NEW MOON PATH 2018

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gigabite
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#101 Postby gigabite » Sun Jun 17, 2018 9:33 am

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This is the plot of the NRL stitched water vapor image analysis. The web page is shrinking and the usability of the resource is failing due to the evolution of technology. GOES 16 now inplace for GOES east does not seem to be playing well with other systems in the same venue. That is not to say it isn't better technology, but for some reason a work around can't level difference in the technology.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#102 Postby gigabite » Sun Jul 08, 2018 7:38 pm

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July's New Moon Pass is plowing through some warm water. This should bring water vapor to the threshold of evaporation than any of the past few pases.

Earthquake frequency is off the chart since Jupiter moved out of alignment with the Sun. A high earthquake count is expected for the pass. The number of earthquakes above magnitude 5 remains normal. The high number of smaller earthquakes seems to be related to the number of volcanic eruptions. The number of smaller earthquakes is 4 times normal.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#103 Postby chaser1 » Wed Jul 11, 2018 9:09 am

gigabite wrote:Image
July's New Moon Pass is plowing through some warm water. This should bring water vapor to the threshold of evaporation than any of the past few pases.

Earthquake frequency is off the chart since Jupiter moved out of alignment with the Sun. A high earthquake count is expected for the pass. The number of earthquakes above magnitude 5 remains normal. The high number of smaller earthquakes seems to be related to the number of volcanic eruptions. The number of smaller earthquakes is 4 times normal.


What are the projected New Moon Passes for the August/September period. I'm also curious whether any particularly interesting planetary alignments seem to be anticipated for that same time period. I've always found the subject regarding solar and planetary impact to Earth weather and earthquake conditions to be a fascinating topic.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#104 Postby gigabite » Sun Jul 15, 2018 3:16 pm

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Look like there could be a topping out phase of the growth of water vapor as the slope of the year over year chart has been flat. The percentage of land mass to water at 30°N is 40 % versus 30° S which is 20% so there is water surface area to accelerate evaporation.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#105 Postby gigabite » Tue Jul 17, 2018 7:50 pm

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This is a plot of global earthquake frequency over the 7 days of the New Moon. Something is going on. There has been 700% increase in the frequency of earthquakes over the last few months. These are smaller quakes. The number of magnitude 5 quakes and above is stable.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#106 Postby gigabite » Tue Aug 07, 2018 6:57 pm

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This month the New Moon's strongest pull is over the Sahara Desert. A similar pass was July 2017. The growth of global water vapor dropped 6%. There is a geologically active area just south of the pass.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#107 Postby gigabite » Fri Aug 17, 2018 5:33 pm

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There was a 3.5% tick up in the global water vapor this month. Not bad for a pass over the desert. Earthquake frequency has dropped off, but it is still 50% over a 53 month average.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#108 Postby gigabite » Thu Sep 06, 2018 5:19 pm

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This is the change in sea surface temperature between September 2017 and September 2018.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#109 Postby gigabite » Thu Sep 06, 2018 6:30 pm

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The Moon Path passes through the Caribbean then into the South Atlantic. Invest 92L could interact with the pass. There is a history of storm intensification when the pass is less than 10° south of the storm. Also the abrupt change of direct of the moon at the top of the swing like on the 7th sometimes creates a earthquake issue.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#110 Postby gigabite » Thu Sep 13, 2018 4:54 pm

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As of September 2018 global water vapor continues to expand, and as evident by The September 2018 minus the September 2017 Sea Surface Temperature Raster there was global cooling cooling this year.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#111 Postby gigabite » Mon Oct 01, 2018 5:51 pm

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Year over year global sea surface temperature change. This is a new product I'm developing. The map shows one standard deviation of change. The Bering Sea is 3 standard deviations warmer than last year.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#112 Postby gigabite » Sat Oct 06, 2018 8:13 am

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The October 2018 moon path passes through an area of very warm water, and a geologically active area
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#113 Postby gigabite » Wed Oct 10, 2018 6:07 pm

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October 2018 global water vapor growth is trending sideways.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#114 Postby chaser1 » Sun Oct 14, 2018 1:09 pm

gigabite wrote:[url]https://imagizer.imageshack.com/v2/640x480q90/924/YEItZh.jpg [/url]
October 2018 global water vapor growth is trending sideways.


Your thoughts on general implications?

Two other questions......

1) Have you noticed any correlation (or inverse correlation) between high global water vapor growth and those months/years during strong El Nino events?

