Coral Sea: Invest 92P

[HURAKAN]

09/2030 UTC 13.0S 146.5E T1.0/1.0 92P -- South Pacific Ocean





Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: This message is issued daily for the information of interested parties.
Media are NOT required to broadcast this message.

TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
for the Coral Sea West of Longitude 160 East
Issued at 2:30pm on Sunday the 9th of March 2008

The monsoon trough extends across the northern Coral Sea. A low was located
within the trough near 19.5S 159.5E. The low is expected to move slowly
west-southwest over the next few days as it interacts with an upper level trough
over eastern Queensland and the southwest Coral Sea. However, the low is not
expected to develop into a tropical cyclone during the next three days.

There are no other significant tropical disturbances within the region.

Tropical Cyclone outlooks issued by Brisbane can be accessed through the
Bureau's Home Page http://www.bom.gov.au.

[HURAKAN]

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.5S 146.9E,
APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. RECENT
METSAT IMAGERY SHOWS NEWLY FORMED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATE WITH A
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) MASKED BY A CIRRUS CANOPY. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LLCC IS UNDER A REGION OF GOOD
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. DUE TO THE LACK OF
CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.

[G.B.]

This one has been there for a few days, but it's beginning to look better

[HURAKAN]

Yep, I knew it was there but there was no reason to talk about it until Dvorak gave it a 1.0

[G.B.]

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: This message is issued daily for the information of interested parties.
Media are NOT required to broadcast this message.

TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
for the Coral Sea West of Longitude 160 East
Issued at 2:30pm on Monday the 10th of March 2008

A low was located over the central Coral Sea and is expected to slowly weaken
over the next few days. A new low development will occur over the southern Coral
Sea during the next 12 to 24 hours and will move steadily away to the south
south-east. Neither system is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone during
the next 3 days.

Tropical Cyclone outlooks issued by Brisbane can be accessed through the
Bureau's Home Page http://www.bom.gov.au.

Please note that the Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre issues Tropical
Cyclone Outlooks that cover the Gulf of Carpentaria. See
http:/www.bom.gov.au/weather/nt/cyclone/ or to subscribe to this service
call Darwin 08 8920 3820.



Looks like this will come to nothing

[HURAKAN]

Not looking very hot!!!

[G.B.]

Convection a little better but still not much organisation

[wyq614]

JTWC now has it cancelled