This is a personal forecast. Do not use for important decisions.
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the Japan Met Agency or your local weather bureau.
BULLETIN
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG BULLETIN NR 4...CORRECTED
0615 UTC SAT JULY 26 2008
OPERATIONAL TIME 0300 UTC
CORRECTED TO ADD NAME OF STORM IN POSITION PARAGRAPH
...TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG STRENGTHENS...NOW AT SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH AND NEARING A TYPHOON....
AT 12 PM JST...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE
WESTERN RYUKYU ISLANDS OF ISHIGAKI...IRIOMOTE...HATERUMA...AND YONAGUNI.
AT 11 AM TAIPEI TIME...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED
FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN COAST OF TAIWAN...FROM KAOHSIUNG IN THE SOUTHWEST
TO I-LAN IN THE NORTH.
THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DUE TO THE LARGE RADIUS OF 30-KNOT WINDS...
NEARLY 370 KM...230 MI.
A TYPHOON WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF TAIWAN LATER
TODAY.
AT 12 PM JST...0300Z...THE CENTRE OF SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.5 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT
540 KM...335 MI SOUTH OF OKINAWA JAPAN...475 KM OR 295 MI SOUTHEAST OF
ISHIGAKI...AND ABOUT 730 KM OR 455 MI SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI TAIWAN.
INITIAL MOTION OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS NEAR 256/09...IN FAIR
AGREEMENT WITH THE JTWC. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...BEFORE A WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST-WARD TURN WHICH
SHOULD BRING FUNG-WONG NEAR THE TAIWANESE COAST IN ABOUT 48 HOURS.
THE STORM HAS AN EYE FEATURE APPARENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND
DVORAK NUMBERS ARE T3.5 FROM RJTD...KNES...AND PGTW. AN 0430Z CIMSS
ANALYSIS ALSO SUGGESTED A CI AND RAW T-NO OF 3.5. CLOUD TOPS ARE COLDER
THAN -80C...BUT AN 0320 TRMM MICROWAVE PASS SUGGESTS THAT ONE HAS NOT YET
FORMED...WITH ONLY SOME SIGNS INDICATING THE BEGINNING OF THAT.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE SET AT 55 KT...10-MINUTE...WHICH IS HIGHER
THAN BOTH THE JMA AND JTWC ESTIMATES. THIS IS 100 KM/H...OR 65 MPH.
FUNG-WONG IS IN AN AREA OF ABOUT 15 KTS OF SHEAR. THE SHEAR DOES NOT
APPRECIABLY DECREASE AS IT HEADS TOWARDS TAIWAN...BUT IT DOES NOT INCREASE
MUCH EITHER. IF FUNG-WONG MAKES A LATER TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST THAN
EXPECTED...IT WILL FACE SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 20-25 KT...AND THIS COULD RETARD
INTENSIFICATION SLIGHTLY. WITH THE JMA FORECASTING AN 80-KNOT LANDFALL...AND
THE JTWC A 90-KT ONE...AND WITH THE CURRENT CONDITIONS...INCLUDING HIGH OHC...
GENERALLY FAVOURABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...FUNG-WONG COULD TOP OUT AT
AROUND 80-85 KT BEFORE LANDFALL.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE JMA AT 0300Z WAS 985 HPA.
REPEATING THE 0300Z POSITION...21.4 N 129.5 E...ABOUT 475 KM SOUTHEAST OF
ISHIGAKI-SHIMA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KM/H. MOVEMENT...WEST-
SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 KT.
NEXT BULLETIN BY 1200Z.
WPAC: TD (ex-Typhoon Fung-wong) inland in China
Moderator: S2k Moderators
An hour old:
UZPA13 RCTP 261005
XXAA 76102 99205 11250 09605 99991 28433 ///// 00583 ///// /////
92608 23001 33547 85344 19421 34051 70998 11200 35050 50575 01914
34540 40749 11514 35537 30964 25180 34027 25094 34770 36019 20246
481// 00532 88999 77999
31313 09608 81005
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 05
62626 SPL 2036N12503E 1020 LST WND 266 AEV 00000 =
XXBB 76108 99205 11250 09605 00991 28433 11928 23200 22850 19421
33807 17000 44755 15016 55662 09201 66581 03621 77577 05625 88573
03621 99564 03828 11455 06703 22427 08724 33397 11712 44382 12740
55360 15933 66346 17557 77312 23945 88307 24957 99301 24978 11272
29978 22234 38965 33212 45345 44179 535//
21212 00991 ///// 11961 33043 22862 34052 33845 34550 44775 35550
