Arabian Sea: 98A INVEST - W of India - POOR

[Chacor]

This could be the one the EURO has been having hitting Oman.

[Cyclenall]

The convection is all vertical, oddball thing.

[HurricaneRobert]

This one looked much better three days ago. It was east of 97A when it dissipated.

[ugaap]

98A would hamper the onset of Monsoon over Kerala (South West Coast of India). Normal onset of Monsoon over this region is 1st June.

[Chacor]

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.8N 65.1E, APPROX-
IMATELY 700 NM SOUTHEAST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND SURFACE LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICT A REGION OF CONVERGENT SOUTH-
WESTERLY FLOW ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF AN ELONGATED AND WEAK CIRCULATION.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH LOW TO MOD-
ERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS UNDER A DIFFLUENT REGION ALOFT. MAX-
IMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. DUE TO A LACK OF A WELL CON-
SOLIDATED LLCC AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS POOR.

[salmon123]

looks like it will dissipate after some time. hard to see a cyclone in arabian sea

[KWT]

Yeah it may well do so, though we have had tropcial cyclones in the Arabian Sea before, the most noteable being a very intense cyclone Gonu.

[badkhan]

It has almost completely dissipated.

Arabian sea is a fairly active basin, I think what salmon123 is trying to say is that its difficult for a cyclone to form in Arabian sea during current weather conditions.

[Chacor]

There's still some fairly deep convection. I wouldn't call it dissipated.

[salmon123]

Precipitation Outlook for India. for some period. whats happening in south of arabian sea has realy disturbed my forecasts over my friends , bundles of clouds seen again n again but neither convert in to depression .

[Chacor]

Gone off NRL.

[salmon123]