WPAC: TD (ex-Typhoon Fung-wong) inland in China

[Chacor]

Pretty significant strengthening the JMA continues to call for. Also, their track is much more northerly than JTWC's.

[RL3AO]

Second times the charm.

[Chacor]

This is a personal forecast and should not be used for important decisions.

This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the Japan Met Agency or your local weather bureau.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG BULLETIN NR 2A
0705 UTC FRI JULY 25 2008
OPERATIONAL TIME 0600 UTC

...TROPICAL STORM GAINS NAME FUNG-WONG...REFERS TO LOCAL NAME OF
LANTAU PEAK IN HONG KONG...

AT 3 PM JST...0600Z...THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG WAS
ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED UNDER DEEP CONVECTION NEAR LATITUDE 22.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.9E. A LOOP OF VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
CIRCULATION CENTRE NOW COVERED WITH DEEP CONVECTION...MOVING
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWEST. THIS ESTIMATED POSITION IS ABOUT 580 KM
...360 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA JAPAN...660 KM OR 410 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MIYAKO-JIMA...AND ABOUT 1020 KM...635 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI TAIWAN.

THIS ESTIMATED POSITION IS EAST...AND SLIGHTLY NORTH...OF THE JMA'S
06Z POSITION ESTIMATE OF 21.9N 130.7E.

THE STORM IS CLEARLY MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST IN RECENT SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE JMA'S FORWARD SPEED ANALYSIS IS 7 KT. TAKING THE
DISTANCE MOVED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...THE INITIAL FORWARD SPEED
IS ABOUT THE SAME AS THE JMA'S ANALYSIS...7 KT.

ON THE CURRENT JMA FORECAST TRACK...EASTERN CENTRAL TAIWAN IS IN
THE FRAME FOR A LANDFALL IN ABOUT THREE DAYS FROM A TYPHOON.

A RAIN-MARRED QUIKSCAT PASS FROM AROUND 2115Z SHOWED A 40-KT BARB
NEAR THE CENTRE AT THE TIME. AS THE STORM'S ORGANISATION HAS
IMPROVED...AND WITH CLOUD TOPS NEAR OR COLDER THAN -80C IN THE DEEP
CONVECTION...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS...75
KM/H...45 MPH.

A FULL ANALYSIS OF THE JMA AND JTWC FORECASTS IN THE NEXT BULLETIN.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE JMA AT 0600Z WAS 994 HPA.

REPEATING THE 0600Z POSITION...22.0 N 130.9 E...OR ABOUT 580 KM SOUTHEAST
OF OKINAWA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KM/H. MOVEMENT...
WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 7 KT.

NEXT BULLETIN BY 1200Z.

[Chacor]

WTPQ20 RJTD 250900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0808 FUNG-WONG (0808)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250900UTC 21.9N 129.8E FAIR
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 140NM
FORECAST
24HF 260900UTC 22.2N 127.0E 70NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 270600UTC 22.4N 124.8E 110NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 280600UTC 24.0N 122.1E 160NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =

[P.K.]

Look at Chacors post above from 0046z.

Sorry I had no time to reply to this earlier as I was leaving for work. Yes I see that now, thats the second time they have done that this year. I certainly don't recall them not upgrading a T2.5 straight away last year.

[Chacor]

And JMA jumps to 45 kts.

637
WTPQ20 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0808 FUNG-WONG (0808)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251200UTC 21.9N 129.7E FAIR
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 170NM
FORECAST
24HF 261200UTC 22.1N 126.4E 70NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 271200UTC 22.6N 123.2E 110NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 281200UTC 24.4N 120.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =

[Chacor]

Very impressive.

[HURAKAN]

Looks quite impressive, very bad news for Taiwan.

[Chacor]

40 kts from JTWC and they're no longer forecasting a typhoon v.s. JMA's 75 kts! What is up?!

WTPN31 PGTW 251500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (FUNG-WONG) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 21.8N 129.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N 129.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 21.8N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 21.8N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 22.1N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 22.8N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 24.4N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 26.4N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 28.8N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 21.8N 129.4E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH-
southEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
251200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z
AND 261500Z.
//

[Chacor]

This is a personal forecast. Do not use for important decisions.

This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the Japan Met Agency or your local weather bureau.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG BULLETIN NR 3
1415 UTC FRI JULY 25 2008
OPERATIONAL TIME 1200 UTC

...TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG STRENGTHENS...NEARING SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH...

AT 9 PM JST...1200Z...THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG WAS LOCATED
UNDER DEEP CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE
129.7 EAST. AN 0916 WINDSAT PASS SHOWS A CENTRE NEAR 21.9N 130.2E...AND
SINCE THEN IT HAS PROBABLY MOVED WEST TO ITS 12Z POSITION.

THE JMA AND JTWC ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON THIS POSITION...WITH THE JTWC
BEING 0.1 DEGREE WEST AND 0.1 DEGREE SOUTH OF THE JMA ANALYSED POSITION.
THIS IS ABOUT 525 KM...325 MI SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA JAPAN...OR 555
KM...345 MI SOUTHEAST OF MIYAKOJIMA JAPAN...AND ABOUT 905 KM...560 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI TAIWAN.

TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS DO NOT EXTEND OUT VERY FAR...AND SO ON THIS
FORECAST TRACK MIYAKOJIMA IS UNLIKELY TO EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM-FORCE
WINDS. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ISHIGAKI-JIMA
AT SOME TIME TOMORROW. A TYPHOON WATCH MAY ALSO BE REQUIRED AROUND THE
SAME TIME FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF TAIWAN.

