WPAC: Developed Low ex-Nakri

[RattleMan]

Up to 80kt per JTWC:

WTPN31 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 06W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 25.0N 134.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N 134.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 28.2N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 31.2N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 33.5N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 34.2N 148.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 25.8N 134.9E.
TYPHOON (TY) 06W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST
OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
020000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z,
022100Z AND 030300Z.//
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

[CrazyC83]

Looks stronger than 80 kt.

[Chacor]

Still 70 kt from JMA at 00z. Looks good though. Certainly an unexpected phase of reintensification.

[HURAKAN]

Looks even better now.

[brunota2003]

Totally kick butt! You know they are really scratching their heads now, going "Um...what in the world is going on here?!"

Just a little fun:

[StormspinnerD2]

Extratropical transition draws near.

[Chacor]

Still T4.5:
TCNA21 RJTD 020600
CCAA 02060 47644 NAKRI(0805) 07268 11355 12234 245// 90320=

[Chacor]

WTPQ20 RJTD 020600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0805 NAKRI (0805)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020600UTC 26.8N 135.5E GOOD
MOVE NNE 19KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 030600UTC 33.3N 140.3E 85NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[Chacor]

Now downgraded by JMA.

WTPQ20 RJTD 021200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0805 NAKRI (0805) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021200UTC 28.3N 137.1E FAIR
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 031200UTC 33.9N 144.1E 85NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[KWT]

Yeah it looks like its finally starting to lose its energy, certainly had a good life though and defied the odds for a while by restrengthening, IMO it may have maxed out as high as say 85-90kts when it got its second wind but thats just what I think.

So yet another decent WPAC system goes through, impressive start over there has to be said.

[StormspinnerD2]

Down to 55 kt.

WTPQ20 RJTD 021800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0805 NAKRI (0805)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 021800UTC 29.9N 138.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 200NM SOUTHEAST 130NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 031800UTC 33.8N 146.3E 85NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[Chacor]

Undergoing extratropical transition now, almost there.

[StormspinnerD2]

But not yet.

WTPQ20 RJTD 030300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0805 NAKRI (0805)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030300UTC 32.3N 141.0E FAIR
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 040300UTC 34.2N 150.0E 85NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[Chacor]

WTPQ20 RJTD 030600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPED LOW FORMER STS 0805 NAKRI (0805)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 030600UTC 33N 143E
MOVE NE 25KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
30KT 500NM EAST 300NM WEST =

Gone.

[Chacor]

[RattleMan]

For anyone who missed any or just want all of them in one, here's my collection of WTPQ20 RJTD advisories:

http://www.webcitation.org/5YITeLQqX

[Chacor]

JMA best-track was issued on Monday:

791
AXPQ20 RJTD 070500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE BEST TRACK
NAME 0805 NAKRI (0805)
PERIOD FROM MAY2606UTC TO JUN0600UTC
2606 10.5N 140.4E 1008HPA //KT 2612 11.7N 139.3E 1010HPA //KT
2618 12.6N 138.6E 1008HPA //KT 2700 13.7N 138.0E 1006HPA //KT
2706 14.3N 137.6E 1000HPA 35KT 2712 14.3N 137.4E 996HPA 40KT
2718 14.4N 137.2E 990HPA 45KT 2800 14.8N 137.1E 985HPA 55KT
2806 15.5N 136.8E 980HPA 65KT 2812 15.8N 136.7E 970HPA 70KT
2818 16.0N 136.6E 955HPA 80KT 2900 16.0N 136.3E 950HPA 85KT
2906 16.2N 135.8E 940HPA 95KT 2912 16.2N 135.5E 930HPA 100KT
2918 16.4N 135.1E 930HPA 100KT 3000 16.6N 134.7E 930HPA 100KT
3006 17.0N 134.1E 940HPA 95KT 3012 17.3N 133.5E 950HPA 85KT
3018 17.9N 133.0E 960HPA 80KT 3100 18.4N 132.8E 965HPA 75KT
3106 19.2N 132.8E 970HPA 70KT 3112 19.7N 132.8E 970HPA 65KT
3118 20.2N 132.8E 970HPA 65KT 0100 20.6N 132.9E 970HPA 70KT
0106 21.5N 133.1E 970HPA 70KT 0112 22.3N 133.3E 970HPA 70KT
0118 23.5N 133.6E 965HPA 75KT 0200 25.1N 134.4E 960HPA 75KT
0206 26.8N 135.5E 960HPA 75KT 0212 28.3N 137.1E 965HPA 75KT
0218 29.9N 138.7E 970HPA 70KT 0300 31.5N 140.3E 980HPA 55KT
0306 32.8N 142.3E 990HPA //KT 0312 33.0N 144.3E 994HPA //KT
0318 33.4N 146.8E 996HPA //KT 0400 33.4N 149.4E 1000HPA //KT
0406 33.2N 151.7E 1004HPA //KT 0412 32.6N 154.4E 1004HPA //KT
0418 31.7N 158.2E 1006HPA //KT 0500 31.2N 163.9E 1008HPA //KT
0506 30.9N 167.2E 1008HPA //KT 0512 31.0N 172.9E 1008HPA //KT
0518 31.7N 176.8E 1008HPA //KT 0600 33.0N 179.0W 1008HPA //KT
REMARKS
TD FORMATION AT MAY2606UTC
FROM TD TO TS AT MAY2706UTC
FROM TS TO STS AT MAY2800UTC
FROM STS TO TY AT MAY2806UTC
FROM TY TO STS AT JUN0300UTC
FROM STS TO L AT JUN0306UTC
OUT OF AREA AT JUN0600UTC=