Ex Invest 90L

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Frank2
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Re: Ex Invest 90L in Central Atlantic

#181 Postby Frank2 » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:01 am

Wow - I just read some of those "I'm going to cry that 90L didn't develop" comments, so, I've said it before and I'll say it again:

On August 22, 1992, I heard the late Dr. Burpee (HRD) say that Hurricane Andrew was heading northwest (away from South Florida), and, my dumb comment was, "Aw - I just wanted to have some fun!".

Well, as we know Andrew didn't turn northwest, but, on August 24, 1992, came straight across South Florida as a Cat 4/5 hurricane - and took my roof with it - and, that started a very unpleasant, stressful (a/k/a miserable) period in my life, so, before you start wishing for bad things, believe me, you better know what your wishing for...

As others here said in reply to some of these posts - apparently, these are posters who are too young to know the suffering and misery Hugo, or Andrew, or even Katrina brough to thousands or even millions of people, who had their houses ruined, their jobs lost, their schools destroyed, and, even the loss of their life - all due to a natural disaster, so, as the Bible says, "Let those who have ears listen!"

Sure, we are all weather enthusiasts, some even being professional meteorologists, or, others, such as myself, having worked in that field in a supporting role, otherwise, we would not be visiting this site, but, to wish for something bad to come, well, that's not right, but, human nature being what it is, sometimes, we just have to learn the hard way, as I did many years ago...

Frank
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Re: Ex Invest 90L in Central Atlantic

#182 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 04, 2008 8:23 am

Our post Charley experience here was nothing but work, pain in the *** problems, August heat and humidity with no electricity, lack of community and services for months, house repairs that took over a year to find workers for, and major expenses.

Florida should have a mandatory hurricane code for buildings and infrastructure.
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#183 Postby jhamps10 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 4:45 am

would this at 9N,33W be our old 90L, even though it is solidly attched to the ITCZ?

updating image:
Image
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Re:

#184 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 05, 2008 5:56 am

jhamps10 wrote:would this at 9N,33W be our old 90L, even though it is solidly attched to the ITCZ?

updating image:
Image


i don't tkink so; hummm.... ex 90 L would be at:
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. THIS
IS A LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE WAVE WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE CONFINED TO THE ITCZ.
Latest from ssd positions Sunday was 03/0545 UTC 11.9N 34.0W T1.0/1.0 90L http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html
So, i'm a little dubtfull about a position at 9N 33w today ...or maybe my eyes are deceiving me lol :cheesy: ( pretty low confidence).
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#185 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 05, 2008 5:58 am

:uarrow:
000
AXNT20 KNHC 050604
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT TUE AUG 05 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. THIS
IS A LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE WAVE WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE CONFINED TO THE ITCZ.
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Re: Ex Invest 90L in Central Atlantic

#186 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Aug 05, 2008 9:31 am

Frank2 wrote:Wow - I just read some of those "I'm going to cry that 90L didn't develop" comments, so, I've said it before and I'll say it again:

On August 22, 1992, I heard the late Dr. Burpee (HRD) say that Hurricane Andrew was heading northwest (away from South Florida), and, my dumb comment was, "Aw - I just wanted to have some fun!".

Well, as we know Andrew didn't turn northwest, but, on August 24, 1992, came straight across South Florida as a Cat 4/5 hurricane - and took my roof with it - and, that started a very unpleasant, stressful (a/k/a miserable) period in my life, so, before you start wishing for bad things, believe me, you better know what your wishing for...

As others here said in reply to some of these posts - apparently, these are posters who are too young to know the suffering and misery Hugo, or Andrew, or even Katrina brough to thousands or even millions of people, who had their houses ruined, their jobs lost, their schools destroyed, and, even the loss of their life - all due to a natural disaster, so, as the Bible says, "Let those who have ears listen!"

Sure, we are all weather enthusiasts, some even being professional meteorologists, or, others, such as myself, having worked in that field in a supporting role, otherwise, we would not be visiting this site, but, to wish for something bad to come, well, that's not right, but, human nature being what it is, sometimes, we just have to learn the hard way, as I did many years ago...