55507 34041 66418 36039 77358 35037 88304 34528 99283 32020 11258
35014 22197 01032 33179 03026
31313 09608 81005
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 05
62626 SPL 2036N12503E 1020 LST WND 266 AEV 00000 =
UZPA13 RCTP 261005
XXAA 76102 99205 11250 09605 99991 28433 ///// 00583 ///// /////
92608 23001 33547 85344 19421 34051 70998 11200 35050 50575 01914
34540 40749 11514 35537 30964 25180 34027 25094 34770 36019 20246
481// 00532 88999 77999
31313 09608 81005
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 05
62626 SPL 2036N12503E 1020 LST WND 266 AEV 00000 =
XXBB 76108 99205 11250 09605 00991 28433 11928 23200 22850 19421
33807 17000 44755 15016 55662 09201 66581 03621 77577 05625 88573
03621 99564 03828 11455 06703 22427 08724 33397 11712 44382 12740
55360 15933 66346 17557 77312 23945 88307 24957 99301 24978 11272
29978 22234 38965 33212 45345 44179 535//
21212 00991 ///// 11961 33043 22862 34052 33845 34550 44775 35550
55507 34041 66418 36039 77358 35037 88304 34528 99283 32020 11258
35014 22197 01032 33179 03026
31313 09608 81005
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 05
62626 SPL 2036N12503E 1020 LST WND 266 AEV 00000 =
0 likes
UZPA13 RCTP 261054
XXAA 76102 99196 11284 06098 99999 26224 ///// 00510 ///// /////
92674 21425 21547 85404 17626 22563 70046 11029 20052 50578 03308
20545 40752 12117 19548 30966 27122 18034 25095 36158 17020 20246
489// 21512 88999 77999
31313 09608 81054
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 09
62626 SPL 1974N12847E 1109 LST WND 042 MBL WND 20542 AEV 00000 WL
150 20037 117 =
XXBB 76108 99196 11284 06098 00999 26224 11956 22416 22850 17626
33729 11404 44701 11230 55683 10419 66561 00204 77444 07712 88368
16121 99302 26921 11289 28142 22250 35958 33211 45956 44178 551//
21212 00999 ///// 11994 20032 22977 20043 33931 21544 44872 22064
55850 22563 66676 20047 77547 20538 88400 19548 99362 19034 11345
17027 22304 17535 33243 17017 44222 21511 55205 20012 66195 23511
77178 27515
31313 09608 81054
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 09
62626 SPL 1974N12847E 1109 LST WND 042 MBL WND 20542 AEV 00000 WL
150 20037 117 =
XXAA 76102 99196 11284 06098 99999 26224 ///// 00510 ///// /////
92674 21425 21547 85404 17626 22563 70046 11029 20052 50578 03308
20545 40752 12117 19548 30966 27122 18034 25095 36158 17020 20246
489// 21512 88999 77999
31313 09608 81054
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 09
62626 SPL 1974N12847E 1109 LST WND 042 MBL WND 20542 AEV 00000 WL
150 20037 117 =
XXBB 76108 99196 11284 06098 00999 26224 11956 22416 22850 17626
33729 11404 44701 11230 55683 10419 66561 00204 77444 07712 88368
16121 99302 26921 11289 28142 22250 35958 33211 45956 44178 551//
21212 00999 ///// 11994 20032 22977 20043 33931 21544 44872 22064
55850 22563 66676 20047 77547 20538 88400 19548 99362 19034 11345
17027 22304 17535 33243 17017 44222 21511 55205 20012 66195 23511
77178 27515
31313 09608 81054
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 09
62626 SPL 1974N12847E 1109 LST WND 042 MBL WND 20542 AEV 00000 WL
150 20037 117 =
0 likes
UZPA13 RCTP 261124
XXAA 76112 99220 11278 09627 99996 26623 11545 00533 ///// /////
92653 21603 13550 85385 18003 14565 70034 11634 14053 50578 02710
12548 40752 11529 13051 30967 25530 13540 25097 35536 13030 20248
483// ///// 88999 77999
31313 09608 81124
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 11
62626 SPL 2213N12766E 1138 MBL WND 12050 AEV 00000 DLM WND 13547
995200 WL150 11545 082 =
XXBB 76118 99220 11278 09627 00996 26623 11911 20602 22850 18003
33826 17837 44810 16212 55758 13629 66724 13839 77574 02604 88439
07127 99370 15328 11300 25530 22225 41539 33190 513//
21212 00996 11545 11987 11543 22979 12050 33961 12054 44904 14049
55890 14056 66850 14565 77545 13043 88418 13054 99316 14043 11235
12029 22222 13524 33212 12018 44200 14516
31313 09608 81124
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 11
62626 SPL 2213N12766E 1138 MBL WND 12050 AEV 00000 DLM WND 13547
995200 WL150 11545 082 =
Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 11:24Z
Remarks Section...
