 21, 2017 7:20 pm

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This should be interesting for the eastern Pacific. The lack of water vapor in the Caribbean limits the atmospheric tide.

Haiti and Puerto Rico always are geologically active areas. Earthquake frequency may pick up around the islands . Last month at the New Moon there were 24 earthquakes in the area none above magnitude 5.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#70 Postby gigabite » Tue May 30, 2017 5:28 pm

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There seems to be a regular seasonal dip in global water vapor in May.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#71 Postby gigabite » Tue May 30, 2017 7:21 pm

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The image on the left is the May 2017 New Moon Pass. This pass crosses Puerto Rico the earthquake count for the 7 days of the phase was 65 the same area the month before was 20.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#72 Postby gigabite » Sun Jun 18, 2017 12:36 pm

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This looks like the top of the moons range for the year. Water is very warm, but there is no 32° C contour. There are quite a few plate boundary's to cross. The Earth Moon distance is similar to last month. The earths orbit is passing through a vector between Jupiter and Venus, that creates a setup that sometimes that beefs up the global earthquake frequency. The overall earthquake count during the New Moon Phase has been reduced since October 2015.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#73 Postby gigabite » Sun Jun 25, 2017 5:21 pm

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Water vapor continues the summer dip. Still 56% above the September 2015 low.

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This is a plot of the latitude of the New Moon at aphelion. It looks like there is a few more years of the up swing in the moon's latitude.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#74 Postby gigabite » Sun Jul 16, 2017 11:43 am

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July's New Moon passes across the desert, and a geologically active region that sometimes demonstrates coincidental increase in global earthquakes. It is a day after perigee. The earth/moon distance at the New Moon is beginning to increase for the year.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#75 Postby gigabite » Sun Jul 23, 2017 5:46 pm

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This is the 23 July 2017 18:00 visable image georeferenced to the Moon Path Frame. There seems to be an interaction.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#76 Postby gigabite » Wed Jul 26, 2017 7:29 pm

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This month the amount of water vapor at the New Moon dropped precipitously (excuse the pun) the rate of change from April 2017 to July 2017 is 60% greater than a similar drop in 2015. I'll attribute that fact to the pass over the desert.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#77 Postby gigabite » Sat Aug 05, 2017 6:20 pm

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This is the New Moon Path for August 2017. The local waters are a little warmer than last month. The range of temperatures are a degree cooler than last month, but the pass was over the desert. There is lots of geologic active areas in this pass. The earthquake activity around Puerto Rico will probably tick up a bit.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#78 Postby gigabite » Sun Aug 06, 2017 10:39 am

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This is a approximate position of the Sun Moon Ground intercept line at the alignment near the time of the New Moon. The earthquake count may pick in this map extent due to the pass.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#79 Postby gigabite » Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:56 pm

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This is the plot of global water vapor for August 2017. The square miles of cloud cover ticked up year over year. There seems to be a pattern emerging of a progression in the month of the annual uptick, in 2015 the up tick was in October, 2016 it was September, 2017 it was August.

Also global earthquake frequency seems to be generally inversely related to the strength of relative incoming celestial gravity. There is a lot of variability to this. There was a drop in earthquake frequency over the New Moon Phase during the eclipse over last month. I was expecting an up tick being that the earth moon distance had increased over last month, perigee at the New Moon was May 2017, so the New Moon distance to earth is increasing. The overall frequency of earthquakes at the New Moon has been dropping since June 2014.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2017

#80 Postby gigabite » Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:52 am

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This pass is almost the same as June 2017. It is further South into a warmer range of water. It is a geologically active area. The earth moon distance does not suggest any extra global earthquakes. The New Moon crossing the equator could push the global earthquake count.
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