WPAC: STS Halong (05W, PAGASA: Cosme)

[Chacor]

WTPQ21 RJTD 181200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0804 HALONG (0804)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181200UTC 19.0N 124.1E GOOD
MOVE ENE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 160NM
FORECAST
24HF 191200UTC 22.9N 129.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 201200UTC 29.6N 138.1E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[wyq614]

CMA:
19N 124.2E 995hPa 20m/s MOVE NE 20km/h 0518 12UTC

[HURAKAN]

Halong lashes Philippines, four dead
Email Print Normal font Large font May 18, 2008 - 8:14PM

Advertisement
Four people were killed as tropical storm Halong battered the northern Philippines, with powerful winds triggering floods and landslides, relief officials said.

All four were hit by tin sheets torn from the roofs of houses in Pangasinan province on the main Philippine island of Luzon, the civil defence office reported.

Huge waves known as storm surges destroyed more than 20 houses and a dozen fishing boats and forced 845 people from their homes in the towns of Iba and Botolan, about 145 kilometres northwest of the capital.

The northwestern coast of Luzon and the northern mountain resort of Baguio were without electricity, while the coastguard barred small ferries from taking to sea, it said in a report.

More than 5,000 other people were displaced by flooding and landslides in the central island of Panay when the storm brushed past the region last week, the relief agency said in a statement.

The storm struck the country's northwest coast overnight Saturday at wind speeds of 95 kilometres an hour before weakening slightly as it raked northeast across the Cordillera mountain range, the weather bureau said.

Its eye hovered above the town of Gonzaga on Luzon's northeast coast at 0600 GMT (1600 AEST) and was forecast to cross over the northern tip of the Sierra Madre Range overnight on its way to the Philippine Sea.

Floods cut off key roads in Panay and on the neighbouring island of Mindoro and northern Luzon while landslides shut down roads to Baguio and nearby areas in the Cordillera, it said.

The storm uprooted trees and even a school building in Iba, where about 500 soldiers mounted a search and rescue operation for families displaced by the storm surges, it said.

In the town of San Jose, in the central Luzon plain east of Iba, residents laid sandbags to protect their village from rising floodwaters, the agency said.

The weather bureau warned residents in low-lying areas and near mountain slopes across Luzon to "take all necessary precautions against possible flash floods and landslides."

Luzon's west coast and the islands on the western half of the central Philippines could be hit by big waves, it added.

[HURAKAN]

Becoming better organized.

[HURAKAN]

18/2030 UTC 15.4N 127.3E T3.0/3.0 HALONG -- West Pacific Ocean



WTPN32 PGTW 182100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (HALONG) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 20.0N 125.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N 125.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 22.5N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 26.0N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 30.3N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 35.0N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 32 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 45.1N 152.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 20.6N 126.6E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (HALONG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE OVERALL FORECAST REASON-
ING REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. HOWEVER, THE
FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST IN RE-
SPONSE TO RECENT STORM MOTION AND CHANGES IN THE ORIENTATION
OF THE ANTICIPATED STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z,
190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.

[HURAKAN]

[P.K.]

WTPQ21 RJTD 182100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0804 HALONG (0804)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 182100UTC 20.5N 126.5E GOOD
MOVE ENE 19KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 170NM
FORECAST
24HF 192100UTC 25.7N 133.6E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 201800UTC 34.6N 144.4E 190NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[HURAKAN]

[HurricaneRobert]

It looks like a big comma.

[KWT]

Yep it sure does, got an interesting shape to it thats for sure, looksl ike the center is pretty neatly embedded in the deep convection so strengthening is likely occuring.

[HURAKAN]

It looks like a big comma.

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

WTPN32 PGTW 190300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (HALONG) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 21.0N 127.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N 127.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 23.9N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 27.9N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 33 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 32.4N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 37 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 37.7N 147.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 21.7N 128.1E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (HALONG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM
SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
190000Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z, 192100Z
AND 200300Z.

[Cyclenall]

That is one weird looking TC.

[Chacor]

WTPQ21 RJTD 190600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0804 HALONG (0804)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190600UTC 22.1N 128.8E GOOD
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 140NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 200600UTC 29.0N 138.3E 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[Chacor]

WTPQ21 RJTD 191200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0804 HALONG (0804)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191200UTC 23.2N 130.5E FAIR
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 160NM SOUTHEAST 110NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 201200UTC 30.3N 140.7E 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[HURAKAN]

[KWT]

Interesting imagery there hurakan, not hard to miss the center and the southern side seems to be trying to wrap round the center though the northern side seems fairly open still, not surprising given its heading into progressivly cooler waters and higher shear levels.

[HURAKAN]

The end is near the corner!

[HURAKAN]

20/0830 UTC 29.4N 139.4E EXTRATROPICAL HALONG -- West Pacific Ocean



Thanks for playing!