Splash Location: 22.13N 127.66E
Splash Time: 11:38Z
Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters):
- Wind: 120° (from the ESE) at 50 knots (58 mph)
Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth):
- Wind: 135° (from the SE) at 47 knots (54 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 200mb to 995mb
Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm):
- Lowest 150m: 157 gpm - 7 gpm (515 geo. feet - 23 geo. feet)
- Wind: 115° (from the ESE) at 45 knots (52 mph)
Level: Wind Direction / Wind Speed
996mb (Surface): 115° (from the ESE) / 45 knots (52 mph)
987mb: 115° (from the ESE) / 43 knots (49 mph)
979mb: 120° (from the ESE) / 50 knots (58 mph)
961mb: 120° (from the ESE) / 54 knots (62 mph)
904mb: 140° (from the SE) / 49 knots (56 mph)
890mb: 140° (from the SE) / 56 knots (64 mph)
850mb: 145° (from the SE) / 65 knots (75 mph)
545mb: 130° (from the SE) / 43 knots (49 mph)
418mb: 130° (from the SE) / 54 knots (62 mph)
316mb: 140° (from the SE) / 43 knots (49 mph)
235mb: 120° (from the ESE) / 29 knots (33 mph)
222mb: 135° (from the SE) / 24 knots (28 mph)
212mb: 120° (from the ESE) / 18 knots (21 mph)
200mb: 145° (from the SE) / 16 knots (18 mph)
XXAA 76112 99220 11278 09627 99996 26623 11545 00533 ///// /////
92653 21603 13550 85385 18003 14565 70034 11634 14053 50578 02710
12548 40752 11529 13051 30967 25530 13540 25097 35536 13030 20248
483// ///// 88999 77999
31313 09608 81124
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 11
62626 SPL 2213N12766E 1138 MBL WND 12050 AEV 00000 DLM WND 13547
995200 WL150 11545 082 =
XXBB 76118 99220 11278 09627 00996 26623 11911 20602 22850 18003
33826 17837 44810 16212 55758 13629 66724 13839 77574 02604 88439
07127 99370 15328 11300 25530 22225 41539 33190 513//
21212 00996 11545 11987 11543 22979 12050 33961 12054 44904 14049
55890 14056 66850 14565 77545 13043 88418 13054 99316 14043 11235
12029 22222 13524 33212 12018 44200 14516
31313 09608 81124
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 11
62626 SPL 2213N12766E 1138 MBL WND 12050 AEV 00000 DLM WND 13547
995200 WL150 11545 082 =
Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 11:24Z
Remarks Section...
Splash Location: 22.13N 127.66E
Splash Time: 11:38Z
Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters):
- Wind: 120° (from the ESE) at 50 knots (58 mph)
Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth):
- Wind: 135° (from the SE) at 47 knots (54 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 200mb to 995mb
Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm):
- Lowest 150m: 157 gpm - 7 gpm (515 geo. feet - 23 geo. feet)
- Wind: 115° (from the ESE) at 45 knots (52 mph)
Level: Wind Direction / Wind Speed
996mb (Surface): 115° (from the ESE) / 45 knots (52 mph)
987mb: 115° (from the ESE) / 43 knots (49 mph)
979mb: 120° (from the ESE) / 50 knots (58 mph)
961mb: 120° (from the ESE) / 54 knots (62 mph)
904mb: 140° (from the SE) / 49 knots (56 mph)
890mb: 140° (from the SE) / 56 knots (64 mph)
850mb: 145° (from the SE) / 65 knots (75 mph)
545mb: 130° (from the SE) / 43 knots (49 mph)
418mb: 130° (from the SE) / 54 knots (62 mph)
316mb: 140° (from the SE) / 43 knots (49 mph)
235mb: 120° (from the ESE) / 29 knots (33 mph)
222mb: 135° (from the SE) / 24 knots (28 mph)
212mb: 120° (from the ESE) / 18 knots (21 mph)
200mb: 145° (from the SE) / 16 knots (18 mph)
0 likes
UZPA13 RCTP 261140
XXAA 76117 99232 11292 09639 99002 27826 ///// 00021 27827 /////
92709 22225 14037 85443 19041 14538 70091 10233 14042 50600 22869
40820 31071 30041 11165 25151 32356 20276 503// 88420 39672 /////
77999
31313 09608 81140
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 12
62626 SPL 2334N12904E 1155 LST WND 021 AEV 00000 DLM WND 14040 00
0568 WL150 13030 095 =
XXBB 76118 99232 11292 09639 00002 27826 11933 22619 22913 22449
33850 19041 44774 14623 55745 13656 66685 09217 77622 05825 88544
00304 99541 01705 11530 00466 22488 26470 33420 39672 44226 42540
55214 43939 66211 48140 77178 561//
21212 00002 ///// 11000 12524 22990 13033 33967 13536 44850 14538
55568 13056
31313 09608 81140
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 12
62626 SPL 2334N12904E 1155 LST WND 021 AEV 00000 DLM WND 14040 00
0568 WL150 13030 095 =
XXAA 76117 99232 11292 09639 99002 27826 ///// 00021 27827 /////
92709 22225 14037 85443 19041 14538 70091 10233 14042 50600 22869
40820 31071 30041 11165 25151 32356 20276 503// 88420 39672 /////
77999
31313 09608 81140
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 12
62626 SPL 2334N12904E 1155 LST WND 021 AEV 00000 DLM WND 14040 00
0568 WL150 13030 095 =
XXBB 76118 99232 11292 09639 00002 27826 11933 22619 22913 22449
33850 19041 44774 14623 55745 13656 66685 09217 77622 05825 88544
00304 99541 01705 11530 00466 22488 26470 33420 39672 44226 42540
55214 43939 66211 48140 77178 561//
21212 00002 ///// 11000 12524 22990 13033 33967 13536 44850 14538
55568 13056
31313 09608 81140
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 12
