NEW MOON PATH 2020

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gigabite
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#141 Postby gigabite » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:16 am

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The sea surface temperature model shown here is from the beginning of the month. Evidently there is an issue with the system. The polar regions seem to be clear of variations. This time of year that is not possible. The next three weeks after August 4, 2019 the raster images aren't posted.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#142 Postby gigabite » Sun Sep 01, 2019 3:43 pm

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Global water vapor has been unusually steady for the last few months. It is staying about 35% over it minimum coverage.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#143 Postby gigabite » Wed Sep 25, 2019 7:08 pm

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The September 2019 New Moon Path update has a new SST provider the CPC provider is having problems getting the GIS raster into the folder. This raster is projected, but it doesn't have the precision of the CPC's.

As the season changes to fall the New Moon alignment is near the equator. Fall is the time when the latitude of the Sun crosses the equator. The New Moon follows the Sun in this progression and it's latitude will also be South of the equator after this month. The influence of the New Moon on cyclonic activity is always when the latitude is within 10 degrees of the storms latitude. 91W might get a tweak from this pass on the 27th or 28.

The pass skirts the Mid Atlantic Ridge, so not much earthquake influence is expected at this lunar distance.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#144 Postby gigabite » Sun Sep 29, 2019 2:53 pm

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The September water vapor coverage is 7 percent larger than this time last year. NRL has tweaked the stitched global image to account for the innovations onboard GOES "R" series. There is some small coverage gaps at the poles, but the width of the coverage at the equator is exceptional.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#145 Postby gigabite » Mon Oct 28, 2019 4:05 pm

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This is the New Moon Path for October. The government websites I use to build these maps are functioning poorly. The SST raster is 2 weeks old and I had to calculate the Moons position. That being said looks like the New moon is beginning it's dive into the cold waters of the south Pacific. as it passes through some of the warmest waters on the planet. There has been a couple of significant earthquakes in the southern Philippines last month. Everything is quite now.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#146 Postby gigabite » Wed Nov 06, 2019 7:35 am

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This is a significant change in the trend line for global water vapor for the New Moon Phase. This downturn in cloud cover is contrary to the recent activity where the trend line was running sideways, and normally the October cloud coverage is greater than the September cloud coverage.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#147 Postby gigabite » Thu Nov 28, 2019 2:45 am

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This looks much like September's moon's pass, lower in latitude, cooler and dryer. the Moon is close to a geologic active area.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#148 Postby gigabite » Sun Dec 01, 2019 10:27 am

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The downturn in global water vapor continues. This could be the limit of the increase of global water vapor due
to the increase of land mass and the elevation of that land mass at latitudes north of 22°22'.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#149 Postby gigabite » Sun Dec 01, 2019 11:06 am

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This is a profile of the land mass at 22°22'
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#150 Postby gigabite » Wed Dec 25, 2019 6:52 pm

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The latitude of the December 2019 New Moon is near Western Australia approaching the cool South Pacific. There is some geologic faulting in the area. There are no indications of interactions expected cyclonic or geologic.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#151 Postby gigabite » Sun Jan 05, 2020 10:41 am

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Total global water vapor is still on the decline. This is probably due to a couple of factors. First the Northern reach of the New Moon at aphelion crosses a lot of land, and the second is that the southern reach of the New Moon is in cold water. This could be a decadal trend being that peak New Moon latitude is 2025.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2019

#152 Postby gigabite » Thu Jan 23, 2020 11:22 am

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The January 2020 New Moon Path is skirting the cold waters of the South Pacific. The moon is reaching apogee, so global earthquake frequency is expected to be elevated.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2020

#153 Postby gigabite » Sun Feb 16, 2020 6:58 pm

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I missed the capture window in the archive, NRL upgraded processing software.
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Re: NEW MOON PATH 2020

#154 Postby gigabite » Wed Feb 19, 2020 8:47 am

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This is some cooler water and will probably limit accelerated evaporation. Alos the New Moon is passing over a geologically active area with the Earth Moon distance near it's maximum a few more global earthquakes might be expected.
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