Frank



Very powerful post Frank and it is very important for people to have this perspective.
In previous years, when I wasn't the most rational person around,
I would wishfully forecast big ones into my region.

But gradually, I have matured and increased in knowledge about
the misery of hurricanes.
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#187 Postby Honeyko » Tue Aug 05, 2008 11:12 am

This ITCZ blob isn't 90L.
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Re: Ex Invest 90L in Central Atlantic

#188 Postby Blown Away » Tue Aug 05, 2008 11:53 am

Ex 90L is somewhere between 55-65W.
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Re:

#189 Postby perk » Tue Aug 05, 2008 1:14 pm

Honeyko wrote:This ITCZ blob isn't 90L.

I agree this blob is not 90L.
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Re: Ex Invest 90L in Central Atlantic

#190 Postby Fego » Tue Aug 05, 2008 1:50 pm

Unless 90L moved back to the central Atlantic, this wave-blob is NOT related with that invest... then, there is a misunderstood. In any case, there is a topic related with the wave-blob (Large Wave in Central Atlantic) .
Last edited by Fego on Tue Aug 05, 2008 1:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Ex Invest 90L in Central Atlantic

#191 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 05, 2008 1:53 pm

Fego wrote:Unless 90L moved back to the central Atlantic, this wave-blob is NOT related with that invest... then, there is a misunderstood. In any case, is better to open a new topic about this wave-blob.


There is a thread about that wave "Large Wave in Eastern Atlantic".

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=102269&p=1760378#p1760378
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Re: Ex Invest 90L in Central Atlantic

#192 Postby bvigal » Tue Aug 05, 2008 2:16 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Fego wrote:Unless 90L moved back to the central Atlantic, this wave-blob is NOT related with that invest... then, there is a misunderstood. In any case, is better to open a new topic about this wave-blob.


There is a thread about that wave "Large Wave in Eastern Atlantic".

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=102269&p=1760378#p1760378
Hello neighbor Luis! I thought that thread was talking about the next wave after 90L, LOL! Maybe we should name these threads: "Large wave approx 30W Sunday Aug 3" or similar, since they keep moving. ;-)

Frank and Sanibel, I don't even have to have lost a roof, etc. to be afraid to ever say something like that. I've too many friends in the area who tell stories of going MONTHS (not days) with no electricity, and shortages of things like safe drinking water, toilet paper, gasoline; with the only road(s) 'from here to there' closed due to slides! No one comes rushing in with truckloads of supplies, they have to come by boat, and first be paid for through banks that stay closed until electricity is back on, etc. No thanks, they can all fizzle except the fish, and I'm happy!!!
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#193 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 05, 2008 2:41 pm

Image

The SAL is visible.
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#194 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:02 pm

:uarrow:
It's awfully fair weather down the road for the Carib, :) the monster wave of SAL is seriously inhibiting any system coming of Africa. Let's enjoy it, the week after will be much more interresting....
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... ds/m8split
Where can you with that? I have the answer in the Olympics SAL GAMES :cheesy: :cheesy: :wink:
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#195 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:03 pm

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#196 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:34 pm

Ex-90L is at 47W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 47W SOUTH OF 15N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. NO PRECIPITATION ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE.
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#197 Postby Gustywind » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:40 pm

:uarrow:
LOOL humm that was i my thought this morning but .... :cheesy: never mind i love SK2 :ggreen:
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Re: Ex Invest 90L in Central Atlantic

#198 Postby Blown Away » Tue Aug 05, 2008 4:05 pm

This wave (9N/35W) has maintained its convection for a while now and has a little spin to it. Can't be much keeping this from invest status.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html
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Re: Ex Invest 90L in Central Atlantic

#199 Postby njweather » Tue Aug 05, 2008 4:15 pm

Blown_away wrote:This wave (9N/35W) has maintained its convection for a while now and has a little spin to it. Can't be much keeping this from invest status.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html


Is this a wave or just part of the ITCZ?

EDIT: It's a wave, per NWS's surface analysis map:

Image
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#200 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 05, 2008 4:19 pm

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 32W/33W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 34W AND 36W.
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