90C Invest !

[CycloneNL]

Thats a long time ago, a invest in the central pacific.

nrl - 20kts 1018mb !

[senorpepr]

ATHW40 PHFO 051838
SIMHI

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1830 UTC SAT JUL 05 2008

BASED ON DATA THROUGH 1800 UTC JULY 05 2008

Trade winds prevail over the main Hawaiian Islands, bringing clouds and showers to windward areas, with some of these seen spreading leeward on Kauai and Oahu.

Although trade winds prevail on the large scale, low clouds over windward waters are moving toward the west-northwest, indicating a slight southerly component to the low level flow. Low clouds, a mix of showery cumulus /cu/ and stable stratocumulus /sc/, are currently greatest in coverage over Kauai and Oahu. Broken clouds cover the eastern half of Kauai, the windward slopes and shores of Oahu, and the Waianae range of Oahu. Large portions of the islands of Maui county and the Big Island are mostly sunny this morning, with the typical exceptions, where cu and sc are scattered to broken, over northeast Molokai, the windward side of the west Maui mountains, the eastern flank of Haleakala near Hana, northeast Lanai, and portions of the Kau, Puna and Hilo districts of the Big Island.

Similar to yesterday morning, an east-west oriented diffuse band of showery cu, about 100 miles wide and 450 miles long, lies over waters east of the islands, and is located from 100 to 300 miles northeast of the islands. Low clouds within this band are moving toward 300 degrees, or toward the west-northwest, at speeds near 25 mph, as are clouds over near shore waters east of Oahu and Molokai. Radar is detecting nearly an equal amount of showers over waters east of the islands as it is over leeward waters, with a large portion of the showers over leeward waters associated with the Big Island plume, where low-level winds converge to it/s lee. Broken to overcast cu associated with the plume extend up to 200 miles west of Keahole Point in a band that is up to 100 miles wide.

Water vapor imagery shows a weak low aloft centered about 175 miles east of the Big Island, moving west-northwest at about 10 mph. The flow aloft over the islands is from the northeast, between the low east of the Big Island, and a ridge centered well northeast of the islands near 32°N 145°W. Deep convection is noticeably absent from the central north Pacific this morning, aside from isolated thunderstorms from 26°N to 29°N between 173°W and 177°W, associated with a low and trough aloft along 28°N between 170°W and 180.
$$

BIRCHARD

[CycloneNL]

Is the last storm in the central pacific : Ioke ?

[senorpepr]

Looking at a satellite loop over the past couple of days... 96C hasn't moved much--NW at about 5KT. I can't imagine much action, though. Surface pressure is really high and there's a pretty decent front around 160-170E. Shear is 15-20 knots or so, but as that front approaches, expect 40+ knots of shear.

I vote no.

[senorpepr]

Is the last storm in the central pacific : Ioke ?

Affirmative.

[RattleMan]

Is the last storm in the central pacific : Ioke ?

The last storm to form in the CPAC; the last storm IN the CPAC was Flossie in 2007.

[Cyclenall]

I don't remember 6 Invests in the Cpac so far this year, why is it 96C? In fact, I believe this is the first one of the year.

[Ad Novoxium]

NRL site jams on 96C link, but viewing all shows "90C.NONAME", this system.

[RL3AO]

Good question. 90 is the next WPac number and 98 is the next EPac.

[Cyclenall]

Now it says 90C.NONAME on the NRL. I don't think this is a TD and it just an error like with Bertha before it really was declared.

[RL3AO]

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
0105 UTC SUN JUL 6 2008

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO CPHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (CP902008) 20080706 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
080706 0000 080706 1200 080707 0000 080707 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.3N 176.8W 28.0N 178.0W 28.6N 179.2W 29.0N 179.8E
BAMD 27.3N 176.8W 27.3N 177.4W 27.0N 178.5W 26.6N 179.9W
BAMM 27.3N 176.8W 27.6N 177.7W 27.6N 178.6W 27.7N 179.6W

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
080708 0000 080709 0000 080710 0000 080711 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 29.5N 178.9E 30.7N 178.9E 30.4N 178.7W 31.3N 176.9W
BAMD 26.3N 178.7E 25.6N 176.2E 24.0N 173.9E 22.4N 170.7E
BAMM 27.7N 179.4E 27.9N 178.3E 27.0N 177.6E 26.9N 175.4E

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.3N LONCUR = 176.8W DIRCUR = 340DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 26.6N LONM12 = 176.5W DIRM12 = 336DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 25.9N LONM24 = 176.2W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1018MB OUTPRS = 1020MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

[Chacor]

It's an ATCF issue. The renumber file forgot to include the "INVEST" tag under the name column.

[Chacor]

Been fixed at 00z.

[KWT]

First invest of the CPAC then, doesn't look great have to admit void of any deep convection.