62626 SPL 2334N12904E 1155 LST WND 021 AEV 00000 DLM WND 14040 00
0568 WL150 13030 095 =
0 likes
UZPA13 RCTP 261146
XXAA 76112 99239 11291 09639 99003 28228 13024 00027 28028 13025
92715 22413 ///// 85449 18429 14537 70094 10222 12538 50583 03920
12050 40757 13519 12549 30970 28130 13533 25098 38135 15027 20247
505// 18011 88999 77999
31313 09608 81146
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 13
62626 SPL 2400N12898E 1202 MBL WND 13030 AEV 00000 WL150 13028 08
1 =
XXBB 76118 99239 11291 09639 00003 28228 11929 22410 22883 20442
33850 18429 44768 13610 55677 09636 66642 07014 77634 07038 88441
08918 99331 22727 11260 35733 22212 47543 33179 565//
21212 00003 13024 11986 13031 22850 14537 33714 12538 44679 14036
55602 12045 66484 12555 77373 12047 88236 15025 99207 17010 11181
22004
31313 09608 81146
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 13
62626 SPL 2400N12898E 1202 MBL WND 13030 AEV 00000 WL150 13028 08
1 =
XXAA 76112 99239 11291 09639 99003 28228 13024 00027 28028 13025
92715 22413 ///// 85449 18429 14537 70094 10222 12538 50583 03920
12050 40757 13519 12549 30970 28130 13533 25098 38135 15027 20247
505// 18011 88999 77999
31313 09608 81146
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 13
62626 SPL 2400N12898E 1202 MBL WND 13030 AEV 00000 WL150 13028 08
1 =
XXBB 76118 99239 11291 09639 00003 28228 11929 22410 22883 20442
33850 18429 44768 13610 55677 09636 66642 07014 77634 07038 88441
08918 99331 22727 11260 35733 22212 47543 33179 565//
21212 00003 13024 11986 13031 22850 14537 33714 12538 44679 14036
55602 12045 66484 12555 77373 12047 88236 15025 99207 17010 11181
22004
31313 09608 81146
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 13
62626 SPL 2400N12898E 1202 MBL WND 13030 AEV 00000 WL150 13028 08
1 =
0 likes
WTPQ20 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0808 FUNG-WONG (0808)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261200UTC 21.3N 126.1E GOOD
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 220NM
FORECAST
24HF 271200UTC 22.3N 123.0E 70NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 281200UTC 24.6N 120.4E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 291200UTC 27.3N 118.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0808 FUNG-WONG (0808)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261200UTC 21.3N 126.1E GOOD
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 220NM
FORECAST
24HF 271200UTC 22.3N 123.0E 70NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 281200UTC 24.6N 120.4E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 291200UTC 27.3N 118.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =
0 likes
UZPA13 RCTP 261226
XXAA 76122 99230 11258 09635 99996 28637 ///// 00537 ///// /////
92653 22414 07546 85386 18213 07544 70038 11031 08547 50579 02134
08057 40753 11919 09048 30967 26129 09039 25097 36134 07022 20248
485// 03527 88999 77999
31313 09608 81226
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 16
62626 SPL 2297N12561E 1240 LST WND 018 MBL WND 07045 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 08044 994190 WL150 06542 092 =
XXBB 76128 99230 11258 09635 00996 28637 11923 22213 22891 20836
33850 18213 44814 16606 55796 17050 66776 16856 77706 11225 88624
07242 99601 04817 11583 05036 22430 08922 33370 15722 44303 25730
55258 34315 66247 36947 77239 38764 88229 40567 99211 45170 11178
543//
21212 00996 ///// 11994 07043 22981 06541 33960 07047 44930 07545
55916 08049 66850 07544 77685 09048 88462 08559 99318 09043 11254
07523 22238 04021 33228 05014 44190 03026
31313 09608 81226
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 16
62626 SPL 2297N12561E 1240 LST WND 018 MBL WND 07045 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 08044 994190 WL150 06542 092 =
XXAA 76122 99230 11258 09635 99996 28637 ///// 00537 ///// /////
92653 22414 07546 85386 18213 07544 70038 11031 08547 50579 02134
08057 40753 11919 09048 30967 26129 09039 25097 36134 07022 20248
485// 03527 88999 77999
31313 09608 81226
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 16
62626 SPL 2297N12561E 1240 LST WND 018 MBL WND 07045 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 08044 994190 WL150 06542 092 =
XXBB 76128 99230 11258 09635 00996 28637 11923 22213 22891 20836
33850 18213 44814 16606 55796 17050 66776 16856 77706 11225 88624
07242 99601 04817 11583 05036 22430 08922 33370 15722 44303 25730
55258 34315 66247 36947 77239 38764 88229 40567 99211 45170 11178
543//
21212 00996 ///// 11994 07043 22981 06541 33960 07047 44930 07545
55916 08049 66850 07544 77685 09048 88462 08559 99318 09043 11254
07523 22238 04021 33228 05014 44190 03026
31313 09608 81226
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 16
62626 SPL 2297N12561E 1240 LST WND 018 MBL WND 07045 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 08044 994190 WL150 06542 092 =
0 likes
-
Ed Mahmoud
Re: WPAC: STS Fung-wong E of Taiwan: dropsonde investigating
They have aircraft recon in Northwest Pacific systems? I thought they stopped that decades ago.
