Ex Invest 93L in Central Atlantic

[cycloneye]

Today we may see some mention of possible RECON for tomorrow or the next day. The system is already very close to 50W and still a bit south of 15N. Lesser Antilles need to keep an eye on it.

Agree about that.After 92L passed the Eastern Caribbean islands without big fanfare,all eyes have to turn east and watch this.

[canegrl04]

I'm beginning to think 93L has better potential than good looking wave 92L.Besides,92L will probably get chewed up and spit out over DR

[HURAKAN]

Elsewhere in the tropics
A tropical wave (93L), near 14N 49W, about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands, has gotten better organized this morning. Wind shear has fallen to 10 knots, and is expected to remain below 10 knots the next two days. The system does have a closed circulation at the surface, as seen on last night's QuikSCAT pass. The surface circulation is also apparent on visible satellite loops, as well as a slow increase in heavy thunderstorm activity. NHC has given the reasonable forecast that there is a medium (20-50%) chance that this system will be a tropical depression by Sunday morning. Most of the computer models track this storm well north of the Lesser Antilles Islands, recurving out to sea.

Link: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200808

[KWT]

It probably will be the case that this gets more impressive then 92L does, its typical on this board that there are some that everyone watches whilst the actual one that goes onto do something major sneaks on by and only when it blows people suddenly notice it.

Interesting right now its right on the same path as 92L as well, maybe a touch north of it, will be interesting to see if it takes a similar path as 92L as well despite what some of the models suggest.

[HURAKAN]

A question to AccuWeather, if 92L has a tropical low and 93L has a low, is the low of 93L not tropical or are them both tropical???

WE MAY NEVER KNOW THE ANSWER

[gatorcane]

so is 93L the real one to be concerned about? Seems to be tracking right behind 92L and may have a ridge over the Western Atlantic to work with in the 5-7 day timeframe?

[HURAKAN]

Convection may be weakening but banding is developing to the north and south and it was a really good spin.

[gatorcane]

could 93L become Fay before 92L? Looking at 93L I think the chances have increased

[OuterBanker]

180 pages vs 10, poor 93L. No attention paid. Just being ignored poor thing. BTW, any models run on this?

[HURAKAN]

180 pages vs 10, poor 93L. No attention paid. Just being ignored poor thing. BTW, any models run on this?

Go to the models thread!

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=102447&p=1769931#p1769931

[Hyperstorm]

Against what the NHC has stated, I don't think this system has any chance of doing anything anytime soon. See that upper level low NE of the 92L? That system will be a big inhibitor during the next few days.

[cycloneye]

SSD dvorak:

15/1745 UTC 15.1N 49.5W T1.0/1.0 93L -- Atlantic Ocean

[Praxus]

Humming along

[HURAKAN]

15/2345 UTC 15.1N 50.7W TOO WEAK 93L

A lot of wind shear affecting this system.

[deltadog03]

The new tutt/ULL is kicking 93L's butt.

[HURAKAN]

Shear forecast to be mostly favorable for development by 48 hrs.

[fasterdisaster]

Does this look to be a fish?

[Ed Mahmoud]

Does this look to be a fish?

Models seem to suggest 93L, if it even develops, sleeps with Lucca Brazzi.

[cycloneye]

Once again 93L is deactivated:

BEGIN
NHC
invest_DEACTIVATE_al932008.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200808170951
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

[HURAKAN]

Convection appears to be shear induced.