Tropical Storm Fay RECON Discussions

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Aric Dunn
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#121 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 15, 2008 2:00 pm

south of the circ is over land just west of punta cana
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#122 Postby HenkL » Fri Aug 15, 2008 2:12 pm

Latest METAR from Punta Cana (1900Z):
SSE-wind (160°), 12 knots, 1007 hPa.
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Re: Invest 92L RECON Discussions

#123 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 15, 2008 2:46 pm

Plenty of NW winds after the west wind was found.
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Re: Invest 92L RECON Discussions

#124 Postby El Nino » Fri Aug 15, 2008 2:51 pm

cycloneye wrote:Plenty of NW winds after the west wind was found.


So, is there any reason to not call this a LLC and Faye ?
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Re: Invest 92L RECON Discussions

#125 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Aug 15, 2008 2:57 pm

Image
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Re: Invest 92L RECON Discussions

#126 Postby artist » Fri Aug 15, 2008 3:01 pm

so where does this put the center? Over land north or south? Thanks.
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Re: Invest 92L RECON Discussions

#127 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Aug 15, 2008 3:24 pm

When do you think we can expect a VDM?
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Re: Invest 92L RECON Discussions

#128 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Aug 15, 2008 3:27 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:When do you think we can expect a VDM?


Likely won't be one as the center is probably inland.
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#129 Postby HenkL » Fri Aug 15, 2008 3:32 pm

Latest METAR (2000Z):
Punta Cana: 160° 12 kt (SSE), 1007 hPa
La Romana: 240° 10 kt (WSW), 1009 hPa
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Re: Tropical Storm Fay RECON Discussions

#130 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 15, 2008 11:38 pm

HURAKAN,maybe that went towards the north coast is to see if there is a low up there.
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Re: Tropical Storm Fay RECON Discussions

#131 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 15, 2008 11:39 pm

cycloneye wrote:HURAKAN,maybe that went towards the north coast is to see if there is a low up there.


Maybe. Lets see what happens.
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#132 Postby RL3AO » Fri Aug 15, 2008 11:40 pm

They won't do a pass across DR will they? Why else would they fly at 10,000ft for a weak TS?
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Re: Tropical Storm Fay RECON Discussions

#133 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sat Aug 16, 2008 12:08 am

Noted surface winds much lighter than flight level winds. Not surprising if low level center is being badly disrupted from terrain.
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Re: Tropical Storm Fay RECON Discussions

#134 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 16, 2008 12:46 am

Plane going the windward passage to the south coast after getting pretty strong winds in the north coast.
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#135 Postby pojo » Sat Aug 16, 2008 8:22 am

RL3AO wrote:They won't do a pass across DR will they? Why else would they fly at 10,000ft for a weak TS?


if its a NIGHT TS flight... we have altitude restrictions because of terrain in the DR/Haiti.
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Re: Tropical Storm Fay RECON Discussions

#136 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 16, 2008 10:15 am

Here is the plan of the day for Sunday and Monday:

Code: Select all

NOUS42 KNHC 161445
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT SAT 16 AUGUST 2008
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
         VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z AUGUST 2008
         TCPOD NUMBER.....08-077

I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. TROPICAL STORM FAY
       FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
       A. 17/1800Z,18/0000Z
       B. AFXXX 1306A FAY
       C. 17/14OOZ
       D. 20.5N 78.4W
       E. 17/1700Z TO 18/0000Z
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

       FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 49
       A. 18/0000Z
       B. NOAA9 1406A FAY
       C. 17/1730Z
       D. NA
       E. NA
       F. 41,000TO 45,000 FT

       FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 71
       A. 18/0600Z,1200Z
       B. AFXXX 1506A FAY
       C. 18/0230Z
       D. 21.8N 79.9W
       E. 18/0500Z TO 18/1200Z
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

       FLIGHT FOUR -- NOAA 49
       A. 18/1200Z
       B. NOAA9 1606A FAY
       C. 18/0530Z
       D. NA
       E. NA
       F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BEGIN 3-HRLY FIXES AT
       18/1800Z. A G-IV MISSION FOR 19/0000Z.

    3. REMARKS: P-3 RESEARCH MISSION SCHEDULED FOR 17/0300Z
       TAKEOFF CANCELED AT 16/1330Z.
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Re: Tropical Storm Fay RECON Discussions

#137 Postby rjgator » Sat Aug 16, 2008 10:21 am

Are they going in today? If so What Time?
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Re: Tropical Storm Fay RECON Discussions

#138 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 16, 2008 10:23 am

Air force plane leaves shortly from ST Croix.
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Re: Tropical Storm Fay RECON Discussions

#139 Postby rjgator » Sat Aug 16, 2008 10:46 am

Thanks
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Re: Tropical Storm Fay RECON Discussions

#140 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sat Aug 16, 2008 1:35 pm

Does anyone know if recon has been given the ok to fly in and around Cuban airspace...Without recon this could be a dicey call coming up in and over Cuba towards SF. We need the Christopher Walken picture... "NEED MORE RECON BABY!"

SFT
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