ATL HANNA: Extratropical - Discussion

[jimpsummers]

I take back what I said earlier (about it hitting Georgetown) - I agree that it looks like it is turning. If you look at the latest radar loop from Charleston, you can see it in the back edge of the precip also. Looks like NC after all...

[BensonTCwatcher]

Yeah I get it, I look at the storms more likely to pull a fast one too, just our nature. Hanna is off track and stronger than expected, that is the interesting part relative to the posts tonight I think

[Bane]

it looks like it is getting ready to make the turn to the nne.

[angelwing]

I'm watching this more than Ike, living in Philly we don't get the excitement as much as Florida does. All is calm now, but we were supposed to go to the NJ shore tomorrow, not going now, they're calling for 4-7 inches of rain here and I live right by the Delaware river, will be watching that.

[UpTheCreek]

Well if the next sat update looks like the last 2 I am calling it a cane. Also, it always cracks me up when we have a landfalling hurricane tonight, nobody is posting.

A Cat 4 in EYW does have the 'sexy' factor. If we get a model showing Ike going anywhere near Texas at 0Z, it'll be Hanna who? Never mind, besides the Carolinas, the Northeast Megalopolis will probably have tropical storm conditions tomorrow.

Right now conditions in Raleigh are dead calm winds and zero rain.

Finally getting some breeze and mist in New Bern. Missed a nice rain band just south of us.

[CrazyC83]

I'm watching this more than Ike, living in Philly we don't get the excitement as much as Florida does. All is calm now, but we were supposed to go to the NJ shore tomorrow, not going now, they're calling for 4-7 inches of rain here and I live right by the Delaware river, will be watching that.

One of these days, a major hurricane will make landfall near Delaware Bay - and you'd definitely feel hurricane-force sustained winds in that one...

[Ed Mahmoud]

I'm watching this more than Ike, living in Philly we don't get the excitement as much as Florida does. All is calm now, but we were supposed to go to the NJ shore tomorrow, not going now, they're calling for 4-7 inches of rain here and I live right by the Delaware river, will be watching that.

One of these days, a major hurricane will make landfall near Delaware Bay - and you'd definitely feel hurricane-force sustained winds in that one...

Aaaah, the Joe Bastardi "Perfect Storm"...

[Bane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 060217
AF301 1208A HANNA HDOB 30 20080906
020730 3221N 07750W 8434 01488 9996 +184 +170 169056 057 048 003 00
020800 3223N 07749W 8426 01495 9997 +183 +170 170060 062 046 005 00
020830 3224N 07748W 8432 01490 9996 +186 +170 169061 061 046 005 00
020900 3226N 07747W 8428 01495 9997 +185 +170 168061 061 045 005 00
020930 3228N 07746W 8425 01496 9997 +185 +170 165063 065 047 006 03
021000 3230N 07745W 8430 01490 9998 +184 +170 170065 065 047 005 00
021030 3232N 07744W 8433 01490 0001 +182 +170 168064 065 047 004 00
021100 3234N 07743W 8428 01495 0002 +180 +170 167065 065 047 005 00
021130 3235N 07742W 8428 01497 0003 +182 +170 165066 067 048 004 00
021200 3237N 07741W 8429 01499 0005 +181 +170 165064 064 049 003 00
021230 3238N 07740W 8430 01498 0005 +184 +170 164063 064 047 005 00
021300 3240N 07738W 8423 01508 0010 +181 +170 162065 066 049 004 00
021330 3241N 07737W 8428 01502 0013 +178 +170 162066 068 046 004 00
021400 3243N 07736W 8431 01502 0012 +180 +170 162067 068 045 003 00
021430 3245N 07734W 8427 01507 0015 +180 +170 162067 068 044 005 03
021500 3247N 07734W 8427 01509 0013 +185 +170 161067 068 048 004 00
021530 3249N 07734W 8428 01507 0012 +186 +170 161066 067 047 004 00
021600 3251N 07734W 8427 01507 0013 +185 +170 160068 069 046 003 00
021630 3253N 07734W 8430 01508 0016 +184 +170 159068 068 047 003 00
021700 3255N 07733W 8431 01506 0017 +182 +170 160070 070 045 004 00
$$


it'll be interesting to see the next set come in.

[BensonTCwatcher]

Yup, sat presentation mstches the increase

[seahawkjd]

So its starting to turn? My laptop harddrive died so I'm running off of a linux distro cd now lol. Unfortunately it doesn't have java and without a hard drive I can't install it..... Anyway, she's turning now?

[thetruesms]

Well if the next sat update looks like the last 2 I am calling it a cane. Also, it always cracks me up when we have a landfalling hurricane tonight, nobody is posting.

and it's not just an intensity thing either. I recall from my FL days how this board used to go wild when a 70 mph tropical storm was closing in down there. I feel like NC is the black sheep of tropical interest, for whatever reason.

I would imagine that it's simply because there are more florida residents on this board, rather than any kind of NC discrimination

And from the standpoint of a faraway observer, Ike does pose a more interesting meteorological challenge. The difference between 70 mph and 75 mph and between Charleston and Myrtle Beach are, well - I don't want to say minutiae, because they are certainly very significant to the residents of the area - but they are influenced by factors that aren't really very resolvable by our observation networks, as compared to the forecasting problem of ridge strength posed by Ike's situation.

But in the end, if you've read the mess that the Ike thread is at times, I think it's probably better for you guys that there aren't legions of people in here trying to analyze every single satellite frame or radar volume scan

[krisj]

Rain has picked up here. Still isn't as windy as I expected though.

[Okibeach]

"But in the end, if you've read the mess that the Ike thread is at times, I think it's probably better for you guys that there aren't legions of people in here trying to analyze every single satellite frame or radar volume scan"


Amen to that!

[RyanMcD29]

I figure I'll post what's going on here on Long Island as the conditions deteriorate tomorrow afternoon and evening with Hannah coming through

[BensonTCwatcher]

and now back to the storm... I can see making of an eyewall on sat and on radar. need the next recon ob.

[Chino]

Long range radar loop from CLX:

[invest man]

I'm here in New Bern NC. Long time watcher of canes. Originally from Carteret County. Was down at parents home earlier today and we had 3 tornado warnings in about 1 1/2 hours. For us that live here this is no joke storm. Have seen many ragged storms cross the gulf stream and become canes with very little notice. Alex and Bertha (1996). That being said 2 things I have noticed from radar and sat. #1 radar shows more movement to the ne and #2 sats indicate along with pressure drops that a cat1 may have formed. now whether NHC agrees with me or not is a different story! IM

[seahawkjd]

Thanks for posting that radar. It definetely looks like its turning now. As far as things here in Eastern North Carolina the wind is steady at about 25 now with gusts into the 30's and a pretty good soaking rain.

[BensonTCwatcher]

on that loop she looks to be turning

[thetruesms]

Long range radar loop from CLX:

I would love when these things get within radar range, but then it generally means that a landfall will be coming soon

I definitely concur that Hanna is gradually seeing a larger component of motion to the east - much easier to see here than trying to find the center in the mass of clouds on satellite