Ex Invest 90L

[cycloneye]

The good thing is that this wave will bring some needed rain believe it or not to some of the islands that are in a drought status.However,being August,everything has to be watched to see if it starts to organize again.

[Gustywind]

i was really disappointed with 90L, i think i'm going to cry....

On average, out of 100 waves, only 10 develop, 1 in every 10. You get a lot of disappointments. You just get used to live with them or you get use to expect them!

aw... ok...

Meckelenburg you never answered at mydifferents replies, maybe you were crying ...little boy ....Whereas if you're not busy come and live in the tropics you willl have a better idea of what you're calling i think i'm going to cry.... :cry" and looking for.

[Gustywind]

Why would you be disappointed a tropical wave doesn't develop? If you lived on gulf or atlantic coasts I don't think you would have those sentiments.

Good point guy, this guy surely never live on tropics or has never experienced a cat 4 like HUGO without roof during the episode. I speaking personnaly because the roof in the house has been destroyed going in the air and i passed the entirely night in a small room with the noise of this monster: Vrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.... a nightmare in only a night!!!!

[Gustywind]

The good thing is that this wave will bring some needed rain believe it or not to some of the islands that are in a drought status.However,being August,everything has to be watched to see if it starts to organize again.

That's fair agree, a pretty nice thing for us, whereas in Guadeloupe things are perfect, drought has been erased with the last episode, seems that Barbados is cool too with Abajan giving some info about his island of Barbados. I don't have too much info from the others islands. Yep Cycloneye, is it always the drought in your area?

[cycloneye]

The good thing is that this wave will bring some needed rain believe it or not to some of the islands that are in a drought status.However,being August,everything has to be watched to see if it starts to organize again.

That's fair agree, a pretty nice thing for us, whereas in Guadeloupe things are perfect, drought has been erased with the last episode, seems that Barbados is cool too with Abajan giving some info about his island of Barbados. I don't have too much info from the others islands. Yep Cycloneye, is it always the drought in your area?

Ok,that is good news from the butterfly island But still here in PR,the lakes are going down especially La Plata.

[HURAKAN]

I have a very difficult relationship with the tropics. I live in Miami and love to track as many tropical cyclones as possible but I don't want any to cause damages or lives. I understand what Mecklenburg wants to say. We don't want any destruction but we want to track cyclones.

[Gustywind]

The good thing is that this wave will bring some needed rain believe it or not to some of the islands that are in a drought status.However,being August,everything has to be watched to see if it starts to organize again.

That's fair agree, a pretty nice thing for us, whereas in Guadeloupe things are perfect, drought has been erased with the last episode, seems that Barbados is cool too with Abajan giving some info about his island of Barbados. I don't have too much info from the others islands. Yep Cycloneye, is it always the drought in your area?

Ok,that is good news from the butterfly island But still here in PR,the lakes are going down especially La Plata.

Yeah no problem my friend the Butterfly is flying well. I'm glad to see that you know this term " the butterfly" that's exactly that . A little sad for la Plata, hope that waves will bring more water in the lakes en la isla del encanto dixit Eddie Palmieri ( Puerto Rico) .

[Ed Mahmoud]

The good thing is that this wave will bring some needed rain believe it or not to some of the islands that are in a drought status.However,being August,everything has to be watched to see if it starts to organize again.

That is how I feel about 91L. It is so dry here, a poorly organized TD would be just what the doctor ordered.

Former 90L, if it developed, could threaten Florida or the Gulf Coast after moving through the Caribbean based on yesterday's model tracks. Fine by me if it is just a wave.

[Honeyko]

I agree cycloneye, the SAL has destroyed this.

I disagree; the SAL had nothing to do with it. If you look closely at the loops, the center of the system was always to the west of the SAL boundary.

What killed it was its southeasterly moist inflow feed being cut off -- that's the kiss of death every time.

[KWT]

I think actually it was probably a combo of 3 factors...the SAL, the decrease in the inflow and prehaps most importantly the shear that hit it from the east as the SAL caught up...if you looked at the loops about 6-9hrs ago you'd see the storms on the eastern side die then a new rash pop up about 100 miles to the west of the wave Axis, so its still popping convection but the whole storm complexes are being blown way out ahead of any region that could have formed.

[stevetampa33614]

wow so they pronounced this dead?

[Gustywind]

They should keep in mind "never say never" or "it's dead Jim" Mother Nature has always surprises in store as we're entering August 3rd

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 031808
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN AUG 03 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1745 UTC.


...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 35W/36W SOUTH OF 15N
MOVING WEST 20 TO 25 KT. NO PRECIPITATION WITH THIS WAVE.

[caribepr]

I don't know (and don't take the time to learn) how to multi quote, but agree whole heartedly on the side of the first hit zone with this issue that comes up every year...tracking joy versus Caribbean first hit reality. AND will add again, the huge reality shift I've seen on S2K over the years of awareness that we on our little islands (most not so little as Culebra, but little in mass nonetheless) exist and it's not all cheer cheer cheer as systems develop that might run us down - and I personally am thankful. 'nuff said.
On the other hand...we're getting an unexpected afternoon rain and cooling off after a blistering hot morning and early afternoon; much needed, unexpected (there goes the afternoon boat ride) and appreciated (we're on water rationing, meaning no water for hours at a time during the day) rain. 90L gone? BYE!!! and whatever takes its place, we'll be watching

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 032353
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN AUG 03 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 36W/37W S OF 15N MOVING W 20-25 KT. WAVE
REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AND NO CONVECTION IS OBSERVED
WITH THE WAVE.

[Sanibel]

This was another ghost wave with good form but nothing to it.

[cycloneye]

A very small ball of convection pops.

[boca]

I wouldn't give up on ex90L yet.

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... latest.gif

[Gustywind]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8split.jpg
Waouw a serious Wave of SAL is appearing ahead of ex 90L, and seems that ex 90L is struggling embedded in this SAL, so good news for us in the Carib, it will be a nasty fight for all the waves during the next 72h to developp, moreover at least 3 or 4 days without any rain showers, the bikers of Guadeloupe will appreciate during our cycling " Tour of Guadeloupe" .

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 041234
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON AUG 04 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W S OF 15N MOVING W 20 KT. THIS IS A
LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE WAVE WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE CONFINED TO THE ITCZ.