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Re: WPAC: STS Fung-wong E of Taiwan: dropsonde investigating
They do if a system threatens Taiwan. This isn't the first system to be flown into this season either.
Last edited by P.K. on Sat Jul 26, 2008 7:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Not recon per se. Taiwan occasionally deploys dropsondes for storms that threaten it.
Also, on rare occasions, the AF do fly WPac recon flights. The last recorded time this happened was in 2003, with Chan-hom and Linfa. The JTWC issued VDMs on them.
Also, on rare occasions, the AF do fly WPac recon flights. The last recorded time this happened was in 2003, with Chan-hom and Linfa. The JTWC issued VDMs on them.
Last edited by Chacor on Sat Jul 26, 2008 8:08 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes
UZPA13 RCTP 261252
XXAA 76123 99258 11256 09655 99002 29033 ///// 00021 29031 /////
92712 23427 08529 85448 19834 09530 70104 12650 09035 50585 03728
09537 40758 14563 09527 30970 27984 07024 25099 37978 20248 503//
88999 77999
31313 09608 81252
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 18
62626 SPL 2580N12547E 1307 LST WND 178 MBL WND 08025 AEV 00000 =
XXBB 76128 99258 11256 09655 00002 29033 11850 19834 22692 12256
33628 07220 44580 04039 55514 02324 66488 04747 77467 07120 88461
07356 99454 08158 11445 08574 22416 12172 33400 14563 44374 17184
55306 26785 66271 33182 77218 45765 88186 539//
21212 00002 ///// 11982 08525 22967 07525 33850 09530 44562 10043
55410 08525 66380 09524 77346 10537 88299 07024 99186 05013
31313 09608 81252
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 18
62626 SPL 2580N12547E 1307 LST WND 178 MBL WND 08025 AEV 00000 =
XXAA 76123 99258 11256 09655 99002 29033 ///// 00021 29031 /////
92712 23427 08529 85448 19834 09530 70104 12650 09035 50585 03728
09537 40758 14563 09527 30970 27984 07024 25099 37978 20248 503//
88999 77999
31313 09608 81252
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 18
62626 SPL 2580N12547E 1307 LST WND 178 MBL WND 08025 AEV 00000 =
XXBB 76128 99258 11256 09655 00002 29033 11850 19834 22692 12256
33628 07220 44580 04039 55514 02324 66488 04747 77467 07120 88461
07356 99454 08158 11445 08574 22416 12172 33400 14563 44374 17184
55306 26785 66271 33182 77218 45765 88186 539//
21212 00002 ///// 11982 08525 22967 07525 33850 09530 44562 10043
55410 08525 66380 09524 77346 10537 88299 07024 99186 05013
31313 09608 81252
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 18
62626 SPL 2580N12547E 1307 LST WND 178 MBL WND 08025 AEV 00000 =
0 likes
UZPA13 RCTP 261307
XXAA 76133 99274 11258 09675 99005 29222 ///// 00047 28819 09522
92738 24029 10028 85476 20850 10028 70135 12856 10027 50588 03368
10024 40761 14767 10018 30973 28780 10015 25101 37973 20250 503//
88999 77999
31313 09608 81307
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 19
62626 SPL 2742N12570E 1321 LST WND 013 MBL WND 09524 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 10026 004287 WL150 09521 088 =
XXBB 76138 99274 11258 09675 00005 29222 11964 25808 22850 20850
33802 18229 44774 17248 55766 17059 66665 10850 77655 10458 88628
08257 99614 08062 11595 05657 22551 00857 33508 02170 44462 08566
55443 09374 66410 13165 77383 17179 88360 18581 99313 27773 11274
32976 22251 37973 33232 42561 44213 46963 55179 561//
21212 00005 ///// 11004 09523 22994 09020 33952 10029 44850 10028
55680 09528 66600 11028 77470 09524 88434 12029 99404 10017 11381
12020 22287 08512
31313 09608 81307
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 19
62626 SPL 2742N12570E 1321 LST WND 013 MBL WND 09524 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 10026 004287 WL150 09521 088 =
XXAA 76133 99274 11258 09675 99005 29222 ///// 00047 28819 09522
92738 24029 10028 85476 20850 10028 70135 12856 10027 50588 03368
10024 40761 14767 10018 30973 28780 10015 25101 37973 20250 503//
88999 77999
31313 09608 81307
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 19
62626 SPL 2742N12570E 1321 LST WND 013 MBL WND 09524 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 10026 004287 WL150 09521 088 =
XXBB 76138 99274 11258 09675 00005 29222 11964 25808 22850 20850
33802 18229 44774 17248 55766 17059 66665 10850 77655 10458 88628
08257 99614 08062 11595 05657 22551 00857 33508 02170 44462 08566
55443 09374 66410 13165 77383 17179 88360 18581 99313 27773 11274
32976 22251 37973 33232 42561 44213 46963 55179 561//
21212 00005 ///// 11004 09523 22994 09020 33952 10029 44850 10028
55680 09528 66600 11028 77470 09524 88434 12029 99404 10017 11381
12020 22287 08512
31313 09608 81307
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 19