THIS IS AN ESTIMATED MOTION OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS NEAR 283/15. BOTH
THE JMA AND JTWC PRETTY MUCH AGREE ON MOTION THE PAST SIX HOURS...WEST
AT 9 KT. AN EXTENDED COMPARISON OF THE JTWC AND JMA FORECAST POINTS...

24 HOURS...JMA 22.1 126.4...JTWC 21.8 126.4
48 HOURS...JMA 22.6 123.2...JTWC 22.8 123.3
72 HOURS...JMA 24.4 120.8...JTWC 24.4 120.9

ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WUNG WILL BE APPROACHING
THE TAIWANESE COAST BETWEEN TWO TO THREE DAYS...AND OVERLAND NEAR THE
WESTERN COAST OF TAIWAN IN 72 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG IS PACKING WINDS NEAR ITS CENTRE OF AROUND
45 KT. THIS INITIAL INTENSITY IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RJTD. RAIN-
CONTAMINATED QUIKSCAT FROM 0941Z SHOWED NO WINDS GREATER THAN 35 KT...
BUT IT IS UNLIKELY THAT THE STORM HAS WEAKENED SINCE THE PREVIOUS
PASS WHICH CAUGHT A 40 OR 45-KNOT BARB. THE JTWC HAVE GONE WITH 40 KT...
LIKELY DUE TO T3.0 FROM RJTD AND PGTW. HOWEVER...WITH CIMSS ADT
SUGGESTING A CI NUMBER OF 3.2...49 KNOTS...45 KT IS A FAIR COMPROMISE.

THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS MORE INTERESTING. THERE IS SOME DRY AIR AROUND
FUNG-WONG TO ITS NORTHEAST AS WELL AS NEAR THE TAIWANESE COAST...BUT IN
THE NEAR-TERM THERE ARE NO OBVIOUS BARRIERS TO STRENGTHENING. THE JMA'S
ANALYSIS APPEARS TO DISREGARD THE DRIER AIR AS IT BRINGS FUNG-WONG UP TO
A 75-KNOT TYPHOON. WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA IS MODERATE...WITH THE STORM
CURRENTLY UNDER SHEAR OF AROUND 10-15 KT.

SOUTH AND OF TAIWAN SHEAR GROWS TO AROUND 20-25 KNOTS...AND THIS MAY BE
WHY THE JTWC DOES NOT HAVE FUNG-WONG STRENGTHENING SIGNIFICANTLY. WHEN
IT'S ALL SAID AND DONE...FUNG-WONG SHOULD STRENGTHEN SOME...BUT UNLESS
THE SHEAR AROUND TAIWAN LESSENS...IT SEEMS THAT...COUPLED WITH DRY AIR...
THE JMA'S FORECAST MAY BE ON THE HIGH END. A 65 TO 70-KNOT TYPHOON IS
POSSIBLE.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE JMA AT 1200Z WAS 990 HPA.

REPEATING THE 1200Z POSITION...21.9 N 129.7 E...OR ABOUT 525 KM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KM/H. MOVEMENT...
WEST AROUND 9 KT.

NEXT BULLETIN BY 0000Z.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Shear isn't too bad, a bit over 10 knots, but it is enough to apparently restrict outflow to the Northeast.

[Chacor]

WTPQ20 RJTD 251500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0808 FUNG-WONG (0808)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251500UTC 21.9N 129.5E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 170NM
FORECAST
24HF 261500UTC 21.8N 126.0E 70NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 271200UTC 22.6N 123.2E 110NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 281200UTC 24.4N 120.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =

[HURAKAN]

[Chacor]

Another heart-shaped storm...

[RattleMan]

JMA now forecasting 80kt:

WTPQ20 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0808 FUNG-WONG (0808)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251800UTC 21.9N 129.0E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 170NM
FORECAST
24HF 261800UTC 21.6N 125.5E 70NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 271800UTC 22.5N 123.0E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 281800UTC 24.8N 120.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =

[Ad Novoxium]

Are heart-shaped storms now chic for tropical cyclones?

[ekal]

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 25 JUL 2008 Time : 213000 UTC
Lat : 21:35:11 N Lon : 128:07:54 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.5 / 984.8mb/ 55.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
(3hr avg)
3.5 3.6 3.6

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.8mb

Center Temp : -77.1C Cloud Region Temp : -75.1C

Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

This system looks like a candidate for RI. Any plans to chase, Typhoon Hunter?

[ekal]

Link for Landfall:

Taiwan Radar and Obs
http://www.cwb.gov.tw/V5e/index.htm

1. Select "observations" in the drop-down menu to the left, and then select "radar." You can already see the outer bands approaching.
2. Under observations, there is also a link to "current conditions." There is a map displayed with all the different observing stations in Taiwan, so we can check out the data captured as the tropical cyclone approaches.

[P.K.]

WTPQ20 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0808 FUNG-WONG (0808) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 21.7N 127.9E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 200NM
FORECAST
24HF 270000UTC 21.6N 124.6E 70NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 280000UTC 22.9N 121.8E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 290000UTC 24.5N 120.7E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =

[RattleMan]

JTWC expecting a 90kt typhoon now:

WTPN31 PGTW 260300
NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16//
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (FUNG-WONG) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 21.5N 127.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 127.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 21.3N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 21.5N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 21.9N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 22.8N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 25.3N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 27.5N 118.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 29.8N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 21.4N 127.4E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (FUNG-WONG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM
SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z
IS 14 FEET.NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.//
NNNN