2) Other (and rather random) question is, do you believe an anomalous level of global water vapor would potentially increase/decrease the global impact if occurring during a concurrent period of very strong volcanic activity and associated increase of atmospheric particulates? Obviously some level of planetary cooling occurs as a result of extremely significant volcanic events but I was curious if very high global water vapor acted to further exacerbate or mitigate the level of cooling.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#115 Postby gigabite » Fri Nov 02, 2018 7:27 pm

chaser1 wrote:
gigabite wrote:[url]https://imagizer.imageshack.com/v2/640x480q90/924/YEItZh.jpg [/url]
October 2018 global water vapor growth is trending sideways.


Your thoughts on general implications?

Two other questions......

1) Have you noticed any correlation (or inverse correlation) between high global water vapor growth and those months/years during strong El Nino events?

2) Other (and rather random) question is, do you believe an anomalous level of global water vapor would potentially increase/decrease the global impact if occurring during a concurrent period of very strong volcanic activity and associated increase of atmospheric particulates? Obviously some level of planetary cooling occurs as a result of extremely significant volcanic events but I was curious if very high global water vapor acted to further exacerbate or mitigate the level of cooling.


1) The relationship I hypothesize is one where the latitude of the midsummer new moon is the strongest evaporation that is influenced by gravity. The latitude of midsummer new moon ranges from 17 degrees north to around 30 degrees north. The super el nino occurs at the bottom of the run. There is no correlation to any other nino event.

2) The rate of sea level rise and the growth of the area of surface water are related, as is the distance from the sun and the average atmospheric pressure. When there is more water surface and and less atmospheric pressure it seem that it should rain more.
...volcanism is a result of crustal movement which is measurably more when there is less gravity. Less gravity less pressure more rain.

The lunar cycle is 19 years from node to node, this particular study started May 2014. The cresting of the rise of global water vapor is the inflection point I am looking forward to.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#116 Postby gigabite » Sat Nov 03, 2018 3:02 pm

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Global earthquake frequency peaks as Earth passed through the Martian Lagrangian Gravity field from June to July 2018. A Lagrangian field is a area about 15% of the way between a planet and the Sun where there is a balance between the planets gravity and the Sun’s gravity. This pot hole in space slightly loosened the Earth’s tectonic plates a little letting them rattle a bit. The earthquake frequency shot up 500 % over the period. Fortunately these were mostly minor quakes. The frequency of major quakes remained steady.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#117 Postby gigabite » Sun Nov 04, 2018 9:11 am

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The New Moon is well below the equator this month and into some very cool water for a change. The path crosses the Mid Atlantic Ridge which could put a wrinkle in the earthquake frequency plot. There is 50% probability of a magnitude 6 earthquake in a 250 mile radius of Tokyo, Japan, and a 90% probability of a 5.8 earthquake in a 800 mile radius of Tokyo, Japan. Historically once the New Moon is 10 degrees south of the equator Atlantic hurricane frequency approaches zero. The the average sea surface temperature at the New Moon is 2 degrees celsius cooler than November 2017.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#118 Postby chaser1 » Tue Nov 06, 2018 11:06 am

gigabite wrote:
chaser1 wrote:
gigabite wrote:[url]https://imagizer.imageshack.com/v2/640x480q90/924/YEItZh.jpg [/url]
October 2018 global water vapor growth is trending sideways.


Your thoughts on general implications?

Two other questions......

1) Have you noticed any correlation (or inverse correlation) between high global water vapor growth and those months/years during strong El Nino events?

2) Other (and rather random) question is, do you believe an anomalous level of global water vapor would potentially increase/decrease the global impact if occurring during a concurrent period of very strong volcanic activity and associated increase of atmospheric particulates? Obviously some level of planetary cooling occurs as a result of extremely significant volcanic events but I was curious if very high global water vapor acted to further exacerbate or mitigate the level of cooling.


1) The relationship I hypothesize is one where the latitude of the midsummer new moon is the strongest evaporation that is influenced by gravity. The latitude of midsummer new moon ranges from 17 degrees north to around 30 degrees north. The super el nino occurs at the bottom of the run. There is no correlation to any other nino event.

2) The rate of sea level rise and the growth of the area of surface water are related, as is the distance from the sun and the average atmospheric pressure. When there is more water surface and and less atmospheric pressure it seem that it should rain more.
...volcanism is a result of crustal movement which is measurably more when there is less gravity. Less gravity less pressure more rain.

The lunar cycle is 19 years from node to node, this particular study started May 2014. The cresting of the rise of global water vapor is the inflection point I am looking forward to.


When do you anticipate that ("inflection point") to be?
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#119 Postby gigabite » Sat Nov 10, 2018 8:27 pm

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The November global water vapor plot looks to be topping. As the Moon's midsummer latitude gets further north the great circle water to land percentage decreases in the northern hemisphere and the surface water temperature decreases.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2018

#120 Postby gigabite » Mon Dec 03, 2018 5:08 pm

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The Northeast Coast is cooler than last year and the Northwest Coast is still warmer by as much 3 degrees in places.
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