62626 SPL 2742N12570E 1321 LST WND 013 MBL WND 09524 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 10026 004287 WL150 09521 088 =
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UZPA13 RCTP 261328
XXAA 76137 99259 11238 09653 99003 29020 ///// 00028 28816 /////
92719 23408 07528 85457 20021 07020 70115 12857 07530 50586 03359
40759 14563 30972 28556 25100 37774 20250 499// 88999 77999
31313 09608 81328
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 20
62626 SPL 2587N12366E 1343 LST WND 049 AEV 00000 DLM WND 07529 99
7610 WL150 05521 123 =
XXBB 76138 99259 11238 09653 00003 29020 11922 23203 22850 20021
33840 19850 44799 17826 55781 17456 66740 14840 77684 11857 88613
06231 99595 05056 11572 03635 22557 02250 33546 01664 44526 00561
55522 00965 66511 02156 77506 02559 88497 03559 99485 04174 11475
05562 22445 09160 33439 09748 44428 10761 55346 20580 66311 26570
77300 28556 88288 30758 99280 31975 11272 33378 22240 39971 33227
43159 44212 46763 55179 563//
21212 00003 ///// 11997 05520 22951 07027 33901 07530 44870 08027
55853 08031 66850 07020 77845 05013 88834 08026 99610 08033
31313 09608 81328
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 20
62626 SPL 2587N12366E 1343 LST WND 049 AEV 00000 DLM WND 07529 99
7610 WL150 05521 123 =
XXAA 76137 99259 11238 09653 99003 29020 ///// 00028 28816 /////
92719 23408 07528 85457 20021 07020 70115 12857 07530 50586 03359
40759 14563 30972 28556 25100 37774 20250 499// 88999 77999
31313 09608 81328
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 20
62626 SPL 2587N12366E 1343 LST WND 049 AEV 00000 DLM WND 07529 99
7610 WL150 05521 123 =
XXBB 76138 99259 11238 09653 00003 29020 11922 23203 22850 20021
33840 19850 44799 17826 55781 17456 66740 14840 77684 11857 88613
06231 99595 05056 11572 03635 22557 02250 33546 01664 44526 00561
55522 00965 66511 02156 77506 02559 88497 03559 99485 04174 11475
05562 22445 09160 33439 09748 44428 10761 55346 20580 66311 26570
77300 28556 88288 30758 99280 31975 11272 33378 22240 39971 33227
43159 44212 46763 55179 563//
21212 00003 ///// 11997 05520 22951 07027 33901 07530 44870 08027
55853 08031 66850 07020 77845 05013 88834 08026 99610 08033
31313 09608 81328
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 20
62626 SPL 2587N12366E 1343 LST WND 049 AEV 00000 DLM WND 07529 99
7610 WL150 05521 123 =
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UZPA13 RCTP 261336
XXAA 76133 99256 11229 09652 99003 28822 ///// 00026 28824 05523
92717 24040 07028 85454 20023 06528 70111 12656 06029 50586 02961
08531 40759 14757 09021 30971 28556 06011 88999 77999
31313 09608 81336
51515 10190 25100
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 21
62626 SPL 2557N12281E 1349 LST WND 017 MBL WND 05525 AEV 00000 WL
150 06023 091 =
XXBB 76138 99256 11229 09652 00003 28822 11954 25005 22898 22850
33882 21622 44850 20023 55815 18656 66794 17638 77695 12456 88616
05218 99603 04848 11584 03425 22559 01656 33525 00544 44517 01356
55512 01360 66471 05958 77468 06361 88461 07358 99455 07562 11423
11944 22419 12357 33410 13344 44396 15358 55389 15372 66371 17561
77365 17581 88363 17781 99338 21777 11311 26960 22306 27562 33299
28756 44293 29561 55262 355//
21212 00003 ///// 11001 06023 22957 05527 33932 07027 44850 06528
55648 06026 66506 08533 77467 07528 88409 09523 99383 07519 11334
10016 22309 08015 33291 04012 44262 04014
31313 09608 81336
51515 10190 25100
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 21
62626 SPL 2557N12281E 1349 LST WND 017 MBL WND 05525 AEV 00000 WL
150 06023 091 =
XXAA 76133 99256 11229 09652 99003 28822 ///// 00026 28824 05523
92717 24040 07028 85454 20023 06528 70111 12656 06029 50586 02961
08531 40759 14757 09021 30971 28556 06011 88999 77999
31313 09608 81336
51515 10190 25100
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 21
62626 SPL 2557N12281E 1349 LST WND 017 MBL WND 05525 AEV 00000 WL
150 06023 091 =
XXBB 76138 99256 11229 09652 00003 28822 11954 25005 22898 22850
33882 21622 44850 20023 55815 18656 66794 17638 77695 12456 88616
05218 99603 04848 11584 03425 22559 01656 33525 00544 44517 01356
55512 01360 66471 05958 77468 06361 88461 07358 99455 07562 11423
11944 22419 12357 33410 13344 44396 15358 55389 15372 66371 17561
77365 17581 88363 17781 99338 21777 11311 26960 22306 27562 33299
28756 44293 29561 55262 355//
21212 00003 ///// 11001 06023 22957 05527 33932 07027 44850 06528
55648 06026 66506 08533 77467 07528 88409 09523 99383 07519 11334
10016 22309 08015 33291 04012 44262 04014
31313 09608 81336
51515 10190 25100
61616 ASTRA WXWXC FUNGWONG OB 21
62626 SPL 2557N12281E 1349 LST WND 017 MBL WND 05525 AEV 00000 WL
150 06023 091 =
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This is a personal forecast. Do not use for important decisions.
