North Indian Ocean - Invest 91B Gone from NRL

[wyq614]

It is considered to have devoured 90B.

[HURAKAN]

Now over the Arabian Sea. Not much going on.

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.6N 77.6E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 74.0E, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS BROAD LOW
TO MID LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF WIDESPREAD
AND HIGHLY UNORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 211244Z WINDSAT PASS SHOWS 10 TO
15 KNOT UNFLAGGED SURFACE WINDS. THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS UNDER A REGION
OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIROMENT
WILL IMPROVE WITH DECREASED SHEAR AND IMPROVED OUTFLOW DUE TO AN UPPER
LEVEL ANTICYCLONE POSITIONED TO THE EAST OF THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
REMAINS FAIR.

[Squarethecircle]

That doesn't look particularly disorganized to me; I think that the JTWC is probably basing their forecast off of hours-old information (ruling out the possibility that some disturbingly rapid change has happened in the past two hours).

I think this storm has a good shot at becoming the second northern hemisphere depression of 2008.

[Pedro Fernández]

Hmmm... Looking at the CIMSS windshear field, this system is being affected by low values in the last hours... Any signs of intensification?

[P.K.]

They've got their sat page focused on this area now. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/img/cyclone.jpg.

FQIN01 DEMS 220900

SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N),NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24 HOURS. FROM 22/03/2008 0900 UTC 22 MARCH 2008
===========================================================

PART -I :NO STORM WARNING(.)

PART-II:-THE LOPAR OVER SE AR-SEA AND ADJ LKDP AREA AND OFF
KERALA COTNOW LIES AS A WELL MARKED LOPAR OVER SE ARABIAN SEA
AND ADJ.LKDP AREA AND OFF KARNATAKA -KERALA COASTS (.)
WEATHER SEASONAL OVER REST MET AREA (.)

PART III : FORECAST(.)
A1 ARABIAN SEA EQUATOR TO 10 DEG.N AND W OF 80 DEG.E(.)
I)WIND:1) WEST OF 70 DEG.E:-NW/W 10/15 KTS (.)
2) EAST OF 70 DEG.E:- SW/S 10/15 KTS(.)
II)WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS TO THE E.OF 70 DEG.E.& N.
OF 05 DEG N(.) REST AREA SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY:POOR IN RA/TS (.)
IV) STATE OF SEA : SMOOTH TO SLIGHT (.)

ARB :A2 ARABIAN SEA N. OF 10 DEG N.AND W OF 80 DEG E.(.)
I)WIND:N/NW 10/15 KTS BEC CYCLONIC TO THE EAST OF 70 DEG E(.)
II)WEATHER : WIDESPREAD RA/TS TO THE EAST OF 70 DEG.E.(.)
REST AREA ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III) VISIBILITY OOR IN RA/TS (.)
IV) STATE OF SEA : SMOOTH TO SLIGHT(.)

BOB : A3 BAY OF BENGAL EQUATOR TO 10 DEG.N AND E OF 80 DEG.E(.)
I)WIND:-1)WEST OF 88 DEG E:-SW/S 10/15 KTS (.)
2)EAST OF 88 DEG E :- NE -LY 10/15 KTS BEC
N/NWS TO SOUTH OF 05 DEG N (.)
II) WEATEHR:- WIDESPREAD RA/TS TO THE EAST OF 90 DEG.E.(.)
REST AREA ISOL RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY:POOR IN RA/TS (.)
IV)STATE OF SEA: SMOOTH TO SLIGHT (.)

BOB A4 : BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG.N AND E OF 80 DEG E(.)
I) WIND :-ANTICYCLONIC 10/15 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER: ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III) VISIBILTY:POOR IN RA/TS (.)
IV) STATE OF SEA :SMOOTH TO SLIGHT (.)


ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT

[HURAKAN]

It has moved over land.