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the Japan Met Agency or your local weather bureau.
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FUNG-WONG BULLETIN NR 5
1415 UTC SAT JULY 26 2008
OPERATIONAL TIME 1200 UTC
...FUNG-WONG NOW A TYPHOON...LARGE WIND FIELD APPROACHING RYUKYUS AND TAIWAN...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS RECOMMENDED FOR THE WESTERN RYUKYU ISLANDS
OF ISHIGAKI...IRIOMOTE...HATERUMA...AND YONAGUNI.
AT 9 PM JST...1200Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE WESTERN
RYUKYU ISLANDS OF SHIMOJI AND MIYAKO.
AT 8 PM TAIPEI TIME...1200Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR
THE EASTERN COAST OF TAIWAN FROM YILAN NORTHWARDS TO TAIPEI. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW RECOMMENDED ON THE EAST COAST FROM KAOHSIUNG TO TAIPEI.
AT 8 PM TAIPEI TIME...1200Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE
WESTERN TAIWAN COAST FROM KAOHSIUNG NORTH TO TAIPEI.
AT 8 PM TAIPEI TIME...1200Z...A TYPHOON WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE
EASTERN COAST OF TAIWAN FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE ISLAND...NORTHWARD TO
YILAN. THIS LEAVES THE ENTIRE ISLAND OF TAIWAN UNDER EITHER SOME FORM OF WATCH
OR WARNING.
THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DUE TO THE LARGE RADIUS OF WINDS...NEARLY 410
KM...255 MI FOR 30-KT WINDS...AND 130 KM...80 MI...FOR 50-KT WINDS. IT DOES
NOT MEAN THAT TROPICAL STORM OR TYPHOON CONDITIONS /WILL/ OCCUR...BUT RATHER
/COULD/.
AT 9 PM JST...1200Z...THE CENTRE OF TYPHOON FUNG-WONG WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.1 EAST. THERE IS VERY STRONG CONFIDENCE IN THIS
INITIAL LOCATION THANKS TO THE APPEARANCE OF AN EYE ON SATELLITE AND MICROWAVE
IMAGERY. THIS LOCATION IS ABOUT 395 KM...245 MI SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ISHIGAKI IN
THE RYUKYU ISLANDS...AND ABOUT 625 KM OR 390 MI SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI TAIWAN.
THIS IS AN INITIAL MOTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS OF NEAR 268/09... OR JUST
SOUTH OF DUE WEST AT AROUND 16 KM/H...10 MPH. FUNG-WONG IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST...AND THEN NORTHWEST...IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...LANDFALL WILL OCCUR AROUND 36 HOURS...SO A
TYPHOON WARNING MAY BE NEEDED TOMORROW MORNING.
DVORAK READINGS ON FUNG-WONG HAVE INCREASED THANKS TO THE PRESENCE OF AN EYE.
THE CHINA MET AGENCY...KOREAN MET ADMINISTRATION...TAIWANESE CENTRAL WEATHER
BUREAU...AND THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTRE HAVE ALL INITIALISED FUNG-WONG
AS A MINIMAL TYPHOON AT 12Z...WHILE THE JAPAN MET AGENCY INITIALISED AT 60 KT.
GIVEN THE EYE...APPARENT ON BOTH SATELLITE AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY...THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS SET AT 65 KT...120 KM/H...65 MPH...MAKING FUNG-WONG A TYPHOON.
RIGHT OFF THE COAST OF TAIWAN...SHEAR TENDENCY IS NEGATIVE...MEANING SHEAR IS
LESSENING. SHEAR IS ALSO CURRENTLY LESSENING SOUTHEAST OF THE CYCLONE. FOR
THE REMAINDER OF ITS TREK TOWARDS TAIWAN...ASSUMING CONDITIONS HOLD...THERE ARE
NO OBVIOUS BARRIERS TO INTENSIFICATION.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE JMA AT 1200Z WAS 975 HPA.
REPEATING THE 1200Z POSITION...21.3 N 126.1 E...ABOUT 395 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
ISHIGAKI-SHIMA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KM/H. MOVEMENT...WEST AROUND 9
KT.
NEXT BULLETIN BY 0300Z.
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the Japan Met Agency or your local weather bureau.
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FUNG-WONG BULLETIN NR 5
1415 UTC SAT JULY 26 2008
OPERATIONAL TIME 1200 UTC
...FUNG-WONG NOW A TYPHOON...LARGE WIND FIELD APPROACHING RYUKYUS AND TAIWAN...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS RECOMMENDED FOR THE WESTERN RYUKYU ISLANDS
OF ISHIGAKI...IRIOMOTE...HATERUMA...AND YONAGUNI.
AT 9 PM JST...1200Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE WESTERN
RYUKYU ISLANDS OF SHIMOJI AND MIYAKO.
AT 8 PM TAIPEI TIME...1200Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR
THE EASTERN COAST OF TAIWAN FROM YILAN NORTHWARDS TO TAIPEI. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW RECOMMENDED ON THE EAST COAST FROM KAOHSIUNG TO TAIPEI.
AT 8 PM TAIPEI TIME...1200Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE
WESTERN TAIWAN COAST FROM KAOHSIUNG NORTH TO TAIPEI.
AT 8 PM TAIPEI TIME...1200Z...A TYPHOON WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE
EASTERN COAST OF TAIWAN FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE ISLAND...NORTHWARD TO
YILAN. THIS LEAVES THE ENTIRE ISLAND OF TAIWAN UNDER EITHER SOME FORM OF WATCH
OR WARNING.
THE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DUE TO THE LARGE RADIUS OF WINDS...NEARLY 410
KM...255 MI FOR 30-KT WINDS...AND 130 KM...80 MI...FOR 50-KT WINDS. IT DOES
NOT MEAN THAT TROPICAL STORM OR TYPHOON CONDITIONS /WILL/ OCCUR...BUT RATHER
/COULD/.
AT 9 PM JST...1200Z...THE CENTRE OF TYPHOON FUNG-WONG WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.1 EAST. THERE IS VERY STRONG CONFIDENCE IN THIS
INITIAL LOCATION THANKS TO THE APPEARANCE OF AN EYE ON SATELLITE AND MICROWAVE
IMAGERY. THIS LOCATION IS ABOUT 395 KM...245 MI SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ISHIGAKI IN
THE RYUKYU ISLANDS...AND ABOUT 625 KM OR 390 MI SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI TAIWAN.
THIS IS AN INITIAL MOTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS OF NEAR 268/09... OR JUST
SOUTH OF DUE WEST AT AROUND 16 KM/H...10 MPH. FUNG-WONG IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST...AND THEN NORTHWEST...IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...LANDFALL WILL OCCUR AROUND 36 HOURS...SO A
TYPHOON WARNING MAY BE NEEDED TOMORROW MORNING.
DVORAK READINGS ON FUNG-WONG HAVE INCREASED THANKS TO THE PRESENCE OF AN EYE.
THE CHINA MET AGENCY...KOREAN MET ADMINISTRATION...TAIWANESE CENTRAL WEATHER
BUREAU...AND THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTRE HAVE ALL INITIALISED FUNG-WONG
AS A MINIMAL TYPHOON AT 12Z...WHILE THE JAPAN MET AGENCY INITIALISED AT 60 KT.
GIVEN THE EYE...APPARENT ON BOTH SATELLITE AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY...THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS SET AT 65 KT...120 KM/H...65 MPH...MAKING FUNG-WONG A TYPHOON.
RIGHT OFF THE COAST OF TAIWAN...SHEAR TENDENCY IS NEGATIVE...MEANING SHEAR IS
LESSENING. SHEAR IS ALSO CURRENTLY LESSENING SOUTHEAST OF THE CYCLONE. FOR
THE REMAINDER OF ITS TREK TOWARDS TAIWAN...ASSUMING CONDITIONS HOLD...THERE ARE
NO OBVIOUS BARRIERS TO INTENSIFICATION.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE JMA AT 1200Z WAS 975 HPA.
REPEATING THE 1200Z POSITION...21.3 N 126.1 E...ABOUT 395 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
ISHIGAKI-SHIMA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KM/H. MOVEMENT...WEST AROUND 9
KT.
NEXT BULLETIN BY 0300Z.
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-
alan1961
- Category 2
- Posts: 767
- Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2006 11:58 am
- Location: Derby, Derbyshire, England
- Contact:
Re: WPAC: Severe TS Fung-wong (TY 09W) SE of Taipei
if things couldn't get any worse for Taiwan after the last storm, now they are looking down the barrel again 
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No upgrade yet.
WTPQ20 RJTD 261500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0808 FUNG-WONG (0808)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261500UTC 21.2N 126.0E GOOD
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 220NM
FORECAST
24HF 271500UTC 22.5N 122.9E 70NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 281200UTC 24.6N 120.4E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 291200UTC 27.3N 118.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =
WTPQ20 RJTD 261500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0808 FUNG-WONG (0808)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261500UTC 21.2N 126.0E GOOD
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 220NM
FORECAST
24HF 271500UTC 22.5N 122.9E 70NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 281200UTC 24.6N 120.4E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 291200UTC 27.3N 118.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =
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